XAU/USD Technical Analysis (15M)
Market Bias: Bullish (Recovery Setup)
The chart shows that gold has been trading inside a descending channel, followed by a bearish channel breakout. After the breakout, price experienced a sharp sell-off but is now consolidating inside an orange demand box positioned just above a key support zone. This suggests sellers are losing momentum while buyers attempt to defend the area.
Key Technical Observations
Descending Channel: The previous bearish trend has been broken, indicating weakening downside momentum.
Breakout Confirmed: Price closed below the channel and is now attempting to establish a base.
Demand Zone (Orange Box): Buyers are reacting here, making this an important accumulation area.
Support Zone: Around 4083.5–4078, where multiple candles are holding.
Current Price: Approximately 4090.2, still trading above the major stop-loss level.
Trade Setup (Bullish)
Entry Zone:
4083.5 – 4088
Stop Loss:
4060.5 (below the major support)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 4115
TP2: 4135
TP3: 4160 (matches the projected target shown on the chart)
Invalidation
A decisive 15-minute close below 4080, followed by a break of 4060, would invalidate the bullish setup and could expose gold to further downside.
Trading Plan
Wait for bullish confirmation (strong bullish candle or higher low) from the demand zone before entering.
Manage risk with proper position sizing.
Consider moving the stop to breakeven once TP1 is reached.
Partial profit-taking at each target can help protect gains.
Conclusion:
Although the short-term trend has been bearish, the channel breakout combined with strong demand-zone support suggests a potential bullish reversal. As long as price remains above 4060, the probability favors a recovery toward 4160.
Market Bias: Bullish (Recovery Setup)
The chart shows that gold has been trading inside a descending channel, followed by a bearish channel breakout. After the breakout, price experienced a sharp sell-off but is now consolidating inside an orange demand box positioned just above a key support zone. This suggests sellers are losing momentum while buyers attempt to defend the area.
Key Technical Observations
Descending Channel: The previous bearish trend has been broken, indicating weakening downside momentum.
Breakout Confirmed: Price closed below the channel and is now attempting to establish a base.
Demand Zone (Orange Box): Buyers are reacting here, making this an important accumulation area.
Support Zone: Around 4083.5–4078, where multiple candles are holding.
Current Price: Approximately 4090.2, still trading above the major stop-loss level.
Trade Setup (Bullish)
Entry Zone:
4083.5 – 4088
Stop Loss:
4060.5 (below the major support)
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 4115
TP2: 4135
TP3: 4160 (matches the projected target shown on the chart)
Invalidation
A decisive 15-minute close below 4080, followed by a break of 4060, would invalidate the bullish setup and could expose gold to further downside.
Trading Plan
Wait for bullish confirmation (strong bullish candle or higher low) from the demand zone before entering.
Manage risk with proper position sizing.
Consider moving the stop to breakeven once TP1 is reached.
Partial profit-taking at each target can help protect gains.
Conclusion:
Although the short-term trend has been bearish, the channel breakout combined with strong demand-zone support suggests a potential bullish reversal. As long as price remains above 4060, the probability favors a recovery toward 4160.
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Exención de responsabilidad
La información y las publicaciones no constituyen, ni deben considerarse como, asesoramiento o recomendaciones financieras, de inversión, de trading u otro tipo, proporcionadas o respaldadas por TradingView. Obtenga más información en Condiciones de uso.