Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Short

Gold on Edge – Will Powell Trigger the Drop?

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📈 Short-Term Trend Analysis – XAU/USD
On the H1 timeframe, gold price formed a short-term top at $3,170, then sharply declined to the $3,150 area.

The current price action shows a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, indicating a clear bearish trend.

Price has broken below the EMA20 and is trading below the EMA50 on the H1 chart – signaling a loss of bullish momentum in the short term.

This reflects market hesitation ahead of key U.S. economic data and the upcoming Fed speech.

📊 Short-Term Technical Scenario
Main Scenario: SELL ON BREAK OF SUPPORT AT $3,150
Sell Entry: Below $3,148 (confirmation of support break)

Stop Loss (SL): $3,158 (above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement)

Take Profit (TP):

TP1: $3,139 (Fibonacci 61.8%)

TP2: $3,131 (Fibonacci 78.6%)

TP3: $3,120 (strong support zone, previous swing low)

🔔 Important Notes
Closely monitor Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech later today. If he hints at maintaining higher interest rates, gold may continue its downward momentum.

A break below $3,120 would shift the trend from short-term bearish to medium-term bearish, with extended targets around $3,100 – $3,080.

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