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EMA + RSI Trade Decision Table

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EMA + RSI Trade Decision Table
Indicator Explanation

This indicator is a rule-based trade decision system designed for 1-hour charts, focusing on clean trend pullbacks using EMA structure, RSI context, and confirmation filters.
It does not auto-trade. Instead, it evaluates market conditions and tells you when a trade is statistically justified.

1. Market Structure & Trend Detection

The indicator uses three EMAs:

EMA 50

EMA 100

EMA 200

Trend Regime

Bullish regime: EMA50 > EMA100

Bearish regime: EMA50 < EMA100

Optional confirmation: price above/below EMA200

The detected regime defines:

Whether longs or shorts are allowed

Which RSI zone is valid

This prevents trading against the dominant trend.

2. Dynamic RSI Zones (Context Filter)

RSI is not used as a simple overbought/oversold signal.
Instead, it adapts to the trend regime:

Bull market: higher RSI range allowed

Bear market: lower RSI range allowed

Additionally, a clean directional filter is applied:

Longs require RSI ≥ minimum long value

Shorts require RSI ≤ maximum short value

This avoids:

Longs in weak momentum

Shorts during strong bullish pressure

3. EMA Pullback & Rejection Logic

A trade is only considered if price performs a controlled pullback:

Price must touch EMA50 or EMA100 within a small tolerance

A rejection candle is required:

Long: candle closes bullish above EMA50

Short: candle closes bearish below EMA50

This ensures entries occur:

Close to structure

With confirmation, not anticipation

4. Distance & Risk Filters (Trade Quality)

To avoid late or low-quality entries, several blockers are used:

Price Distance Filter

If price is too far from EMA50, the trade is blocked

Prevents chasing extended moves

EMA Distance Filter

If EMA50 and EMA100 are too close, the market is considered choppy

Prevents trading in sideways conditions

Cooldown After EMA Cross

After EMA50/EMA100 cross, trades are blocked for a set number of candles

Avoids whipsaws during regime transitions

5. Confidence Score (0–100)

Each potential trade (long and short separately) receives a confidence score based on:

RSI position

Pullback & rejection quality

Trend alignment

EMA200 context

Distance and cooldown penalties

Scores are normalized between 0 and 100 and graded:

A (high quality)

B (acceptable)

C (low quality)

6. Trade Decision Logic

A trade becomes ENTRY-READY only if:

All required conditions are met

The confidence score exceeds the user-defined minimum

Possible outcomes:

LONG = YES

SHORT = YES

NO TRADE

The indicator never forces trades — it filters aggressively.

7. Status System (Decision Support)

The table displays a high-level status:

NO SETUP – no valid structure

PREPARE – conditions building

WATCH – high quality, waiting for confirmation

EXECUTE (LONG / SHORT) – entry conditions fulfilled

Status changes can trigger alerts (on candle close).

8. Table Modes
Compact

Quick overview: trend, RSI, distances, decision, status

Compact + Checks

Overview plus detailed condition checks (only when relevant)

Full Mode

Clean header showing:

Trend

Status

Trade decision

Followed by full long and short condition breakdown

Designed for decision clarity, not clutter.

9. Intended Use

This indicator is built for:

1H trend-pullback trading

Discretionary execution

High-quality setups with controlled frequency

It prioritizes:

Structure

Momentum

Risk control

Patience

Summary

Trade less, trade better. Ergün Özmen

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