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The coin market appears to be following the larger pattern: a three-year uptrend followed by a one-year downtrend.
For the coin market to continue its upward trend, at least through USDT and USDC, there needs to be no outflow from the market.
However, I believe we are currently seeing an outflow of funds from the coin market.
The current price level appears to be maintained by the re-inflow of funds into USDC.
Looking at the USDT chart above, it began to decline in May 2022 and began to rise again after seven months.
If this pattern continues, the coin market is expected to show an upward trend only in July 2026.
Since the current price level appears to be maintained by funds flowing into USDC, it is necessary to monitor whether this inflow remains above 72.04B.
If it falls below 72.04B, the coin market is expected to decline again from the current price.
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If we've confirmed the overall fund flow in the coin market with USDT and USDC, we can determine the fund flow to some extent by looking at BTC dominance and USDT dominance.
For the coin market to show a major uptrend, both BTC and USDT dominance must decline.
BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and either remain stable or show a downward trend, while USDT dominance must fall below 4.915 and either remain stable or show a downward trend.
A declining BTC dominance indicates that funds are being concentrated in altcoins.
Currently, BTC dominance is moving sideways.
The movement of USDT dominance when BTC dominance breaks out of the 55.01 to 61.73 range is important.
A rising USDT dominance indicates a high probability of a bearish market.
Therefore, we need to determine if the conditions for a decline in USDT dominance are met.
The conditions for a continued downtrend include:
1. The BSSC indicator must remain below zero,
2. The OBV indicator must remain below the Low Line or show a downward trend,
3. The StochRSI indicator must show a downward trend.
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In this situation, one option is to increase the number of coins (tokens) held.
One way to increase the number of coins (tokens) held is to retain the coins (tokens) corresponding to profits generated from day trading or short-term trading.
In other words, the concept is to increase the number of coins (tokens) held by retaining the coins (tokens) instead of receiving the profits in cash.
Since these increased coins (tokens) are coins (tokens) with an average purchase price of 0, you can keep your investment in cash while increasing the number of coins (tokens) held.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- Here's an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
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Trade ist aktiv
The coin market appears to be rising due to the inflow of funds into USDC.
The real bull market is likely to begin when funds flow into USDT, so we need to monitor this.
For an uptrend to begin, BTC must first rise and then move sideways.
To achieve this,
BTC dominance must rise,
and USDT dominance must decline.
Therefore, I believe BTC dominance should move sideways in the 55.01 to 61.73 range, while USDT dominance should decline to around 5.535.
For a major bull market to begin,
- BTC dominance must fall below 55.01 and either remain stable or show a downward trend. - USDT dominance should fall below 4.915 and remain there or show a downward trend.
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[OBV Indicator]
bit.ly/4dcyny3
※ Follow X to check out the posts.
※ X를 팔로우하고 게시물을 확인하세요.
◆ t.me/readCryptoChannel
[HA-MS Indicator]
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[OBV Indicator]
bit.ly/4dcyny3
Verbundene Veröffentlichungen
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