The macro narrative for the NAS100 heading into this week is dominated by a volatile cocktail of geopolitical risk and central bank tension 🏦.
With the Iran conflict escalating and threats traded over the weekend, market chatter suggests a definitive shift toward Risk-Off sentiment 📉.
Online communities are leaning heavily Bearish, expecting further liquidations as the index hit a 14-week low. While Fed Chair Powell’s recent rhetoric reinforces a "higher for longer" stance due to persistent energy-driven inflation, retail consensus is currently crowded on the short side, which often precedes a "Squeeze the Shorts" bounce before the primary markdown resumes.
We are seeing a clear Stage 4 Markdown phase on the H1 and H4 timeframes 📉.
Market structure is defined by lower highs and lower lows below a sharply declining 5-day moving average. community chatter is calling for an immediate "V-bottom," but Dow Theory suggests that until we reclaim the declining 5-day MA and build a higher low, the sellers maintain absolute structural control.
The recent undercut of the 23,750 level is being viewed as a "Liquidity Grab" by some, but without an immediate reclaim of "Value," it remains a trap for late dip-buyers.
Key Zone: Confluence is sitting heavily in the 24,000 to 24,100 region 📉. This zone aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level visible on the chart ($24,002$) and the 61.8% golden pocket ($24,103$).
Auction Market Theory identifies this as the current Point of Control (POC) and the upper limit of the "POI" box, representing a heavy supply node where "Trapped Buyers" are likely to sell at breakeven, reinforcing resistance.
We are currently trading at the low of the range, probing the $23,600$ support tier.
I am watching for a "run on liquidity" to sweep the late sellers I’m seeing across various forums, potentially spiking price back into the 24,100 POI 🧹. My view is that any rally into the declining VWAP or the 24,200 handle is a "Sucker Rally" meant to be faded, as long as the 5-day MA remains a ceiling.
My Trade Plan 🎯
Bias: Short / Neutral. I am exercising extreme patience, waiting for a corrective bounce to exhaust itself before joining the dominant markdown.
Entry Protocol: I will look for a short entry if the price rallies into the 24,100 - 24,200 POI zone and shows a "failed reclaim" of the daily VWAP. Confirmation is a break of the micro-low following a test of the declining 5-day MA.
With the Iran conflict escalating and threats traded over the weekend, market chatter suggests a definitive shift toward Risk-Off sentiment 📉.
Online communities are leaning heavily Bearish, expecting further liquidations as the index hit a 14-week low. While Fed Chair Powell’s recent rhetoric reinforces a "higher for longer" stance due to persistent energy-driven inflation, retail consensus is currently crowded on the short side, which often precedes a "Squeeze the Shorts" bounce before the primary markdown resumes.
We are seeing a clear Stage 4 Markdown phase on the H1 and H4 timeframes 📉.
Market structure is defined by lower highs and lower lows below a sharply declining 5-day moving average. community chatter is calling for an immediate "V-bottom," but Dow Theory suggests that until we reclaim the declining 5-day MA and build a higher low, the sellers maintain absolute structural control.
The recent undercut of the 23,750 level is being viewed as a "Liquidity Grab" by some, but without an immediate reclaim of "Value," it remains a trap for late dip-buyers.
Key Zone: Confluence is sitting heavily in the 24,000 to 24,100 region 📉. This zone aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level visible on the chart ($24,002$) and the 61.8% golden pocket ($24,103$).
Auction Market Theory identifies this as the current Point of Control (POC) and the upper limit of the "POI" box, representing a heavy supply node where "Trapped Buyers" are likely to sell at breakeven, reinforcing resistance.
We are currently trading at the low of the range, probing the $23,600$ support tier.
I am watching for a "run on liquidity" to sweep the late sellers I’m seeing across various forums, potentially spiking price back into the 24,100 POI 🧹. My view is that any rally into the declining VWAP or the 24,200 handle is a "Sucker Rally" meant to be faded, as long as the 5-day MA remains a ceiling.
My Trade Plan 🎯
Bias: Short / Neutral. I am exercising extreme patience, waiting for a corrective bounce to exhaust itself before joining the dominant markdown.
Entry Protocol: I will look for a short entry if the price rallies into the 24,100 - 24,200 POI zone and shows a "failed reclaim" of the daily VWAP. Confirmation is a break of the micro-low following a test of the declining 5-day MA.
Operación cerrada: objetivo alcanzado
Trump might be wanting to pump the stock markets heading into the mid-terms. Expect volatility. 
👀 👇🏻 EASY Forex Signals:
👉🔗 youtu.be/mxF2qol_hjA
👀 👇🏻Copy my VIP Telegram signals for FREE:
🚀🔗 anthonyfx.com/anthonyfx_copy/
📲 Telegram: t.me/anthonys_forex
💬 Discord: discord.com/invite/PcBeCdwVQq
👉🔗 youtu.be/mxF2qol_hjA
👀 👇🏻Copy my VIP Telegram signals for FREE:
🚀🔗 anthonyfx.com/anthonyfx_copy/
📲 Telegram: t.me/anthonys_forex
💬 Discord: discord.com/invite/PcBeCdwVQq
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones no constituyen, ni deben considerarse como, asesoramiento o recomendaciones financieras, de inversión, de trading u otro tipo, proporcionadas o respaldadas por TradingView. Obtenga más información en Condiciones de uso.
👀 👇🏻 EASY Forex Signals:
👉🔗 youtu.be/mxF2qol_hjA
👀 👇🏻Copy my VIP Telegram signals for FREE:
🚀🔗 anthonyfx.com/anthonyfx_copy/
📲 Telegram: t.me/anthonys_forex
💬 Discord: discord.com/invite/PcBeCdwVQq
👉🔗 youtu.be/mxF2qol_hjA
👀 👇🏻Copy my VIP Telegram signals for FREE:
🚀🔗 anthonyfx.com/anthonyfx_copy/
📲 Telegram: t.me/anthonys_forex
💬 Discord: discord.com/invite/PcBeCdwVQq
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones no constituyen, ni deben considerarse como, asesoramiento o recomendaciones financieras, de inversión, de trading u otro tipo, proporcionadas o respaldadas por TradingView. Obtenga más información en Condiciones de uso.