XAU/USD LONG SETUP — WEEKLY ANALYSIS

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SMC Academy JF | May 11, 2025
BIAS: BULLISH — Full Top-Down Confluence
D1 ✅ | H4 ✅ | H1 ✅ | M15 ✅
THE NARRATIVE — ICT/SMC Style:
Price delivered a powerful bullish displacement on Friday, driven by NFP data and ongoing geopolitical safe-haven demand. On Sunday’s market open, the algorithm executed a classic Liquidity Grab — sweeping below the weekend lows to hunt retail stop losses before reversing aggressively upward.
This sweep confirmed institutional accumulation. Combined with a 1H Fair Value Gap left unfilled from Friday’s rally and a clean Change of Character on M15, smart money has shown its hand. The target: Buy Side Liquidity resting above the Weak High at 4,750.
THE SETUP:
• ENTRY: BUY 4,690 — above OB 5M after CHoCH confirmation
• SL: 4,668 — below Liquidity Grab + Support Zone
• TP1: 4,709 — Equal Highs / first target
• TP2: 4,729 — intermediate resistance
• TP3: 4,750 — BSL Major / Weak High
• R/R: 1:3 ✅
⚠️ TRIGGER: Entry activates ONLY after London session confirms price holds 4,688-4,690 support + M5 CHoCH with real body candle.
The algorithm showed its hand on Sunday open. Now we follow the smart money.

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