Could this week’s RBNZ cut mark the peak in AUD/NZD?

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Is it too early to call the Aussie dollar peaking against the New Zealand dollar? Several analysts suggesting the AUD/NZD rally is losing momentum ahead of this week’s Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision.

Markets expect the RBNZ to deliver a 25-basis-point cut, taking the Official Cash Rate to 2.25%.

Strategists at Bank of New Zealand and National Australia Bank say the currency pair, which recently traded near decade-high levels, may start to retreat toward 1.14 if the RBNZ indicates it is close to ending its easing cycle.

Technical signals could be reinforcing the idea that AUD/NZD may be nearing a turning point. A bearish candlestick resembling a shooting star formed on 13 November, a pattern often associated with reversals after extended uptrends.

Still, not all factors favour the kiwi. Australia maintains a sizable rate advantage over New Zealand

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