H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an Established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 12 May 2026
You will note how price has targeted the strong internal low but failed to close below. This is in-line with alternative scenario of my analysis.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 08 May 2026 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,764.905.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS and subsequently a bearish CHoCH, to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before weak internal high, currently priced at 4,773.575.
Alternative scenario:
We have seen a significant narrowing of the internal range. H4 TF internal structure remains bearish, therefore, it is a probability that price could target strong internal low a print a bearish iBOS.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 24 March 2026.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price is currently trading within an Established internal range.
Intraday expectation:
Price to react at either premium of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low currently priced at 4,099.125.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 12 May 2026
You will note how price has targeted the strong internal low but failed to close below. This is in-line with alternative scenario of my analysis.
Price has printed according to my analysis dated 08 May 2026 where I mentioned price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,764.905.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS and subsequently a bearish CHoCH, to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before weak internal high, currently priced at 4,773.575.
Alternative scenario:
We have seen a significant narrowing of the internal range. H4 TF internal structure remains bearish, therefore, it is a probability that price could target strong internal low a print a bearish iBOS.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on the M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart:
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