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India VIX Expected Move

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India VIX Expected Move

OVERVIEW
This tool turns India VIX into a daily expected-range estimate and draws it on the chart, anchored to the day's open. It shows how far price is statistically likely to travel today, with plus/minus 1 and 2 standard-deviation bands.

HOW IT WORKS
- 1-sigma daily move = Price x (VIX / 100) / sqrt(annualisation days). The default 252 trading days converts annualised implied volatility into a one-day figure.
- Bands are anchored to the day's open and stay fixed for the session, or can breathe with live VIX (optional).
- Roughly 68% of days finish inside the 1-sigma band and about 95% inside 2-sigma.
- A bias row reads likely direction from price versus the day's open plus a short trend filter - because VIX gives the size of the move, not its direction.

HOW TO USE
- Apply this on the index chart (for example NIFTY), not on the India VIX chart. The VIX value is pulled in automatically as the volatility input.
- Use the bands as realistic targets and as stretched zones: tagging 2-sigma can mark an over-extended, mean-reversion area.
- Read the bias row to see which band is the more likely target for the day.

NOTES
- Expected move is a probability range, not a guarantee; strong trending or high volatility days can exceed the bands. For research and education only; not financial advice.

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