$RKLB Overvalued asf!

- is overvalued. I will either stay on the sidelines or short the heck out of this POS.
- Company sells hopium which doesn't have meaningful materialization as of now and not even in the distant future.

Fundamentally,
2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
-0.32 | -0.08 | 0.17 | 0.47

Revenue:
576.83M | 905.01M | 1.21B | 1.69B

- Market cap of currently sits at 24.61B as of July 17, 2025.
- People who are buying now are buying someone else bag and are in for a horrible ride.
- Consider buying it under $15 if you are super bullish

Note

This stock is pumped by twitter/X gurus. They are selling their bags to the noobs.

Note

- These space trades where competition is intense from already establish players like SpaceX, Blue Origin, etc
- You don't get ahead of the trade as market participants are pricing a Neutron success prior to proving its worth and thereby giving way lofty valuation than required. The risk/reward skews towards massive capital losses because if it's new program fails then it will drop more than 20% in a single day and people will be holding their bags.

Note

- Best way to trade these stocks which depend on certain event to succeed prove their worth is to wait and watch. Don't front load as there's no guarantee that they will succeed.

- If you validate that their program works, you will have enough juice to squeeze. But the risk/reward of front loading skews negatively because you will blow up your capital overnight if you are institutional investor or savings if retail investor.

Trade fermée: ordre d’arrêt atteint

Closed short trade at $41 on August 17, 2025

bigbull037

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bigbull037

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