OPEN-SOURCE SCRIPT
Auto-DCF and Margin of Safety Setup
Description
Overview This indicator provides a dual-layered approach to stock valuation by combining a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model with Technical Momentum filters. It is designed for investors who seek to align fundamental "Fair Value" with high-probability technical entry points.
How It Works The script automates the valuation process by fetching real-time financial data directly from TradingView’s database.
Fundamental Valuation (DCF):
FCF Projections: It retrieves Free Cash Flow (TTM) and Total Shares Outstanding to calculate FCF per share.
Growth & Discounting: It projects FCF forward for 10 years based on your "Expected Annual Growth Rate" and discounts those values back to the present using the "Discount Rate" (WACC).
Terminal Value: A terminal value is calculated using a exit multiple (P/FCF) at Year 10 to account for the company's value beyond the projection period.
Intrinsic Value: The sum of all discounted cash flows and the terminal value represents the Intrinsic (Fair) Value, plotted as gray circles.
Margin of Safety (MoS):
A "Buy Limit" line (green) is plotted at a user-defined percentage below the Intrinsic Value. This represents the "Margin of Safety" popularized by Benjamin Graham to account for errors in estimation.
Technical Filters (The "Buy Setup"):
A visual Buy Zone appears only when three conditions align:
Value: Price is trading below the Margin of Safety.
Momentum: The RSI is in "Oversold" territory (default < 35).
Price Action: The stock is in a "Deep Pullback" (defined as a 15% drop from its 50-bar high).
How to Use
Settings: You must adjust the Growth Rate and Discount Rate based on the specific company’s historical performance and risk profile.
Visuals: When a setup occurs, the script draws a green box, a technical Stop Loss (based on a buffer below the low), and a Tech Target (a 50% retracement of the recent drop).
Limitations: This script requires request.financial data. It is intended for Stocks only. If no financial data is available for a ticker (e.g., Crypto or Forex), an error label will appear.
Disclaimer This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. DCF models are highly sensitive to input variables; small changes in growth or discount rates can significantly alter the Fair Value.
Overview This indicator provides a dual-layered approach to stock valuation by combining a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model with Technical Momentum filters. It is designed for investors who seek to align fundamental "Fair Value" with high-probability technical entry points.
How It Works The script automates the valuation process by fetching real-time financial data directly from TradingView’s database.
Fundamental Valuation (DCF):
FCF Projections: It retrieves Free Cash Flow (TTM) and Total Shares Outstanding to calculate FCF per share.
Growth & Discounting: It projects FCF forward for 10 years based on your "Expected Annual Growth Rate" and discounts those values back to the present using the "Discount Rate" (WACC).
Terminal Value: A terminal value is calculated using a exit multiple (P/FCF) at Year 10 to account for the company's value beyond the projection period.
Intrinsic Value: The sum of all discounted cash flows and the terminal value represents the Intrinsic (Fair) Value, plotted as gray circles.
Margin of Safety (MoS):
A "Buy Limit" line (green) is plotted at a user-defined percentage below the Intrinsic Value. This represents the "Margin of Safety" popularized by Benjamin Graham to account for errors in estimation.
Technical Filters (The "Buy Setup"):
A visual Buy Zone appears only when three conditions align:
Value: Price is trading below the Margin of Safety.
Momentum: The RSI is in "Oversold" territory (default < 35).
Price Action: The stock is in a "Deep Pullback" (defined as a 15% drop from its 50-bar high).
How to Use
Settings: You must adjust the Growth Rate and Discount Rate based on the specific company’s historical performance and risk profile.
Visuals: When a setup occurs, the script draws a green box, a technical Stop Loss (based on a buffer below the low), and a Tech Target (a 50% retracement of the recent drop).
Limitations: This script requires request.financial data. It is intended for Stocks only. If no financial data is available for a ticker (e.g., Crypto or Forex), an error label will appear.
Disclaimer This script is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. DCF models are highly sensitive to input variables; small changes in growth or discount rates can significantly alter the Fair Value.
Open-source Skript
Ganz im Sinne von TradingView hat dieser Autor sein/ihr Script als Open-Source veröffentlicht. Auf diese Weise können nun auch andere Trader das Script rezensieren und die Funktionalität überprüfen. Vielen Dank an den Autor! Sie können das Script kostenlos verwenden, aber eine Wiederveröffentlichung des Codes unterliegt unseren Hausregeln.
Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.
Open-source Skript
Ganz im Sinne von TradingView hat dieser Autor sein/ihr Script als Open-Source veröffentlicht. Auf diese Weise können nun auch andere Trader das Script rezensieren und die Funktionalität überprüfen. Vielen Dank an den Autor! Sie können das Script kostenlos verwenden, aber eine Wiederveröffentlichung des Codes unterliegt unseren Hausregeln.
Haftungsausschluss
Die Informationen und Veröffentlichungen sind nicht als Finanz-, Anlage-, Handels- oder andere Arten von Ratschlägen oder Empfehlungen gedacht, die von TradingView bereitgestellt oder gebilligt werden, und stellen diese nicht dar. Lesen Sie mehr in den Nutzungsbedingungen.