█ SETUP
Becton Dickinson · NYSE:BDX · 12H · long only.
ALMA Averaging Strategy: ALMA 3 / σ2, SD band 2, min diff 1 bar to add / 1 bar to exit, 25% per bar, up to 4 adds, hard stop −10% from average entry.
Strategy Tester (BDX 12H · OV8818):
Win rate 84% · profit factor 2.5 · max drawdown 20%
Typical hold ~50 bars on winners · healthcare / med-tech defensive sleeve
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█ WHY NOW
Tuesday US cash open refilled the healthcare lane while power names were banking out on the same bell.
Two 12H ALMA long lots are live on OV8818:
· 22 Jun 13:30 UTC ~$144.0
· 23 Jun 13:30 UTC ~$140.7 — fresh add on the pullback bar
Working average near $142; hard stop zone −10% from that average ~$128. Exits follow Pine ALMA rules or the hard stop — no discretionary TP ladder.
This is mean-reversion into a defensive name, not an earnings or FDA catalyst call.
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█ MACRO
Tape: PCE and GDP data land this week — defensives often hold bid when mega-cap tech wobbles and real-yield headlines return.
Context: Asia session sold off hard into the US open; the book still added BDX on rules at 13:30Z alongside other healthcare / staples names — sleeve diversification, not a macro forecast.
Sector: BDX = med-tech / hospital supply beta — lower drama than semis or power grid, slower 12H clock.
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Base case: 12H ALMA holds above the ~$141 tape · mean-reversion toward the working average if US defensives stay firm into PCE.
Bear case: broad risk-off + yields up · lose 12H ALMA support · −10% hard stop from ~$142 average.
Becton Dickinson · NYSE:BDX · 12H · long only.
ALMA Averaging Strategy: ALMA 3 / σ2, SD band 2, min diff 1 bar to add / 1 bar to exit, 25% per bar, up to 4 adds, hard stop −10% from average entry.
Strategy Tester (BDX 12H · OV8818):
Win rate 84% · profit factor 2.5 · max drawdown 20%
Typical hold ~50 bars on winners · healthcare / med-tech defensive sleeve
═
█ WHY NOW
Tuesday US cash open refilled the healthcare lane while power names were banking out on the same bell.
Two 12H ALMA long lots are live on OV8818:
· 22 Jun 13:30 UTC ~$144.0
· 23 Jun 13:30 UTC ~$140.7 — fresh add on the pullback bar
Working average near $142; hard stop zone −10% from that average ~$128. Exits follow Pine ALMA rules or the hard stop — no discretionary TP ladder.
This is mean-reversion into a defensive name, not an earnings or FDA catalyst call.
═
█ MACRO
Tape: PCE and GDP data land this week — defensives often hold bid when mega-cap tech wobbles and real-yield headlines return.
Context: Asia session sold off hard into the US open; the book still added BDX on rules at 13:30Z alongside other healthcare / staples names — sleeve diversification, not a macro forecast.
Sector: BDX = med-tech / hospital supply beta — lower drama than semis or power grid, slower 12H clock.
═
Base case: 12H ALMA holds above the ~$141 tape · mean-reversion toward the working average if US defensives stay firm into PCE.
Bear case: broad risk-off + yields up · lose 12H ALMA support · −10% hard stop from ~$142 average.
BoaBias / Goldfinch_song
Swing trader · bar-close systematic book
800+ TRADES · WR 60% · AVG HOLD 7D · AVG PNL 7% · MAX DD -3.4%
CRYPTO · STOCKS · INDICES · METALS
📈Sharing Ideas · indicators · strategies with honest stats · Educational only NFA
Swing trader · bar-close systematic book
800+ TRADES · WR 60% · AVG HOLD 7D · AVG PNL 7% · MAX DD -3.4%
CRYPTO · STOCKS · INDICES · METALS
📈Sharing Ideas · indicators · strategies with honest stats · Educational only NFA
Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.
BoaBias / Goldfinch_song
Swing trader · bar-close systematic book
800+ TRADES · WR 60% · AVG HOLD 7D · AVG PNL 7% · MAX DD -3.4%
CRYPTO · STOCKS · INDICES · METALS
📈Sharing Ideas · indicators · strategies with honest stats · Educational only NFA
Swing trader · bar-close systematic book
800+ TRADES · WR 60% · AVG HOLD 7D · AVG PNL 7% · MAX DD -3.4%
CRYPTO · STOCKS · INDICES · METALS
📈Sharing Ideas · indicators · strategies with honest stats · Educational only NFA
Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.