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BTC Power Law Bands

BTC Power Law Bands
This indicator applies a Power Law model to Bitcoin’s price, based on the log-log relationship between time and market value.
The core idea is that Bitcoin does not grow randomly, but instead follows a long-term statistical corridor where price oscillates around a structural trend.
- The central line represents the estimated fair value over time
- Upper bands highlight potential overvaluation and euphoria zones
- Lower bands highlight undervaluation and asymmetric opportunity zones
The model uses logarithmic regression (log10) to estimate Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory since its inception.
Indicator zones:
- Deep Value Zone (blue): historically associated with macro bottoms
- Value Zone (green): fair value region
- Hot Zone (orange): overheated market conditions
- Mania Zone (red): extreme euphoria
Important:
This indicator is designed for long-term macro analysis and should not be used for short-term trading decisions. It provides a probabilistic framework, not a guarantee of future price behavior.
Use it as a structural guide to understand where Bitcoin sits within its long-term cycle.
This indicator applies a Power Law model to Bitcoin’s price, based on the log-log relationship between time and market value.
The core idea is that Bitcoin does not grow randomly, but instead follows a long-term statistical corridor where price oscillates around a structural trend.
- The central line represents the estimated fair value over time
- Upper bands highlight potential overvaluation and euphoria zones
- Lower bands highlight undervaluation and asymmetric opportunity zones
The model uses logarithmic regression (log10) to estimate Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory since its inception.
Indicator zones:
- Deep Value Zone (blue): historically associated with macro bottoms
- Value Zone (green): fair value region
- Hot Zone (orange): overheated market conditions
- Mania Zone (red): extreme euphoria
Important:
This indicator is designed for long-term macro analysis and should not be used for short-term trading decisions. It provides a probabilistic framework, not a guarantee of future price behavior.
Use it as a structural guide to understand where Bitcoin sits within its long-term cycle.
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这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供,也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。
开源脚本
秉承TradingView的精神,该脚本的作者将其开源,以便交易者可以查看和验证其功能。向作者致敬!您可以免费使用该脚本,但请记住,重新发布代码须遵守我们的网站规则。
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供,也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。