This chart illustrates a complete Smart Money Concepts (SMC) market cycle on the Bitcoin daily timeframe. Price initially formed a **Change of Character (CHoCH)** and **Break of Structure (BOS)**, signaling a shift from bearish to bullish market conditions. Following a period of consolidation within a defined range, Bitcoin accumulated liquidity before expanding aggressively higher.
The bullish leg continued with multiple **BOS confirmations**, establishing a strong uptrend and creating a premium pricing environment. Price eventually reached a higher-timeframe **bearish Order Block (OB)** around the $81,000–$83,000 region, where institutional selling pressure emerged.
After rejecting from the order block, Bitcoin broke below key structural support, confirming a bearish market shift. The current decline has delivered price into a major daily support zone near **$60,000–$62,000**, while leaving several **Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)** and unmitigated order blocks above current price.
From an ICT perspective, the support zone may attract buyers and liquidity, potentially triggering a corrective rally toward the nearest FVG and bearish order block around **$66,000–$74,000** before the next directional move develops. Traders will monitor reactions within these imbalance zones for confirmation of continuation or reversal.
Fundamental Overview (Monthly)
Bullish Factors
* Continued institutional adoption of Bitcoin through spot ETF products.
* Growing long-term accumulation by funds, corporations, and sovereign entities.
* Expectations of monetary easing by major central banks could increase demand for risk assets.
* Bitcoin's limited supply and post-halving environment continue to support long-term scarcity.
Bearish Factors
* Global economic uncertainty and risk-off sentiment may pressure crypto markets.
* Higher-for-longer interest rates can reduce liquidity available for speculative assets.
* Regulatory actions against crypto exchanges or stablecoins could increase volatility.
* Profit-taking from large holders after significant rallies may create downside pressure.
Monthly Outlook
Bitcoin remains in a broader bullish market structure despite the current correction. The **$60,000–$62,000 support region** is a critical area that could determine the next major move. Holding above this zone would favor a recovery toward **$66,000–$74,000** and potentially higher. A decisive breakdown below support could expose lower liquidity targets and extend the corrective phase before the broader uptrend resumes.
Note
This analysis is based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and ICT methodologies, focusing on market structure, liquidity, order blocks, and fair value gaps. The highlighted zones represent areas of interest rather than guaranteed reversal points. Traders should wait for price action confirmation and proper risk management before making trading decisions.Markets remain dynamic, and all scenarios are subject to change as new liquidity and institutional activity enter the market.
Transaction en cours
This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects the current market structure based on Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Market conditions can change rapidly, so always wait for confirmation before entering any trade. Use proper risk management, respect your stop loss, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Trade your plan, not your emotions
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.