1. Fundamental Analysis:
a) Macroeconomics:
• USD: After a technical rebound, the USD is stalling -> no longer exerting strong selling pressure on BTC.
• US equities: Trading within a narrow range, in an accumulation phase -> the market is waiting for a new signal.
• FED: No signal of further tightening; interest rates remain high, but mid-term expectations are still for cuts -> BTC is being supported.
• BTC ETF: ETF flows are not seeing strong outflows, mainly holding positions, showing institutions have not exited the market.
b) Politics:
• No new negative geopolitical news -> the crypto market is not experiencing shock events.
c) Market Sentiment:
• Neutral – slightly risk-on.
• Retail traders are trading short-term, while institutions are standing aside waiting for trend confirmation -> high chance of liquidity sweeps on both sides.
• Year-end period, overall activity is slowing, with no major trades.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Overall trend: Sideways within a slightly upward range.
• Price is trading below the short-term ascending trendline (rejected multiple times – circles on the chart).
• Oscillating within the 87k – 88k range.
• RSI: M15–M30 RSI around the 50–60 zone -> not overbought.
• Suitable for scalping within the range, not suitable for holding long-term trend trades.
=> Current structure:
Not enough momentum to break the trendline -> prioritize pullback trades and range trading, avoid chasing price.
Key Technical Levels:
• Resistance: 88,048 – 89,186
• Support: 86,177 – 83,856
3. Previous Market Session:
• BTC tested the 89k–90k zone -> strongly rejected at the trendline.
• Then returned to consolidation around the 87k–88k area.
• Liquidity did not expand -> this is a technical pullback, not distribution.
=> The previous session was an order absorption day; direction has not been chosen yet.
a) Macroeconomics:
• USD: After a technical rebound, the USD is stalling -> no longer exerting strong selling pressure on BTC.
• US equities: Trading within a narrow range, in an accumulation phase -> the market is waiting for a new signal.
• FED: No signal of further tightening; interest rates remain high, but mid-term expectations are still for cuts -> BTC is being supported.
• BTC ETF: ETF flows are not seeing strong outflows, mainly holding positions, showing institutions have not exited the market.
b) Politics:
• No new negative geopolitical news -> the crypto market is not experiencing shock events.
c) Market Sentiment:
• Neutral – slightly risk-on.
• Retail traders are trading short-term, while institutions are standing aside waiting for trend confirmation -> high chance of liquidity sweeps on both sides.
• Year-end period, overall activity is slowing, with no major trades.
2. Technical Analysis:
• Overall trend: Sideways within a slightly upward range.
• Price is trading below the short-term ascending trendline (rejected multiple times – circles on the chart).
• Oscillating within the 87k – 88k range.
• RSI: M15–M30 RSI around the 50–60 zone -> not overbought.
• Suitable for scalping within the range, not suitable for holding long-term trend trades.
=> Current structure:
Not enough momentum to break the trendline -> prioritize pullback trades and range trading, avoid chasing price.
Key Technical Levels:
• Resistance: 88,048 – 89,186
• Support: 86,177 – 83,856
3. Previous Market Session:
• BTC tested the 89k–90k zone -> strongly rejected at the trendline.
• Then returned to consolidation around the 87k–88k area.
• Liquidity did not expand -> this is a technical pullback, not distribution.
=> The previous session was an order absorption day; direction has not been chosen yet.
Nota
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📢 Sometimes signals appear on TradingView with a slight delay!
🚀 Join our Telegram channel to get instant updates and real-time scalping signals:
👉 t.me/+dXxWVQnU5IcwNmI1
🚀 Join our Telegram channel to get instant updates and real-time scalping signals:
👉 t.me/+dXxWVQnU5IcwNmI1
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones no constituyen, ni deben considerarse como, asesoramiento o recomendaciones financieras, de inversión, de trading u otro tipo, proporcionadas o respaldadas por TradingView. Obtenga más información en Condiciones de uso.