XAUUSD — Strong Support Tested, Recovery Setup

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Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains sensitive to USD momentum, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. macro data. For now, short-term price action shows a possible technical recovery as buyers continue to defend the same support zone.

Technical Analysis
On the 1H chart, XAUUSD is trading around 3,995 after testing the strong support area near 3,960 - 3,970 multiple times. This repeated reaction shows that sellers are losing some pressure at the low. The first buy zone is around 3,983 - 3,987. If price holds this zone, gold may correct higher toward the liquidity level at 4,017, then the sell FVG area around 4,050 - 4,055. A stronger recovery may target the VL zone around 4,095 - 4,105.

Important Key Levels
Current price: 3,995
Strong support: 3,960 - 3,970
Main buy zone: 3,983 - 3,987
Liquidity level: 4,017
Sell FVG zone: 4,050 - 4,055
Main recovery target: 4,095 - 4,105
Invalidation: below 3,960

Trading Scenario
Main Buy Setup
Entry: 3,983 - 3,987
Stop Loss: 3,960
Take Profit 1: 4,017
Take Profit 2: 4,050 - 4,055
Take Profit 3: 4,095 - 4,105

Buy Condition
Wait for gold to hold the 3,983 - 3,987 buy zone and show bullish rejection. A clean reaction above this zone keeps the recovery setup valid. If price breaks above 4,017, the corrective move may extend toward 4,050 - 4,055. If price breaks and holds below 3,960, the buy setup is invalid.

Overall View
XAUUSD is still under broader downtrend pressure, but the repeated test of strong support suggests a possible short-term correction. The preferred plan is to wait for confirmation around 3,983 - 3,987, then look for recovery toward 4,017, 4,055, and 4,095 - 4,105.

Do you think gold can recover from this strong support zone, or will sellers break it on the next test?

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