COIN GEX – Testing 200 Call Wall Confluence

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TITLE:
COIN GEX – Testing 200 Call Wall Confluence

DESCRIPTION:
COIN has surged back toward 195, reclaiming the 185 secondary call wall and approaching the dominant 200 call wall.

The October 16 cumulative profile places several important call-side metrics at 200. Acceptance above this level would move COIN into positive extension, opening gamma-squeeze potential toward 220.

🔶 Regime Context 🔶
COIN is trading above the 172.5 HVL and 175 call-cluster boundary, maintaining a positive GEX regime.

GEX History shows call-side extension developing across several tracked expirations, but the rows are not uniformly aligned in extension yet. This remains a developing volatility-regime shift that requires price acceptance above 200 for confirmation.

🔶 Options Structure Context 🔶
👉 200 – C1
Confluence at 200:
  • C1 — highest call NETGEX
  • Ab1 — largest absolute gamma
  • nCV — strongest positive net-volume concentration
  • CV — highest cumulative call-volume concentration
That makes 200 the dominant reaction level. The 185 C2 wall has already been reclaimed; sustained acceptance above 200 would open positive extension and gamma-squeeze potential toward C3 at 220.

🔶 Downside Structure 🔶
👉 185 – C2 — reclaimed secondary call wall
👉 175 — call-cluster boundary
👉 172.5 — HVL and regime pivot
👉 170 / 165 — P2 and dominant P1 put wall
👉 155 — P3 downside reference

🔶 Options Sentiment 🔶
CALL$ 92.4% means calls at an equivalent distance from spot are priced 92.4% higher than corresponding puts — elevated call-pricing skew.

  • IVRank 35.2
  • IVx 67.4 (28 DTE) | IVx 5dCh +0.9%
  • CALL$ 92.4% (28 DTE)
  • Implied move ±0.77% (±1.5)
🔶 Key Structure to Watch 🔶
  • 200 — C1 + Ab1 + nCV/CV
  • 220 — C3 extension reference
  • 172.5 — HVL and regime pivot
  • 165 — dominant put wall
For now, COIN is testing its most important overhead GEX concentration.

The key question is whether price can accept above 200 and enter extension toward 220 — or reject and rotate back toward 185.

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