GBPAUD Currency Pair Is Poised For Further Decline

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GBPAUD has been rising since the start of the year, but it appears that the move in 2025 may represent a fifth wave of an impulse, as price broke out of a triangle at the beginning of the year. Despite the strong push higher, it’s important to keep in mind that triangles typically appear as the final part of a higher-degree trend. Therefore, the current bearish reversal on the daily chart is not surprising and ideally could bring prices much lower, into wave C or wave 3, especially if price breaks below the channel support line near the 2.04 area. We see room for a move toward 1.96.

On the intraday basis, GBPAUD turned nicely and sharply lower from the projected resistance after we identified an ABC correction within the downtrend. As a result, further weakness is expected, particularly if price drops below the channel support line and the 2.00 level, which would act as bearish confirmation.

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