Thesis
BABA remains in a broader bullish reversal, with the current pullback continuing to resolve as an intermediate corrective phase.Context
- Weekly and daily timeframes
- Multi-year base already completed
- Prior impulsive advance followed by a controlled retracement
What I see
- Pullback continues to respect the prior breakout structure
- Price is consolidating inside a descending corrective channel
- Rising longer-term moving-average support remains intact
- Structure remains consistent with an intermediate Wave (4) correction
What matters now
- The 50-day moving average is aligned with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement near the $159 area
- A break and hold above this confluence would signal completion of Wave (4)
- Failure to reclaim this level likely extends consolidation
Buy / Accumulation zone
- Current consolidation range within the Wave (4) retracement zone
- Risk remains defined against the recent higher low
Targets
- A confirmed flip of the $159 confluence opens the path toward the $230 area
- That level aligns with the next intermediate upside reference
Risk / Invalidation
- Loss of rising support would weaken the bullish reversal structure
Long term investor. Open portfolio and full thesis on eToro: etoro.com/people/maratteo
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Long term investor. Open portfolio and full thesis on eToro: etoro.com/people/maratteo
Publicaciones relacionadas
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones no constituyen, ni deben considerarse como, asesoramiento o recomendaciones financieras, de inversión, de trading u otro tipo, proporcionadas o respaldadas por TradingView. Obtenga más información en Condiciones de uso.