XAUUSD — OB Rejection, Intraday Sell Bias

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Market Context

Gold is trading around $4,008 after a short-term recovery from the lower liquidity area. However, the overall intraday structure is still weak because price remains below the descending trendline and has not reclaimed the upper supply zone.

The key area on this chart is the Sell zone OB around $4,030–$4,037. This zone sits below the liquidity level near $4,043 and aligns with the descending trendline, making it the main reaction area where sellers may step back in.

SMC View

From an SMC perspective, gold already created bearish BOS and continued to trade under the main trendline. The recent bounce looks more like a corrective pullback into imbalance and supply, not a confirmed bullish reversal.

The FVG area may act as short-term resistance, but the stronger sell decision zone remains the OB at $4,030–$4,037. If price taps this area and fails to break above the liquidity level, it can create a clean sell reaction toward the sellside liquidity below.

Main Trading Scenario

Condition:
Gold pulls back into the Sell zone OB around $4,030–$4,037 and forms bearish rejection. Lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH confirmation is needed before entry.

Entry: $4,030–$4,037 after bearish rejection
SL: above $4,043
TP1: $4,008
TP2: $3,982
TP3: $3,960

Key Zones to Watch

Current price area: $4,008

Main sell zone OB: $4,030–$4,037

Liquidity above OB: $4,043

FVG reaction zone: $4,018–$4,022

Short-term support: $4,000

Sellside liquidity: $3,982

Intraday low target: $3,960

Trendline resistance: price remains below the descending trendline

Sell confirmation: rejection from $4,030–$4,037 with lower timeframe MSS / CHOCH

Bearish invalidation: clean 2H close above $4,043

Prime Gold View

My current view is that gold remains under intraday selling pressure while price stays below the descending trendline and the $4,030–$4,037 OB zone. The Prime Gold plan is to avoid chasing sell at the current price and wait for price to pull back into the OB before looking for confirmation.

If sellers defend this OB, gold may continue lower toward $4,008, $3,982 and potentially the low area around $3,960. If price breaks and holds above $4,043, the sell setup becomes weaker and the market may need a new structure before the next decision.

No confirmation, no trade.

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