█ SETUP
Comcast ·
CMCSA · 4H · long only.
ALMA Averaging Strategy: ALMA 3 / σ2, SD band 2, min diff 1 bar to add / 1 bar to exit, 25% per bar, up to 4 adds, hard stop −10% from average entry.
Strategy Tester (CMCSA 4H · OV7887):
Win rate 78% · profit factor 1.7 · max drawdown 29%
Typical hold ~58 bars on winners · cable / media mean-reversion sleeve
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█ WHY NOW
Comcast is a low-volatility media name — the book scaled in across three US sessions before adding again on Tuesday's cash open.
Three 4H ALMA long lots on OV7887:
· 22 Jun 13:30 UTC ~$22.41
· 22 Jun 17:30 UTC ~$22.33
· 23 Jun 13:30 UTC ~$22.31 — fresh bell add
Working average near $22.35; hard stop zone −10% ~$20.1. Exits follow Pine ALMA rules or the hard stop.
Price is essentially flat across the pyramid — this is averaging a sideways tape, not chasing a breakout.
═
█ MACRO
Sector: CMCSA = US cable / broadband cash cow — defensive-ish media, not a megacap AI beta name.
Calendar: PCE week — consumer-facing staples and media can chop with real yields; 4H ALMA is built for that grind.
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Base case: 4H ALMA holds the ~$22.3 cluster · slow mean-reversion while the book carries the media sleeve into PCE.
Bear case: yields spike · lose 4H ALMA · −10% from ~$22.35 average toward ~$20.1.
Comcast ·
CMCSA · 4H · long only.ALMA Averaging Strategy: ALMA 3 / σ2, SD band 2, min diff 1 bar to add / 1 bar to exit, 25% per bar, up to 4 adds, hard stop −10% from average entry.
Strategy Tester (CMCSA 4H · OV7887):
Win rate 78% · profit factor 1.7 · max drawdown 29%
Typical hold ~58 bars on winners · cable / media mean-reversion sleeve
═
█ WHY NOW
Comcast is a low-volatility media name — the book scaled in across three US sessions before adding again on Tuesday's cash open.
Three 4H ALMA long lots on OV7887:
· 22 Jun 13:30 UTC ~$22.41
· 22 Jun 17:30 UTC ~$22.33
· 23 Jun 13:30 UTC ~$22.31 — fresh bell add
Working average near $22.35; hard stop zone −10% ~$20.1. Exits follow Pine ALMA rules or the hard stop.
Price is essentially flat across the pyramid — this is averaging a sideways tape, not chasing a breakout.
═
█ MACRO
Sector: CMCSA = US cable / broadband cash cow — defensive-ish media, not a megacap AI beta name.
Calendar: PCE week — consumer-facing staples and media can chop with real yields; 4H ALMA is built for that grind.
═
Base case: 4H ALMA holds the ~$22.3 cluster · slow mean-reversion while the book carries the media sleeve into PCE.
Bear case: yields spike · lose 4H ALMA · −10% from ~$22.35 average toward ~$20.1.
Operación activa
Two sister lots closed on the same 4h template within 24h:· 30 Jun 17:30 UTC — +8.7%
· 1 Jul 13:30 UTC — +9.9%
~+18.6% summed on those two exits — cable/media sleeve, not Mag7 beta.
Entries 22 Jun (two US bell adds) · exits on strategy bar close — not a headline trade.
Educational recap. Past backtest ≠ future results. NFA.
Operación cerrada: objetivo alcanzado
BoaBias / Goldfinch_song
Swing trader · bar-close systematic book
800+ TRADES · WR 60% · AVG HOLD 7D · AVG PNL 7% · MAX DD -3.4%
CRYPTO · STOCKS · INDICES · METALS
📈Sharing Ideas · indicators · strategies with honest stats · Educational only NFA
Swing trader · bar-close systematic book
800+ TRADES · WR 60% · AVG HOLD 7D · AVG PNL 7% · MAX DD -3.4%
CRYPTO · STOCKS · INDICES · METALS
📈Sharing Ideas · indicators · strategies with honest stats · Educational only NFA
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones no constituyen, ni deben considerarse como, asesoramiento o recomendaciones financieras, de inversión, de trading u otro tipo, proporcionadas o respaldadas por TradingView. Obtenga más información en Condiciones de uso.
BoaBias / Goldfinch_song
Swing trader · bar-close systematic book
800+ TRADES · WR 60% · AVG HOLD 7D · AVG PNL 7% · MAX DD -3.4%
CRYPTO · STOCKS · INDICES · METALS
📈Sharing Ideas · indicators · strategies with honest stats · Educational only NFA
Swing trader · bar-close systematic book
800+ TRADES · WR 60% · AVG HOLD 7D · AVG PNL 7% · MAX DD -3.4%
CRYPTO · STOCKS · INDICES · METALS
📈Sharing Ideas · indicators · strategies with honest stats · Educational only NFA
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones no constituyen, ni deben considerarse como, asesoramiento o recomendaciones financieras, de inversión, de trading u otro tipo, proporcionadas o respaldadas por TradingView. Obtenga más información en Condiciones de uso.