THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
A decent start to the week with gold giving us the RIP from the RB and then a lovely retracement trade during the London session. After that, it has continued the move on the chart but very laboriously.
The issue I have here is the lack of volume to move the price and more of an accumulation going on due to the lack of volume. So, I'm going to leave the bias levels as they are and unless we break below the 4125 level and then 4106, I'm not discounting
Harmonic Patterns
NVDA Price Action | Rising Trendline Faces 240 Resistance🔹 NVDA remains within a broader rising price structure, with price respecting the ascending trendline while forming higher highs and higher lows. The latest move has pushed price toward the 240 resistance area, where sellers could remain active after the recent rejection. The highlighted 210–215 liquidity zone acts as an important support area, while the current consolidation near 230–235 suggests that price is approaching a key decision point. A breakout above resistance could strengthen the bu
BITCOIN: Next Massive Global Bull-Flag-Formation is Forming!Hello Community,
welcome to my new analysis of Bitcoin on the monthly timeframe perspective. In my recent analysis, I detected a major underlying pattern forming within BITCOIN, which has strong potential to convert into a great opportunity on the long side to profit from rising prices. Therefore, I detected all the important factors necessary to watch next.
When looking at my chart, we can see how BITCOIN has already completed this huge global bull-flag formation, being the origin of a great
SpaceX - This is still just the beginning!🚀SpaceX ( NASDAQ:SPCX ) already created the first breakout:
🔎Analysis summary:
After continuously retesting the major resistance area, SpaceX finally created the first bullish breakout. And with this strong rally of about +15% in two days, bulls are clearly taking over. Quite likely that SpaceX will now create another breakout and a rally of +30%.
📝Levels to watch:
$170 and $220
Keep your #LONGTERMVISION🙏
— Phil (@TheTraderPhil)
When Indicators Say the Same ThingUsing several indicators can make a trade look more convincing. RSI is bullish, MACD has crossed higher, moving averages are trending upward, and a momentum oscillator confirms the move. It looks like four separate reasons to take the trade.
In reality, you may be looking at the same information four times.
Most technical indicators are derived from price, volume, or a combination of both. RSI and MACD use different calculations, for example, but both respond to changes in price momentum. When
XAGUSD — Buyers Have Yet to Reclaim Lost GroundSilver is trading around 60.490 following a sharp decline, but this pause has yet to show that buyers have regained control. On the 12H chart, price remains below the descending trendline, with a sequence of lower highs. Previous recoveries have met selling pressure, and the current structure continues to favor the downside.
A strong U.S. dollar and elevated Treasury yields continue to weigh on precious metals. This backdrop makes silver’s recovery more difficult, while the chart has yet to sho
06.10.26 Daily ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:AUDJPY : On the higher timeframe price is positioned very nicely for the longs, having taken out the low below and started to show its hand on the daily we can lean more into the buys from here. We have to be aware that the low was not significantly taken out, which is a key detail moving forward, knowing that when larger moves happen they usually take out the highs and lows fully before going. I am looking for either a clear break to the upside followed by a stack of pri
BTCUSD Rising Trendline Holds as 90K Liquidity Comes Into Focus🔹 BTCUSD is holding within a rising market structure, with price respecting the ascending trendline after the reaction from the 74,000–75,000 area. The recent consolidation around 83,000–86,000 suggests a period of balance after the previous bullish expansion. Price is currently trading above the highlighted 80,000–81,000 support zone, while the 87,000–88,000 area appears to act as nearby resistance. Above that region, the 90,000 liquidity area remains a major upside objective visible on the cha
DeGRAM | GBPJPY — 208.00 Support Keeps the Upside in Play📊 Technical Analysis
● GBPJPY is holding above the 208.00–208.20 support zone after the latest pullback, while price remains positioned for another attempt at the 209.80–210.10 resistance area.
● The pair has already broken above the short-term descending structure, turning the current consolidation into a potential continuation setup. Holding the support zone keeps the recovery structure intact.
● A move through 209.00 could accelerate the rebound toward the 209.80–210.10 target zone, where th
NATGAS — Don’t Be Too Quick to Call the End of the TrendNatural gas is maintaining its bullish structure, with price recovering after testing the lower boundary of the channel. The decline from late September’s high slowed upward momentum, but it has not broken the support guiding the trend.
Fundamentally, U.S. gas demand forecasts for the next two weeks have been revised higher, while production has declined following a pipeline disruption in Kentucky. Gas flows to Freeport LNG are also expected to recover, supporting demand for gas used in exports
VISA: Massive Bull-Flag-Formation, Bullish Targets Active!Hello Community,
welcome to my new analysis of VISA on the weekly timeframe perspective. In my recent analysis, I detected stocks that have major potential to convert into trading opportunities on the long side. In this case, VISA is forming a particularly interesting formation. I have detected all the important factors necessary to consider here.
When looking at my chart, we can see how VISA is trading within this prolonged uptrend, bouncing several times within the ascending trendline. Now,
EURUSD | Bearish Trendline Rejection🔹 EURUSD remains in a clear bearish market structure, with price forming lower highs and lower lows beneath the descending trendline. The recent breakdown below the 1.1400 support area reinforces the bearish price action, while the former support now appears to be acting as resistance. Selling pressure has accelerated toward the 1.1200 region, leaving the 1.1000 liquidity area as an important downside zone to monitor. The overall technical analysis suggests that sellers currently have control wh
XAUUSD – Sellers Still Have the Upper HandAt the moment, XAUUSD is still a market where I would rather look for downside opportunities than search for reasons to buy . Gold is holding above its recent lows, but both the fundamental backdrop and the way price is behaving on H1 suggest that the short-term advantage remains with sellers.
From a fundamental perspective , what stands out to me is not a lack of supportive news for gold. Weaker U.S. labor data has reduced expectations for further Fed rate hikes, which would normally create
GBPUSD – Weak Rallies Keep the Bearish Case AliveThe recent price action in GBPUSD tells a fairly simple story: buyers can create rebounds, but they have not been able to turn those rebounds into sustained upside progress . Each recovery has eventually stalled at a lower level, leaving the broader decline intact and keeping my focus on the SELL side .
The area around 1.3230–1.3270 is where I expect the next important decision to take place. Price does not need to fall immediately from current levels. In fact, a deeper rebound would make t
USDJPY – The Rally Still Has a Strong FoundationUSDJPY remains a pair where I maintain a short-term BULLISH bias . The recent correction has not materially changed the balance of the market; both the macro backdrop and the current price structure continue to provide a relative advantage to buyers.
From a fundamental perspective , the key story remains the U.S.–Japan yield differential. Weaker U.S. labor data has reduced expectations for further Fed rate hikes, while the prospect of continued BOJ policy normalization is providing some suppo
DeGRAM | XAUUSD — Sellers Defend 4,200, 4,100 in Sight📊 Technical Analysis
● XAUUSD remains capped below the major descending resistance, with the latest rebound failing to break the 4,190–4,210 resistance zone.
● Price is still moving inside the bearish wedge structure, while the 4,120–4,140 support area remains the next important downside level.
● A rejection from 4,190–4,210 would keep sellers in control and open the way toward the 4,100–4,120 target zone.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Gold is attempting a modest recovery after the weak US jobs r
05.10.26 Daily ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:AUDCAD : A very simple play here on this pair, as we can see after so much selling the previous couple of weeks price has come into a base and had an immediate 4H reaction for the longs. We cannot ignore this impulsive move and with price now stacking on the 1H, all we need is a little development and we are good to go. Once the top is more confirmed with this structure, I will wait for the base to be hit filling all of the small near misses and filter to the 15M for a ri
DeGRAM | AUDUSD — 0.6980 Resistance Keeps Sellers in Control📊 Technical Analysis
● AUDUSD remains within the broader descending structure, with the latest recovery approaching the 0.6975–0.6980 resistance zone and the major falling trendline.
● The rebound from 0.6910 has so far developed as a correction within the downtrend. A rejection from the current resistance would keep the bearish structure intact.
● A move lower from this area would bring 0.6940 into focus first, followed by the 0.6910–0.6920 target zone.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● The Australi
Bearish reversal at key resistance?USD/JPY is rising toward the resistance level which is an overlap resistance, and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 158.51
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 160.67
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 156.42
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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AUDUSD: The Downtrend Is Not OverAUDUSD remains under pressure as the US dollar trades near a 17-month high, supported by elevated Treasury yields and safe-haven demand. Although weaker US employment data has reduced the likelihood of an October Fed rate hike, Treasury yields remain high and continue to weigh on cyclical currencies such as the Australian dollar. Reuters
On the H3 chart, price continues to move within a well-defined descending channel, maintaining a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The latest recovery is
XAUUSD: Gold Could Bounce From Major Support. Is 4,250 Next?Gold is currently approaching an important support zone, an area where price has previously shown a strong bullish reaction. Although bearish momentum is still visible, this support could become an interesting area for buyers to step back in.
A bullish confirmation, such as a strong rejection, a bullish engulfing candle, or a long lower wick, would increase the probability of a bounce from this area. If I’m right and buyers regain control, price could recover toward 4,250.
However, a clear bre
XAGUSD: Huge Descending-Wedge-Formation, Breakout Incoming!Hello Community,
welcome to my new analysis of XAGUSD on the daily timeframe perspective. In my recent analysis, I detected important signs in XAGUSD that have the potential to lead to an interesting and worthwhile trading opportunity. Therefore, I detected all the important signs that are necessary to consider here.
When looking at my chart, we can see how XAGUSD is moving within the prolonged ascending trend channel. It has significant support at the lower boundary, in which it has already
Amazon: Descending channel squeeze,breakout or fade?It has taken Amazon two months to whittle lower within a downtrend channel from its August top near 283. While the rallies have been repeatedly stalling out near the upper trend line, the selling is running out of steam, with each decline becoming progressively less steep. The global equity market attention is still being directed towards AI spending, interest rates, and crude oil, but Amazon is getting held back by the antitrust suit in October and its results on October 29.
On the basis of th
XAUUSD 15M: Supply Rejection & Bearish StructureGold has shown a clear reaction from the 4,168–4,182 15M FVG + Order Block area. Price pushed into this supply region, failed to sustain the move higher, and subsequently shifted lower.
Key observations:
- 🔴 15M FVG + OB: 4,168–4,182 remains the key reaction area.
- 💧 Liquidity sweeps: Previous highs were swept before the bearish reaction.
- 📉 Market structure: The recent CHoCH supports a short-term bearish shift.
- 🎯 Downside focus: If bearish structure remains intact, price could continue towa























