Aave: bounce or head fake? key levels and targets to watch

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Aave. Ready for a proper bounce or just another DeFi head fake? According to market chatter, money has been rotating back into majors while DeFi names like Aave lagged, which often gives latecomer rallies. Today we saw fresh headlines about on-chain activity and TVL stabilizing, and the market reacted with a clean intraday pop off the lows.

On the 4H chart AAVEUSDT is grinding above the recent base around 97 with RSI curling up from the mid‑40s, hinting at momentum waking up. I’m leaning long while price holds this new mini range, with the closest liquidity/volume pockets sitting in the 104‑106 area and then the bigger supply band near 111. If buyers chew through that first block, short covers could fuel a sharp push into that 111 zone.

My base plan: look for dips toward 98‑99 with confirmation wicks to go long, targeting 104 first, then 111 if momentum stays healthy ✅. If we lose 97 convincingly, the idea is invalid for me and opens the door back into the low‑90s, so that’s where I’d park a tight invalidation. I might be wrong, but I’d rather stalk the long side here than chase DeFi after it’s already mooning.

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