NSDQ100 resistance breakout required for a leg higher

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US equities extended their rally, but Nasdaq 100 performance lagged as weakness in mega-cap tech offset broader risk-on sentiment. The S&P 500 made a new record, yet the Mag 7 declined (-0.36%), weighing on the index. Tesla led losses (-4.1%), while Nvidia slipped following CES-related headlines, keeping pressure on tech leadership.

Outside of mega caps, market breadth was strong, with small caps outperforming, highlighting a rotation away from concentrated tech exposure. This divergence is a near-term headwind for the Nasdaq 100.

Rates moved higher, with Treasury yields rising across the curve, reinforcing valuation pressure on growth stocks. Fed commentary leaned dovish but offered nothing new to shift policy expectations.

Macro and geopolitical developments added cross-currents: easing oil prices and weaker precious metals signal some cooling in risk assets, while Venezuela, China–Japan trade tensions, and renewed US geopolitical rhetoric add background volatility.

Bottom line: Nasdaq 100 strength is being capped by mega-cap fatigue and higher yields, despite strong overall equity momentum. Leadership rotation remains the key theme for near-term trading.

Key Support and Resistance Levels

Resistance Level 1: 25922

Resistance Level 2: 26166

Resistance Level 3: 26400

Support Level 1: 25220

Support Level 2: 25090

Support Level 3: 24940

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