Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis - 22 August 2025

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Gold continues to trade within a high-volatility range, and today’s structure provides us with very clear execution zones validated across the Daily, 4H, and 1H timeframes. By blending price action, order flow, and institutional concepts, we can refine both the buy and sell areas that carry the highest probability of delivering asymmetric returns.

Macro Context (Daily)

The daily chart maintains a bullish undertone as higher-lows remain intact, and price continues to defend key demand blocks. That said, the upper range resistance around the $3360–$3380 area has capped recent rallies, leaving the market positioned between a strong daily demand base and significant supply overhead.

Swing Structure (4H)

On the 4H, gold is consolidating between a fresh demand block at $3318–$3324 and a supply block at $3356–$3362. This consolidation aligns perfectly with premium/discount zones of the current 4H range, giving us clarity on where institutional flows are likely to engage.

Execution Refinement (1H)

The 1H chart adds precision:

A bullish FVG and demand overlap sit at $3320, creating inducement for long entries.

Above, clear liquidity is resting just beyond $3355 and again near $3380, prime zones for potential stop-runs and reversals.

Momentum indicators (RSI/MACD) show hidden bullish divergence at demand and early exhaustion at supply — adding weight to both sides of the range.

Execution Zones

Primary Buy Zone (Golden Zone) → $3318 – $3324

Entry: $3322 | SL: $3312 | TP1: $3345 | TP2: $3360

Confluence: Daily demand OB + 4H discount zone + 1H FVG + RSI divergence.

Secondary Buy Zone → $3302 – $3308

Entry: $3306 | SL: $3296 | TP1: $3328 | TP2: $3340

Confluence: Deep retracement into 61.8% Fib + untapped 4H OB + liquidity sweep potential.

Primary Sell Zone → $3356 – $3362

Entry: $3359 | SL: $3369 | TP1: $3342 | TP2: $3325

Confluence: Daily resistance + 4H supply OB + premium zone + liquidity inducement above $3355.

Secondary Sell Zone → $3378 – $3384

Entry: $3381 | SL: $3391 | TP1: $3360 | TP2: $3335

Confluence: Major untested daily supply + 4H imbalance + stop-run liquidity.

Executive Summary

The clearest asymmetric opportunity lies in the Primary Buy Zone at $3318–$3324, which aligns across Daily, 4H, and 1H with multiple layers of confluence. This zone provides tight risk control with substantial upside toward $3360.

Until we see a decisive break of either the $3300 handle or the $3380 resistance, expect gold to remain range-bound with sharp liquidity grabs at both extremes. Institutional order flow favors a buy-the-dip bias within demand zones, while rallies into supply should be approached with tactical shorts.

Golden Zone = Buy $3318 – $3324
(best confluence: demand OB + FVG + RSI divergence + structural HL defense)

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