Hello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD (1H) based on the current market structure shown on the chart. Gold previously experienced a strong impulsive bullish move, which ultimately topped at a clear pivot high, where buying pressure began to fade and sellers stepped in aggressively. From this pivot point, price reversed sharply and entered a corrective bearish phase, forming a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. This move was guided by a well-defined descending supply trend line, confirming sustained selling pressure and controlled downside continuation rather than panic-driven selling. During this decline, price broke below a key Demand Zone around 5,000, triggering a bearish continuation and accelerating the sell-off toward the next pivot low. However, at this lower pivot point, selling momentum weakened significantly, and buyers responded with strong demand. This marked a structural shift, as price began forming higher lows and eventually broke above the descending supply trend line — an early signal that bearish control was losing strength.
Currently, after reclaiming the broken structure, XAUUSD transitioned into a ranging phase above demand, suggesting accumulation rather than distribution. The recent breakout from this range confirmed renewed buyer interest, with price now holding above the Demand Zone while respecting a rising demand trend line. Current price action shows consolidation near demand, indicating a healthy pause rather than rejection.
My primary scenario favors bullish continuation, as long as price holds above the 5,000 Demand Zone and continues to respect the ascending demand line. From a structural perspective, the failure of sellers to regain acceptance below demand suggests that the previous breakdown was corrective. A sustained bullish reaction from this area could lead to a move toward the 5,180 Supply Zone (TP1), where sellers may attempt to defend. A clean breakout and acceptance above supply would open the door for further upside expansion. However, a decisive breakdown and acceptance below the demand zone and rising trend line would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal deeper corrective risk. Until then, structure and price behavior continue to favor buyers. Manage your risk!
Currently, after reclaiming the broken structure, XAUUSD transitioned into a ranging phase above demand, suggesting accumulation rather than distribution. The recent breakout from this range confirmed renewed buyer interest, with price now holding above the Demand Zone while respecting a rising demand trend line. Current price action shows consolidation near demand, indicating a healthy pause rather than rejection.
My primary scenario favors bullish continuation, as long as price holds above the 5,000 Demand Zone and continues to respect the ascending demand line. From a structural perspective, the failure of sellers to regain acceptance below demand suggests that the previous breakdown was corrective. A sustained bullish reaction from this area could lead to a move toward the 5,180 Supply Zone (TP1), where sellers may attempt to defend. A clean breakout and acceptance above supply would open the door for further upside expansion. However, a decisive breakdown and acceptance below the demand zone and rising trend line would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal deeper corrective risk. Until then, structure and price behavior continue to favor buyers. Manage your risk!
Transaction en cours
Gold is moving up above the support line after retesting support, according to our analysis. Therefore, we are waiting further.Note
Gold has risen slightly but has entered a consolidation phase again, let's wait a bit longer.Trade fermée manuellement
Gold broke the ascending support line Therefore, the mood changes to bearish.
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Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.