AVAX / Tether USD
Short

AVAX Bear Flag on 4 hour

272
The bounce to ~$30 did not take out the last 4H lower-high (~$30.6–$31). Until that breaks and holds, structure is still down.

This preiction is valid unless price closes above the flag’s upper trendline / last LH (~$30.6–$31). A breakdown from the flag puts the usual magnets back in play:

$28.40 (0.382) → lose it on a 4H close and the path opens to

$27.9 / $27.3

$26.0–$26.6 (0.5 + prior pivot)

If that fails: $23.6 (0.618).
Extreme measured-move risk from the full pole points toward $20–$21 (low-probability unless BTC/ETH crack).

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