Bitcoin

BTC and S&P How accurate is "Sell in May and go away"?

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Tomorrow is the last day of the April. Every year at the start of May investing and trading forums are flooded with the old street saying of "Sell in May and go away", especially from sellers who are already deep into short positions. But how accurate is this saying for Bitcoin and S&P500 in particular.

A simple display of both on the monthly (1M candle) chart quickly provides the answer:

* Bitcoin has dropped either on or right after May 3 times, while it rose 7 times since May 2011.
* S&P500 has dropped either on or right after May 3 times, while it rose 9 times since May 2009.

It becomes easily obvious that the "Sell in May and go away" saying is just a "myth". Do not get stuck trading entirely based on this. Both BTC and S&P simply follow their greater cyclical trend phases even during Mays and the argument that big institutions, fund managers, and/ or investors sell everything in May and go for vacation is dangerous.

For S&P in particular there hasn't been a drop on or right after May since 2015! And the fact that since the 2008 Subprime mortgage crisis we only had 3 bearish May candles, completely smashes the argument.




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