This is the news step of my trade. I propose to you my idea in english:
TotalEnergies – Investment thesis
The TotalEnergies stock may be overvalued because of the war in Iran.
Strategy to consider:
Dollar-cost averaging (DCA): buy the same number of shares every month in order to smooth the average purchase price over several months.
Calculate the average purchase price over time.
Sell if the stock remains overvalued.
Oil → direct impact on TotalEnergies:
The price of oil has a direct impact on TotalEnergies' revenues and profitability.
Geopolitical hypothesis:
Some oil-producing countries may have an incentive to keep oil prices relatively low in order to discourage investment in alternative energy sources and maintain dependence on oil. This is a hypothesis, not an established fact.
Potential scenario:
Possibility of reaching a new all-time high (ATH).
Risk if another war breaks out.
Main conflict zones involving important oil resources
Red Sea / Yemen — Bab el-Mandeb: approximately 8.1 million barrels per day of oil and petroleum liquids passed through the chokepoint in the cited period.
Iraq / Kuwait / Saudi Arabia / United Arab Emirates
Venezuela
Libya
Russia / Ukraine
Key risk: a new conflict affecting a major oil-producing region or a major shipping chokepoint could significantly affect global oil supply, prices, and therefore TotalEnergies' share price.
GOOD LUCK GUYS and follow me please lol
TotalEnergies – Investment thesis
The TotalEnergies stock may be overvalued because of the war in Iran.
Strategy to consider:
Dollar-cost averaging (DCA): buy the same number of shares every month in order to smooth the average purchase price over several months.
Calculate the average purchase price over time.
Sell if the stock remains overvalued.
Oil → direct impact on TotalEnergies:
The price of oil has a direct impact on TotalEnergies' revenues and profitability.
Geopolitical hypothesis:
Some oil-producing countries may have an incentive to keep oil prices relatively low in order to discourage investment in alternative energy sources and maintain dependence on oil. This is a hypothesis, not an established fact.
Potential scenario:
Possibility of reaching a new all-time high (ATH).
Risk if another war breaks out.
Main conflict zones involving important oil resources
Red Sea / Yemen — Bab el-Mandeb: approximately 8.1 million barrels per day of oil and petroleum liquids passed through the chokepoint in the cited period.
Iraq / Kuwait / Saudi Arabia / United Arab Emirates
Venezuela
Libya
Russia / Ukraine
Key risk: a new conflict affecting a major oil-producing region or a major shipping chokepoint could significantly affect global oil supply, prices, and therefore TotalEnergies' share price.
GOOD LUCK GUYS and follow me please lol
Transaction en cours
Im currently in sell 
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Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.