📅 U.S. Session – 15 Oct 2025
💹 Prepared by ElDoradoFx Premium 2.0 Team
⸻
🧭 Market Overview
Gold is currently trading near 4,198, after failing to sustain the breakout above 4,206–4,218. The price is showing temporary weakness as intraday structure shifts toward a corrective phase within the bullish channel.
A deeper retracement may develop before new buyers step in, especially ahead of U.S. CPI reaction and liquidity sweeps.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
D1 (Macro Trend)
• The daily candle remains bullish, but nearing exhaustion at channel resistance (4,218).
• RSI ≈ 84 → deep in overbought territory.
• MACD still strong but showing divergence — hinting possible short-term correction.
➡️ Macro bias: Bullish but stretched; expect retracement before continuation.
⸻
H1 (Intraday Structure)
• The structure remains within the rising channel, but momentum is slowing.
• 20EMA and 50EMA are flattening — suggesting short-term equilibrium.
• Current support: 4,187–4,182 zone, resistance: 4,206–4,218.
• A confirmed break below 4,182 opens space for a deeper pullback to 4,165–4,150.
➡️ Bias: Neutral-bullish → correction likely before next impulse.
⸻
15M–5M (Execution Zone)
• A CHoCH (change of character) formed around 4,206, confirming short-term bearish pressure.
• MACD shows fading momentum, RSI near 50 (neutral).
• Lower timeframe liquidity likely to target 4,180–4,175 before reaccumulation.
⸻
📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone
• Swing Low → 4,165
• Swing High → 4,206
🎯 Golden Zone = 4,174 – 4,179
This aligns perfectly with 1H demand zone and 200EMA — high-probability area for bullish re-entry.
⸻
🎯 High Probability Trade Scenarios
✅ Bullish Re-entry (Main Setup)
• Entry: 4,174–4,179 (Golden Zone)
• Targets: 4,193 → 4,206 → 4,218
• Stop-loss: Below 4,165
📗 Ideal low-risk entry after corrective pullback.
⸻
⚠️ Bearish Short-Term Setup (Countertrend)
• Entry: On confirmed break and close below 4,165
• Targets: 4,150 → 4,139 → 4,122
• Stop-loss: Above 4,182
📕 Short-term sell only if the structure fully breaks.
⸻
📈 Breakout Buy Setup
• Entry: Break and close above 4,218
• Targets: 4,230 → 4,245 → 4,265
• Stop-loss: Below 4,200
📗 Strong continuation confirmation toward new highs.
⸻
📅 Fundamental Watch
🕐 Key Event: U.S. CPI release later today — high volatility expected.
🕐 DXY holding around 105.25, showing indecision.
🕐 Pre-news consolidation expected, with breakout likely post-data release.
⸻
⚠️ Key Levels to Monitor
• Resistance: 4,206 / 4,218 / 4,230
• Support: 4,182 / 4,174 / 4,165 / 4,150
• Breakout Zones:
🔼 Buy above 4,218
🔽 Sell below 4,165
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold remains bullish overall, but a short-term retracement is unfolding as price loses steam near 4,206–4,218 resistance.
Look for a dip into 4,174–4,179 (Golden Zone) for new buying opportunities,
or a confirmed break below 4,165 for intraday correction.
Patience and precision are key ahead of the U.S. CPI volatility window.
⸻
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team 🚀
💹 Prepared by ElDoradoFx Premium 2.0 Team
⸻
🧭 Market Overview
Gold is currently trading near 4,198, after failing to sustain the breakout above 4,206–4,218. The price is showing temporary weakness as intraday structure shifts toward a corrective phase within the bullish channel.
A deeper retracement may develop before new buyers step in, especially ahead of U.S. CPI reaction and liquidity sweeps.
⸻
🔍 Technical Outlook
D1 (Macro Trend)
• The daily candle remains bullish, but nearing exhaustion at channel resistance (4,218).
• RSI ≈ 84 → deep in overbought territory.
• MACD still strong but showing divergence — hinting possible short-term correction.
➡️ Macro bias: Bullish but stretched; expect retracement before continuation.
⸻
H1 (Intraday Structure)
• The structure remains within the rising channel, but momentum is slowing.
• 20EMA and 50EMA are flattening — suggesting short-term equilibrium.
• Current support: 4,187–4,182 zone, resistance: 4,206–4,218.
• A confirmed break below 4,182 opens space for a deeper pullback to 4,165–4,150.
➡️ Bias: Neutral-bullish → correction likely before next impulse.
⸻
15M–5M (Execution Zone)
• A CHoCH (change of character) formed around 4,206, confirming short-term bearish pressure.
• MACD shows fading momentum, RSI near 50 (neutral).
• Lower timeframe liquidity likely to target 4,180–4,175 before reaccumulation.
⸻
📊 Fibonacci Golden Zone
• Swing Low → 4,165
• Swing High → 4,206
🎯 Golden Zone = 4,174 – 4,179
This aligns perfectly with 1H demand zone and 200EMA — high-probability area for bullish re-entry.
⸻
🎯 High Probability Trade Scenarios
✅ Bullish Re-entry (Main Setup)
• Entry: 4,174–4,179 (Golden Zone)
• Targets: 4,193 → 4,206 → 4,218
• Stop-loss: Below 4,165
📗 Ideal low-risk entry after corrective pullback.
⸻
⚠️ Bearish Short-Term Setup (Countertrend)
• Entry: On confirmed break and close below 4,165
• Targets: 4,150 → 4,139 → 4,122
• Stop-loss: Above 4,182
📕 Short-term sell only if the structure fully breaks.
⸻
📈 Breakout Buy Setup
• Entry: Break and close above 4,218
• Targets: 4,230 → 4,245 → 4,265
• Stop-loss: Below 4,200
📗 Strong continuation confirmation toward new highs.
⸻
📅 Fundamental Watch
🕐 Key Event: U.S. CPI release later today — high volatility expected.
🕐 DXY holding around 105.25, showing indecision.
🕐 Pre-news consolidation expected, with breakout likely post-data release.
⸻
⚠️ Key Levels to Monitor
• Resistance: 4,206 / 4,218 / 4,230
• Support: 4,182 / 4,174 / 4,165 / 4,150
• Breakout Zones:
🔼 Buy above 4,218
🔽 Sell below 4,165
⸻
✅ Summary
Gold remains bullish overall, but a short-term retracement is unfolding as price loses steam near 4,206–4,218 resistance.
Look for a dip into 4,174–4,179 (Golden Zone) for new buying opportunities,
or a confirmed break below 4,165 for intraday correction.
Patience and precision are key ahead of the U.S. CPI volatility window.
⸻
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 2.0 Team 🚀
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
— ElDoradoFx PREMIUM 3.0 Team 🚀
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.