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BTC — D Stretch → Pullback Risk (RSm) | 25 Feb 2026

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Context:
Price accelerated strongly above the D structural level.
The D horizon is currently stretched.
Current probability of D sign reversal: ~71%.
D sign-flip level is located near 66.3K.
Current price trades materially above this level (~69K).

When D reversal probability moves above 70%,
statistical pressure for mean reversion increases within the D structure.

Importantly, the broader direction of the model remains upward.

This reflects a pullback inside a positive regime —
not a higher-horizon bearish reversal.

Expectation
- Direction: Pullback
- Reference level: D sign-flip level (~66.3K)
- Type: Mean reversion within D

Timing
Horizon: D
Expected window: Several days to ~1 week

RSm measures structural deviation and probability of sign reversal.
It does not predict exact timing.

Follow
Follow for structured RSm horizon updates and probabilistic market analysis.
Note
Target update from 66.3k to 66.8k
Trade fermée: cible de profit atteinte
Target reached at 66767

Follow for more probabilistic model setups

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