What are the conditions we need for a crash?
In my opinion we need to see these conditions coming together before we can say that we are in a crisis environment.
History showed us that before we had a crisis we 1. first saw the yield curve (US 10 year bond yield - 2 year bond yield) inverting.
2. then we saw the unemployment rate rising.
3. the yield curve steepend again.
Then the SPY had a significant correction or a crash.
So currently one of three conditions are active. The inverted yield curve.
Unemployment rate is slowly rising.
The market is still very strong. Don't step infront of a high speed train.
In my opinion we need to see these conditions coming together before we can say that we are in a crisis environment.
History showed us that before we had a crisis we 1. first saw the yield curve (US 10 year bond yield - 2 year bond yield) inverting.
2. then we saw the unemployment rate rising.
3. the yield curve steepend again.
Then the SPY had a significant correction or a crash.
So currently one of three conditions are active. The inverted yield curve.
Unemployment rate is slowly rising.
The market is still very strong. Don't step infront of a high speed train.
Murat Oers (CFTe)
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Murat Oers (CFTe)
Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones no constituyen, ni deben considerarse como, asesoramiento o recomendaciones financieras, de inversión, de trading u otro tipo, proporcionadas o respaldadas por TradingView. Obtenga más información en Condiciones de uso.