Gold remains under bearish pressure after breaking below the previous intraday structure. Today's recovery appears corrective rather than impulsive, with price approaching the 4020–4070 supply zone, where sellers may look to regain control.
The main focus for the US session is the US CPI release, one of the week's most important macro events. Inflation data is likely to trigger significant volatility. A weaker-than-expected CPI could support a deeper recovery, while stronger inflation may reinforce USD strength and renew selling pressure on gold.
☑️ Primary Scenario – Sell the Recovery
Watch for bearish confirmation within the 4020–4070 supply zone.
Rejection from supply or the nearby FVG offers potential short entries.
Target: Return toward the recent lows.
☑️ Alternative Scenario – Bullish Breakout
If gold closes decisively above 4070, the recovery may extend.
The next upside objective is the 4100–4105 liquidity gap, where fresh selling interest could emerge.
Supply Zone
4020 – 4070
Major Supply / FVG
4100 – 4105
Nearest Support
3985 – 3995
High-Impact News Today
🔴 19:30 (GMT+7) – US CPI (Consumer Price Index)
Core CPI m/m
Core CPI y/y
CPI m/m
CPI y/y
🔴 21:00 (GMT+7) – Fed Chairman Waller Speaks
Session Bias
🔴 Bearish Scalping
As long as gold remains below the 4070 resistance, intraday recoveries are still viewed as opportunities to look for short positions. CPI volatility may create liquidity sweeps before the next directional move.
The main focus for the US session is the US CPI release, one of the week's most important macro events. Inflation data is likely to trigger significant volatility. A weaker-than-expected CPI could support a deeper recovery, while stronger inflation may reinforce USD strength and renew selling pressure on gold.
☑️ Primary Scenario – Sell the Recovery
Watch for bearish confirmation within the 4020–4070 supply zone.
Rejection from supply or the nearby FVG offers potential short entries.
Target: Return toward the recent lows.
☑️ Alternative Scenario – Bullish Breakout
If gold closes decisively above 4070, the recovery may extend.
The next upside objective is the 4100–4105 liquidity gap, where fresh selling interest could emerge.
Supply Zone
4020 – 4070
Major Supply / FVG
4100 – 4105
Nearest Support
3985 – 3995
High-Impact News Today
🔴 19:30 (GMT+7) – US CPI (Consumer Price Index)
Core CPI m/m
Core CPI y/y
CPI m/m
CPI y/y
🔴 21:00 (GMT+7) – Fed Chairman Waller Speaks
Session Bias
🔴 Bearish Scalping
As long as gold remains below the 4070 resistance, intraday recoveries are still viewed as opportunities to look for short positions. CPI volatility may create liquidity sweeps before the next directional move.
Trade ist aktiv
UPDATE – PLAN 14/07 ACTIVE ✅Gold reacted exactly as expected after the US CPI release.
The bullish momentum extended into the 4104 gap, where price tapped the planned sell zone before reversing sharply. Although the gap has not been completely filled, sellers quickly regained control, driving gold back toward 403X and delivering nearly 800 pips from the resistance area.
📌 CPI fueled the recovery.
📌 The gap attracted liquidity.
📌 Sellers took control exactly where expected.
Emma Diamond | Gold Scalping & Market Analysis
Sharing macro insights, XAUUSD trend analysis, and high-probability scalping setups with disciplined risk management.
t.me/+tQGX4PFCCF0zMzI9
Sharing macro insights, XAUUSD trend analysis, and high-probability scalping setups with disciplined risk management.
t.me/+tQGX4PFCCF0zMzI9
Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.
Emma Diamond | Gold Scalping & Market Analysis
Sharing macro insights, XAUUSD trend analysis, and high-probability scalping setups with disciplined risk management.
t.me/+tQGX4PFCCF0zMzI9
Sharing macro insights, XAUUSD trend analysis, and high-probability scalping setups with disciplined risk management.
t.me/+tQGX4PFCCF0zMzI9
Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.