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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Eyes $3,650 Ahead of CPI

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📊 Technical Structure
Gold (XAU/USD) may rebound from the support zone $3,627–3,630, and buyers are gradually regaining control. Price action now challenges the resistance zone $3,642–3,647, with a breakout paving the way toward $3,650+.

🎯 Trade Setup (15M Chart)
Entry (Long): $3,630–$3,627
Stop Loss: $3,625
Take Profit: $3,642 / $3,645


🌐 Macro Background
Gold stays supported by Fed rate cut bets, a weaker USD, and geopolitical tensions. US August PPI came in softer, reinforcing rate cut expectations ahead of Thursday’s CPI release (forecast 2.9% headline / 3.1% core). Meanwhile, safe-haven demand is lifted by Poland shooting down Russian drones and Israel’s Doha strikes. While event risk remains, the broader backdrop continues to favour gold upside momentum.

🔑 Key Technical Levels
Resistance: $3,642 / $3,645 / $3,650
Support: $3,630 / $3,627

📌 Trade Summary
Gold maintains bullish traction above $3,630, with scope for a move toward $3,642–$3,645, though traders should stay cautious ahead of US CPI.

⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.

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