Xau: New Week

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Hi, I'm Maicol, an Italian trader.

I've been studying Gold since 2019.

My trading approach focuses on swing trading and intraday setups.

I need your support.
Please leave a like and follow my profile.
It may seem like a small gesture, but it makes a big difference to my work.

Make sure to read the full description to understand today's trading plan.
Don't focus only on the chart. Thank you.

🌞 GOOD MORNING EVERYONE 🌞

🔍 Gold Price Action 🔍

The NFP data removed the certainty of a September rate hike, but not the possibility. Warsh is unlikely to abandon the fight against inflation based on a single jobs report, especially with Core PCE still running at 3.4%.
Although real yields have eased slightly, they remain above 2%.

June NFP came in at 57,000 jobs, less than half the 110,000 consensus and the weakest reading in four months. In addition, previous months were revised sharply lower:

* May: 129,000 (from 172,000)
* April: 148,000 (from 179,000)

More importantly, the unemployment rate fell to 4.2% because the labor force participation rate dropped to 61.5%—its lowest level since March 2021—not because of stronger job creation.

For now, I'm watching the afternoon session from 14:00 onward.
Ideally, I'd like to see price sweep the Asian session low and fill the daily imbalance.

I would prefer price not to trade below Thursday's NFP zone at 4,130–4,110, now that the macro backdrop has shifted following the NFP release.

Bias: Neutral, cautiously bullish.

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📬 If you have any questions, feel free to message me. I'll be happy to help.

🔍 Reminder 🔍

I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions.

My main focus is on the high-impact news releases at 8:30 AM ET and the New York session open at 9:30 AM ET.

In the meantime, I wish everyone a great day.

HAPPY TRADING
MANAGE YOUR RISK
BE PATIENT

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