This year, 2025, has been another challenging time in Bursa KLCI.
I have been on the sideline most of the time, since August 2024
We initiated our real positions on 14-17/3/2025, following the follow-through day,
however some of the positions knocked out n some thriving (e.g ecomate, profit taken)
We then resumed our buying on 11/4/2025, as few stocks setting up with low risk
entry point.
Up until now, our portfolio has been growing up to total ROI of around 14-20%,
with the heavy use of Margin. (e.g scgbhd, mnhldg, gamuda, suncon, pekat)
Based on our current analysis of KLCI Index, we concluded that :
1/ Market probably has discounting all the possible worst case scenarios
-Bottoming process is ongoing to complete .
(A complete type 2 #Schematic Accmulation trading range? probably)
-Tradingview does not provide the Volume data for KLCI Index, need to refer other sources
2/ Market is going for the markup phase
3/ Market is still in the hard-ringgit environment
Our Bottom-Top approach, is purely based on the performance of individual stocks.
Meaning, the stock itself dictate our tactics.
And as always, my focus would be on the leaders, which granting me further leverage.
I need to keep reminding myself,
that in bull market, key is not to fight the market but to execute with precision n risk management.
And I need to keep reminding myself again,
that, it is ok to form an opinion.
But always be ready to adapt to the portals of possibility.
As.. I am in the 'responding business' . Not 'Predicting business'
Anmerkung
1/ Market is looking for re-adjustment of ST/LPS (Phase C/D)-Looks like Type 2 # Schematic at the moment
2/ On going bottoming process
3/ Despite lower low, lower high recently in Market, an easy-ringgit environment emerged.
I have sold most of positions into strength during the rally.
4/ Looking to get back once the leaders setting up with low risk entry point
Anmerkung
Closed all remaining position today.In longer term, i still remained bullish.
But in the upcoming days/weeks im expecting high volatility environment.
Until condition stable n stocks forming low risk entry, im activating 'sit-out power' mode.
Anmerkung
We are currently >100% investedSo far, our tractions, are improving.
However still not out of the woods yet
Scgbhd, Gamuda, MNHLDG, KGB are our top picks
Anmerkung
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This is Lockout RallyAnmerkung
Added further list for the leadersSUNCON
PEKAT
Currently in full, overweight positions.
Anmerkung
Long term trend still intact for bullish scenario.Probably KLCI would be entering Power Trend mode.
-We are currently in overweight positions.
Nonetheless, tight and agressive risk management is no 1 priority.
Anmerkung
Market will broadening here onwards.With lots of new leaders, emerging.
Sentiment starting to change from pessimism -> optimism in the crowd.
This probably a mark, for the beginning of the middle part of Bull Market (Power Trend)
Anmerkung
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I view selling on market @ 17/10/2025 was more like on the panic side.i maintain with the leaders, i dont see any warning signs YET .
I maintain bullish view on current market.
Anmerkung
Volatility increasing, whipsaw actions.Individual stocks acting strange esp leaders
I was forced into cash yesterday.
stay cautious for now.
Anmerkung
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Long Term Bullish Trend still intactAnmerkung
Total stocks abovee 200EMA, are within the highest range ever.Leadership stocks showing weakening signs.
Laggard stocks are emerging.
All this pointing that market are weakening.
Anmerkung
25% Cash now. Some position knocked out, booked partial profits.
Anmerkung
Forced to be in 100% cash 2 days ago.No setup at the moments, weakness beget more weakness from here onwards
No big losses.
No forced trades.
Never get bold when trades are running cold.
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Things has been escalated abruptly, past few days.Added few Long Positions, SCGBHD, SUNWAY and few others
In case we melted down onwards, we shorted FKLI
(tradingview.com/chart/FKLI1!/u0WLQmyh-FKLI-SHORT/)
- in hindsight, we didnt perfectly cover the short position.
Market 'feels' heavier with its 'selectiveness' .
Im not sure if this trade is going to be the pareto trade, low expectation in the upcoming weeks/months.
Anmerkung
100% Cash at the momentWe are shorting the market :
Anmerkung
Trade geschlossen: Ziel wurde erreicht
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Verbundene Veröffentlichungen
Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.