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BITCOIN - The bull market is consolidating above 79,500 BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is maintaining the upward trend that began in late March and is showing signs of a bull market. A trading range has opened up between $79,000 and $95,000...
The geopolitical backdrop is unstable, but Bitcoin has proven to be a fairly confident player in the current market; however, when compared to the movement of U.S. stock indices, which are the driver for the flagship asset, it is lagging behind. Nevertheless, after a prolonged consolidation, the market has entered a growth phase. The local high has been updated to 82,800, but at the same time, a false breakout of the local resistance at 81,700 has formed. The result is a correction and a retest of the liquidity zone and the strong support area at 79,485. The long squeeze, in turn, shifts the balance of power toward buyers and allows the market to consolidate. The structure remains intact, and after local consolidation or a retest of the zone of interest, growth may continue
Support levels: 79,700, 79,450, 78,800
Resistance levels: 80,480, 81,750, 82,830
The market is consolidating near the key resistance level of 80,480. A breakout and close above this zone could trigger a continuation of the uptrend toward 81,750–82,830. However, I do not rule out an attempt to retest the 79,700 zone of interest before a bullish run.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
GOLD - Consolidation above 4,700...Gold is testing the downward resistance of the daily market structure. A de-escalation in the Middle East and consolidation above 4,700 could provide an opportunity for a shift in market sentiment.
Gold is holding above $2,700 amid geopolitical uncertainty and anticipation of key NFP data on the U.S. labor market. The main drivers of growth are weakening demand for the dollar and hopes for a Fed rate cut in the event of weak employment statistics. The fate of the precious metal depends on progress in U.S.-Iran negotiations and the NFP data
Technically, the dollar looks weak. The fundamental backdrop is unstable, but the weakening of the DXY and oil prices is supporting gold
Gold is consolidating within the 4,660–4,764 range; however, the market is attempting to hold above the pivot point and the key 4,700 level.
Resistance levels: 4764, 4798, 4803
Support levels: 4700, 4660, 4646
Technically, the market is in a consolidation phase within the range. Focus is on 4700 and the 4660–4646 cluster. Given the news, if the fundamental backdrop remains unchanged, the market may form a long squeeze before rising. However, if the bulls keep gold above 4700, the market will have the potential to rise to 4800–4830.
Best regards, R. Linda! Long 
ETHUSDT - A pullback before breaking through 2400...BINANCE:ETHUSDT.P is forming a correction following a short squeeze. The altcoin is testing a key support level within its uptrend and may continue to rise. The uptrend remains intact
Bitcoin is consolidating above the 80,000 mark, having previously opened a new range of 80,000–95,000. The consolidation is forming above resistance, i.e., in the buying zone.
Accordingly, the flagship coin’s bullish momentum will support altcoin prices.
Ethereum is forming a liquidity hunt (correction) within the trading range. The correction does not break the bullish trend but gathers liquidity for a possible breakout of the consolidation resistance.
Resistance levels: 2,385, 2,398, 2,463
Support levels: trendline, 2313, 2250
If the bulls hold the price above 2315, this will confirm the formation of a local bottom and support the bullish trend. A breakout above 2400 could trigger a rally toward 2600
Best regards, R. Linda! 
Long
GOLD - The hunt for liquidity ahead of the fall ICMARKETS:XAUUSD is testing the 4,500 level and forming a counter-trend correction. The fundamental backdrop is weak; sellers are likely to return amid sustained demand for the dollar and renewed tensions in the Strait of Hormuz...
Since yesterday’s session, the US–Iran escalation has intensified, pushing the dollar and oil higher.
Inflation risks: An energy shock (rising oil prices) is fueling inflation, reinforcing “hawkish” expectations regarding Fed rates. The dollar is the primary safe-haven and reserve currency, which is weighing on gold.
Gold remains under pressure due to a combination of geopolitical tensions and hawkish expectations regarding Fed rates. Downside potential persists unless there are signs of de-escalation in the Strait. The key question is whether the ceasefire (in effect since early April) will collapse amid a new round of tensions within the context of a local uptrend.
Resistance levels: 4566, 4579, 4600
Support levels: 4510, 4482
Technically, a rebound from support is forming with the aim of a counter-trend retest of resistance and the liquidity zone. A short squeeze could shift the balance toward sellers and trigger a drop toward the support level of the range and the trend.
Best Regards, R. Linda!
Short 
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GOLD - A pullback before the drop. 4,500?FX:XAUUSD remains in a bearish trend; the retest of 4,650 (the daily resistance level) ended in a decline amid profit-taking...
A hawkish shift by central banks: the Fed, the ECB, the Bank of England, and the Bank of Japan are signaling a possible rate hike due to inflationary risks caused by the energy shock in the Middle East. This fundamentally weighs on gold as a non-yielding asset.
Despite the dollar’s temporary weakness, the fundamental backdrop remains bearish for gold. The path of least resistance for XAU/USD is down. The nearest reference point is the ISM Manufacturing PMI data
Resistance levels: 4600, 4605, 4646
Support levels: 4554, 4541
Key support zone: 4570–4550. A retest of support shifts the balance of power, and a breakout could trigger a correction to 4600–4610 to retest the imbalance zone. A break below the specified resistance could trigger a further decline to 4550–4500
Best Regards, R. Linda! Short 
BITCOIN - The uptrend may give way to a correctionBINANCE:BTCUSDT.P , following a short squeeze at 79,500, entered a sell-off and closed below the trendline support, causing panic among traders. A consolidation is forming
Fundamentally, Bitcoin came under pressure due to the decline in the S&P and Nasdaq stock indices. Technically, the smooth uptrend forming against the backdrop of a global bear market may have lacked the momentum to break through 80K, and the market has entered a phase of liquidity hunting. A long squeeze could allow the market to gather the necessary momentum for growth.
Locally, Bitcoin is consolidating below the 77,400–79,500 trading range and below the trendline support, which generally suggests that buyers do not yet believe in an uptrend. A close below 76,500 could confirm a break in the local trend and trigger a further decline.
Resistance levels: 77,000, 77,400
Support levels: 76,500, 76,180, 74,600
Bitcoin is testing key support from the D1 timeframe (0.618 Fibonacci) and forming a pre-breakout consolidation around this level, which generally indicates weakness among the bulls in the 76,500 zone. I do not rule out the possibility of a short squeeze at 77,400 before the decline.
Best Regards, R. Linda! Short 
GOLD - The market is under pressure. Waiting for news...ICMARKETS:XAUUSD , following a decline, is consolidating within the 4555–4607 range. Traders are holding their breath in anticipation of the Fed’s interest rate decision, which will be announced later on Wednesday.
Oil prices and the dollar have resumed their upward trend due to the deadlock in U.S.-Iran negotiations, as well as the UAE’s decision to leave OPEC+. High oil prices are fueling inflation expectations and hawkish bets on the Fed. The market is pricing in a rate held in the 3.5–3.75% range. Powell’s rhetoric is key.
Two scenarios:
1. Dovish Fed rhetoric, de-escalation of the conflict, and profit-taking on short positions could support the gold price.
2. Signals that the Fed is ready to raise rates, escalation (which pushes up oil and the dollar), and a break below the $4,555 support level will intensify pressure, which could lead to a further decline
Resistance levels: 4,598, 4,607, 4,644
Support levels: 4,554, 4,500
Gold is under pressure both technically and fundamentally. Based on current data, the downtrend is the priority. Gold may test the 4,598–4,607 range, form a short squeeze before falling, and head toward the specified targets. It is possible that the market may test 4644 before falling to 4500. The structure will be broken if fundamental data supports gold and the price closes above 4644–4668.
Best regards, R. Linda! Short 
GOLD - Technical AnalysisICMARKETS:XAUUSD bounced off the 4668 support level toward the end of Friday’s session following a long squeeze, thereby breaking the local bearish structure. The market’s next move depends on geopolitical developments.
The dollar closed Friday in the red, and technically, the index looks poised to continue its decline. Oil is stagnant. Gold, technically, is still under pressure from bears, but Friday’s session closed above Thursday’s close, which gives us positive signals, provided that the fundamental and geopolitical backdrop supports the market. (The previous idea—a break below 4668—remains valid, provided gold returns to that level.) This coming week, all eyes are on the U.S.-Iran negotiations, as well as fundamental data: the Fed’s rate decision, the regulator’s meeting, and GDP and inflation figures.
Resistance levels: 4740, 4795
Support levels: 4668, 4644, 4600
Technically, at the moment, I expect a bounce from 4700 (4688) and a retest of the 4740 liquidity zone. A close above 4740 will open the door for continued growth toward 4800.
However, if the price fails to react at 4700 and retreats to 4668, the likelihood of a further decline will resume.
Best regards, R. Linda! GOLD - Geopolitics and two scenarios... Gold, under downward pressure, is testing the 4,668 support level. However, technical factors are weak against the backdrop of fundamental and geopolitical developments. Iran may resume negotiations...
Gold remains under pressure due to a combination of strong U.S. data and geopolitical uncertainty, which is driving investors toward the dollar rather than gold. However, the second round of peace talks between the US and Iran is expected to begin today. If the talks take place, combined with positive signals, this could push gold higher.
I know how much you dislike two scenarios, but under current circumstances, we need to be prepared for anything.
Two triggers: 4711 (4715) — consolidation above this zone could confirm the end of the correction and trigger a move toward 4800–4880.
And support at 4670...
Resistance levels: 4711–4715, 4795
Support levels: 4668, 4644, 4600
However, a negative outcome of the negotiations and an escalation of the conflict could increase pressure on gold due to a potential rise in oil prices. In that case, the market may break through 4670 and head toward 4600. Stay tuned for updates!
Best regards, R. Linda! Long 
GOLD - A pullback before an upward move FX:XAUUSD is forming a long squeeze at a key support zone and recovering from yesterday’s decline. The rise from the local low amounted to 2.5%. Before the rally continues, a pullback to 4738 is possible as traders seek liquidity.
Trump unilaterally extended the ceasefire, giving the dollar a temporary respite and supporting gold. However, negotiations have stalled; Iran is waiting for a “comprehensive proposal” from the U.S., and the port blockades remain in place.
Threats of escalation (gold reacts negatively to such developments)
Fed: Kevin Warsh signaled during testimony that he may be less “dovish” than previously expected.
De-escalation, the success of London talks on reopening the Strait, and dollar weakness could support further gold gains. However, a breakdown in negotiations, escalation, a strengthening dollar, and expectations of a Fed rate hike will increase pressure on the metal...
Resistance levels: 4772, 4798, 4830
Support levels: 4738, 4700, 4668
Before rising, gold may test the liquidity zone of 4738–4720. However, a breakout and consolidation above 4770 could trigger a premature rally.
It is also worth monitoring statements from countries involved in the Middle East conflict; the market may react unpredictably to any sharp statements.
Best regards, R. Linda! Long 
BITCOIN - The bulls may prove themselves...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is showing signs of a bullish trend on a local scale. The asset has been forming a bullish trend since April. Focus on the key resistance level of 76,000
Bitcoin is forming a medium-term uptrend that began in early April. The price will continue to test the resistance zone of 76,000–76,300
A local bullish structure is forming, within which Bitcoin is attempting to break through the 76K resistance level. If the bulls maintain control of this area, we will see potential for growth toward 78K–80K
Resistance levels: 76,000, 76,300, 78,000
Support levels: 74,560, 73,700
A shallow pullback followed by another breakout attempt is a fairly strong bullish signal. Confirmation of the breakout will be local consolidation above the key resistance zone, which could trigger further growth toward 78K–80K.
Best Regards, R. Linda! Long 
GOLD - The market didn't trust Friday's positive newsICMARKETS:XAUUSD reacted positively to the de-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East on Friday; however, a couple of hours later, the market lost faith in the news and resumed selling...
Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz in response to the breakdown of the ceasefire in Lebanon. The geopolitical backdrop is deteriorating. The market may react aggressively to any escalation: the dollar and oil up, gold down.
Direct peace talks with the U.S. have been suspended until Washington changes its “maximalist” demands, according to Iran’s Foreign Ministry.
Technically, the chart also suggests that the market did not believe Friday’s news and does not expect a favorable outcome or price growth in the near future.
The dollar is rebounding, while gold is forming a short squeeze at resistance.
Resistance levels: 4837, 4857
Support levels: 4785, 4729, 4700
After a false breakout, gold is closing below the local support level of 4837. A retest of 4837–4857 could trigger a sell-off and a decline toward the 4785 area of interest. A close below 4785 could intensify the sell-off toward 4730–4700.
Best regards, R. Linda! Short 
