RUNE / TetherUS
Long

RUNE/USDT at a Make-or-Break Zone

146
RUNE/USDT on the 2D timeframe remains in a clear medium- to long-term bearish structure. Price continues to trade below a well-respected descending trendline, indicating sustained selling pressure. Currently, price is testing a major historical demand zone, which could become a critical reaction area.


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Pattern & Structure Explanation

Primary Pattern:
Descending Trendline (Bearish Continuation Structure)
The market consistently forms lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish dominance.

Secondary Structure:
Base Formation / Early Accumulation Attempt
Around the lower price region (0.54–0.67), selling momentum appears to be weakening, supported by long lower wicks that suggest buyer interest at discounted levels.

Market Character:
As long as price remains below the main descending trendline, the overall bias stays bearish. Any bullish move without a confirmed breakout should be considered corrective.



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Key Levels (Based on Chart)

Resistance Zones:

0.717 – Minor resistance & breakdown retest area

0.836 – Previous support turned resistance

0.965 – Mid-range resistance

1.237 – Key supply zone

1.725 – Major resistance

2.176 – Macro resistance


Support Zones:

0.672 – Minor support

0.540 – Major demand zone & cycle low



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Bullish Scenario

A bullish scenario is only valid with clear structural confirmation, not merely a technical bounce.

Bullish Confirmation:

Strong break and close above the descending trendline

Supported by increased volume and impulsive bullish candles


Upside Targets:

0.836

0.965

1.237

1.725 (if bullish momentum sustains)


Until a breakout occurs, any upward movement should be treated as a relief rally within a broader downtrend.


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Bearish Scenario

If buyers fail to defend the lower demand zone:

Bearish Confirmation:

Strong breakdown below 0.540

Daily/2D close below demand with weak or no bullish rejection


Downside Risk:

Continuation of the bearish trend

Potential move into a price discovery phase with new lower lows



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Conclusion

RUNE/USDT remains bearish by structure, but price is currently sitting at a critical decision zone. This area will likely determine the next major move:

Trendline breakout → potential trend reversal

Demand breakdown → bearish continuation


Patience and confirmation are essential, especially when analyzing higher timeframes such as 2D.

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