Gold is trading at a critical support zone after another wave of aggressive selling. The market remains firmly bearish, but sellers are beginning to encounter demand around the 4155–4180 area, creating the potential for a short-term rebound ahead of CPI.
Today's focus is the U.S. inflation report. Core CPI is forecast at 2.9% y/y while headline CPI is expected at 4.2% y/y. A hotter-than-expected reading would likely strengthen the USD and extend Gold's downtrend. A softer CPI report could trigger profit-taking from sellers and fuel a recovery toward higher resistance levels.
From a technical perspective, Gold remains below the broken support zone around 4235–4260, confirming that the dominant trend is still bearish. Any recovery into resistance should be monitored carefully for continuation signals.
📍 Key Levels:
🔴 4235 – 4260
Major resistance zone and preferred sell area.
🟦 4155 – 4180
Current support zone.
🟦 4025 – 4050
Next bearish target if support fails.
📈 Preferred Scenario:
✅ CPI comes in above expectations → USD strengthens and Gold continues lower toward 4050.
✅ CPI comes in below expectations → Gold rebounds toward 4235–4260 before the next directional move.
✅ While price remains below 4260, the broader bearish structure remains intact.
❌ A sustained recovery above 4260 would weaken the immediate bearish outlook.
📊 Risk Management:
• Risk a maximum of 1–2% per trade.
• Expect extreme volatility during CPI release.
• Avoid entering positions immediately before the news.
• Let the market confirm direction before increasing exposure.
Trade safe and stay disciplined.
Today's focus is the U.S. inflation report. Core CPI is forecast at 2.9% y/y while headline CPI is expected at 4.2% y/y. A hotter-than-expected reading would likely strengthen the USD and extend Gold's downtrend. A softer CPI report could trigger profit-taking from sellers and fuel a recovery toward higher resistance levels.
From a technical perspective, Gold remains below the broken support zone around 4235–4260, confirming that the dominant trend is still bearish. Any recovery into resistance should be monitored carefully for continuation signals.
📍 Key Levels:
🔴 4235 – 4260
Major resistance zone and preferred sell area.
🟦 4155 – 4180
Current support zone.
🟦 4025 – 4050
Next bearish target if support fails.
📈 Preferred Scenario:
✅ CPI comes in above expectations → USD strengthens and Gold continues lower toward 4050.
✅ CPI comes in below expectations → Gold rebounds toward 4235–4260 before the next directional move.
✅ While price remains below 4260, the broader bearish structure remains intact.
❌ A sustained recovery above 4260 would weaken the immediate bearish outlook.
📊 Risk Management:
• Risk a maximum of 1–2% per trade.
• Expect extreme volatility during CPI release.
• Avoid entering positions immediately before the news.
• Let the market confirm direction before increasing exposure.
Trade safe and stay disciplined.
Transaction en cours
GOLD H4 UPDATE
Gold continues to follow the bearish scenario outlined in the previous plan.
After rejecting the 4235–4260 resistance zone, sellers quickly regained control and pushed price below the 4155 support area. The breakdown triggered another impulsive sell-off, extending the decline by more than 1,000 pips from the original sell setup.
Today's CPI data failed to provide meaningful support for Gold. While Core CPI came in slightly below expectations, inflation remains elevated enough to keep the market cautious about aggressive Fed rate cuts. As a result, USD remains supported and Gold continues trading under pressure.
📍 Key Levels:
🔴 4155 – 4180
Former support, now acting as resistance.
🟦 4025 – 4050
Next major support zone.
📈 Outlook:
✅ Bearish structure remains intact.
✅ Any recovery toward resistance is likely to attract fresh selling pressure.
✅ PPI data remains the next key catalyst for volatility.
More than 1,000 pips have already been delivered from the bearish scenario. The trend remains down until the market proves otherwise.
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Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
📊 XAUUSD & Forex Trading📈 Intraday setups – risk-managed⏱️ Live alerts + technical reasoning🧠 Consistency over hype📌 Trade the plan. Manage the risk.👉 Full signals & real-time insights
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.