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CMG is not undervalued, price has fallen lower from all time highs but the drop is justified.
- This company was trading at 65x forward earnings perhaps because of flawless execution by it's ex-CEO.
- But this company is experiencing declines in same store sales and revenue growth is moderating.
- Currently, as of Sept 14, 2025, It's trading at 27x forward earnings which is not too high but not too low either.
- I have marked three zones, first red zone is for people looking for a counter trend/bounce ideally for swing traders. Yellow/Cyan for investors who might want to DCA and lastly green zone which is good for long term investors.
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 1.21 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 2.07
EPS% | 8.38% | 17.02% | 17.63% | 23.82%
EPS is growing mid teens. A fair forward p/e would be 15 but I am willing to pay around 20 x forward p/e for the brand value with a hope they will turn around the business
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 1.21 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 2.07
Fair value | $24 | $28.4 | $33 | $41.4
As we know, we are only a quarter away from 2026, therefore, If I had to considerCMG it would be around somewhere between $28-$33 otherwise I will stay away from this company.
CMG is not undervalued, price has fallen lower from all time highs but the drop is justified.- This company was trading at 65x forward earnings perhaps because of flawless execution by it's ex-CEO.
- But this company is experiencing declines in same store sales and revenue growth is moderating.
- Currently, as of Sept 14, 2025, It's trading at 27x forward earnings which is not too high but not too low either.
- I have marked three zones, first red zone is for people looking for a counter trend/bounce ideally for swing traders. Yellow/Cyan for investors who might want to DCA and lastly green zone which is good for long term investors.
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 1.21 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 2.07
EPS% | 8.38% | 17.02% | 17.63% | 23.82%
EPS is growing mid teens. A fair forward p/e would be 15 but I am willing to pay around 20 x forward p/e for the brand value with a hope they will turn around the business
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 1.21 | 1.42 | 1.67 | 2.07
Fair value | $24 | $28.4 | $33 | $41.4
As we know, we are only a quarter away from 2026, therefore, If I had to consider
CMG it would be around somewhere between $28-$33 otherwise I will stay away from this company.Anmerkung
- Please note that 27x forward p/e is richly valued as this is not a tech company. Even if it was a tech company with similar growth rate 27x forward p/e is considered high for them. - Therefore,
CMG needs to adjust to a fair multiple.Anmerkung
- I warned everyone to stay away from CMGAnmerkung
- CMG is in DCA zone but I am still not buying the stock as I need more compelling valuation to consider it as deep valueAnmerkung
- Food related business takes time for the turn aroundTrade geschlossen: Ziel wurde erreicht
Accumulating CMG for the long side $29.xx averageAnmerkung
- Got CMG for $29.xx and sold at $40.xx for nice 30% profit
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Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.