Current context (H4 + H1)
- H4: bullish structure (CHoCH + BOS) from discount
- Price reached premium (100–104) → supply zone
- H1: PDH sweep (102.4) + bearish CHoCH → early weakness
- No acceptance above highs → only rejections
🧠 Market behavior
- Classic flow: accumulation → expansion → liquidity sweep → pullback
- Upside liquidity taken → high probability of correction
- Current area = distribution / equilibrium
📉 Main scenario (Intraday SHORT)
- As long as price stays below 101.8 – 102.4
➡️ targets:
- TP1: 99.7
- TP2: 98.4 – 97.6
- TP3: 96.9
✔️ Confirmation:
- lower TF bearish BOS
- rejection from supply
- continuation below 100.5
📈 Alternative scenario (H4 Bullish continuation)
- If price accepts above 102.4
➡️ targets:
- 104.2
- 109.5
✔️ Confirmation:
- BOS above highs
- holding above PDH
⚠️ SSM Insight
- Do not buy in premium
- Best setups = discount entries (98–97)
- Current short = pullback within bullish trend
- H4: bullish structure (CHoCH + BOS) from discount
- Price reached premium (100–104) → supply zone
- H1: PDH sweep (102.4) + bearish CHoCH → early weakness
- No acceptance above highs → only rejections
🧠 Market behavior
- Classic flow: accumulation → expansion → liquidity sweep → pullback
- Upside liquidity taken → high probability of correction
- Current area = distribution / equilibrium
📉 Main scenario (Intraday SHORT)
- As long as price stays below 101.8 – 102.4
➡️ targets:
- TP1: 99.7
- TP2: 98.4 – 97.6
- TP3: 96.9
✔️ Confirmation:
- lower TF bearish BOS
- rejection from supply
- continuation below 100.5
📈 Alternative scenario (H4 Bullish continuation)
- If price accepts above 102.4
➡️ targets:
- 104.2
- 109.5
✔️ Confirmation:
- BOS above highs
- holding above PDH
⚠️ SSM Insight
- Do not buy in premium
- Best setups = discount entries (98–97)
- Current short = pullback within bullish trend
Note
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.