Price defended the Wholesale Area and is reclaiming $100. That’s the dip, not the breakdown.
Thesis
2022–23 base is the Secondary Wholesale Area.
This year’s pullback into $65–$100 is the higher-timeframe discount.
The red Retail Zone ($175–$260) is where the last cycle dumped inventory. If wholesale holds, that’s the magnet.
Structure: higher-low off demand, bounce through $100, room into old supply.
Trade
Bias: Long
Entry: $96–$102 on holds / shallow retests of the wholesale top
Aggressive add: break-and-hold above $105–$110
Invalidation: weekly close back through the wholesale floor, ~$64–$68
Hard stop: below $64
Targets
$130–$145 (range mid / first supply)
$175 (bottom of Retail Zone)
$220–$250 (heart of Retail Zone)
From $100 with a stop under $64:
T1 ≈ 1R–1.3R
T2 ≈ 2R+
T3 ≈ 3R–4R
That’s the asymmetry.
What confirms
Weekly closes holding above $96–$100
Higher low if it retests $85–$92 and buyers show up
Acceptance above $110 opens the run into retail
What kills it
Lose $64 on a weekly close. Then you’re not buying wholesale anymore — you’re catching a falling knife into the secondary box.
Size it for crypto. SOL can do 4% days.
The idea is good; the path will not be clean.
Not financial advice.
Thesis
2022–23 base is the Secondary Wholesale Area.
This year’s pullback into $65–$100 is the higher-timeframe discount.
The red Retail Zone ($175–$260) is where the last cycle dumped inventory. If wholesale holds, that’s the magnet.
Structure: higher-low off demand, bounce through $100, room into old supply.
Trade
Bias: Long
Entry: $96–$102 on holds / shallow retests of the wholesale top
Aggressive add: break-and-hold above $105–$110
Invalidation: weekly close back through the wholesale floor, ~$64–$68
Hard stop: below $64
Targets
$130–$145 (range mid / first supply)
$175 (bottom of Retail Zone)
$220–$250 (heart of Retail Zone)
From $100 with a stop under $64:
T1 ≈ 1R–1.3R
T2 ≈ 2R+
T3 ≈ 3R–4R
That’s the asymmetry.
What confirms
Weekly closes holding above $96–$100
Higher low if it retests $85–$92 and buyers show up
Acceptance above $110 opens the run into retail
What kills it
Lose $64 on a weekly close. Then you’re not buying wholesale anymore — you’re catching a falling knife into the secondary box.
Size it for crypto. SOL can do 4% days.
The idea is good; the path will not be clean.
Not financial advice.
Haftungsausschluss
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Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.