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BTC — D Stretch → Pullback Risk (RSm) | 25 Feb 2026

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Context:
Price accelerated strongly above the D structural level.
The D horizon is currently stretched.
Current probability of D sign reversal: ~71%.
D sign-flip level is located near 66.3K.
Current price trades materially above this level (~69K).

When D reversal probability moves above 70%,
statistical pressure for mean reversion increases within the D structure.

Importantly, the broader direction of the model remains upward.

This reflects a pullback inside a positive regime —
not a higher-horizon bearish reversal.

Expectation
- Direction: Pullback
- Reference level: D sign-flip level (~66.3K)
- Type: Mean reversion within D

Timing
Horizon: D
Expected window: Several days to ~1 week

RSm measures structural deviation and probability of sign reversal.
It does not predict exact timing.

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Follow for structured RSm horizon updates and probabilistic market analysis.
Nota
Target update from 66.3k to 66.8k
Operación cerrada: objetivo alcanzado
Target reached at 66767

Follow for more probabilistic model setups

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