XAUUSD H1: Recovery From Weekly Low, Can Buyers Extend Next Week?
Fundamental Analysis
Gold ended the week with a strong recovery attempt after the sharp sell-off into the weekly low area. The market is still sensitive to USD strength, inflation expectations, and cautious risk sentiment, so the recovery has not fully confirmed a major bullish reversal yet.
For next week, the key point is whether buyers can defend the current recovery structure. If price continues to hold above the short-term buy zone, gold may extend higher toward the next liquidity and resistance areas. If the lower support fails, sellers may return quickly.
Weekly Trend Summary
During the past week, gold first continued the bearish movement after the previous BOS structure. Price dropped aggressively from the upper range and reached the weekly low near 4,022.
After sweeping the low, buyers stepped in and created a strong recovery move. This shows that demand appeared from the lower liquidity area, but the overall H1 structure still needs more confirmation before turning fully bullish.
The current rebound is important because price is now holding around the 4,210 area, which is acting as the short-term key level for the next move.
Technical Analysis
On the H1 timeframe, gold is recovering from the weekly low after a strong bearish leg. The current buy zone around 4,210 is holding the short-term structure together.
If buyers continue to defend this zone, the next upside target is the FVG area around 4,340 - 4,350. A clean break above this area could open the way toward the golden low zone near 4,426, then the sellside liquidity area around 4,479.
The lower support area to watch is the buy zone FVG and liquidity around 4,070 - 4,120. If price pulls back into this zone and buyers defend it, the bullish recovery scenario remains valid.
However, if price loses the weekly low near 4,022, the recovery structure becomes invalid and gold may return to the bearish trend.
Key Price Zones
Current price: 4,218
Short-term buy zone: 4,200 - 4,210
Buy zone FVG and liquidity: 4,070 - 4,120
Weekly low: 4,022
FVG resistance zone: 4,340 - 4,350
Golden low zone this week: 4,426
Sellside liquidity: 4,479
Strong high supply zone: 4,560 - 4,590
Bullish invalidation: Below 4,022
Trading Plan
Primary Scenario: Buy From Current Structure
Entry: 4,200 - 4,210 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 4,170
Take Profit 1: 4,340 - 4,350
Take Profit 2: 4,426
Take Profit 3: 4,479
Entry Conditions
Price holds above the 4,200 - 4,210 buy zone.
Buyers show clear rejection from this area.
H1 structure continues forming higher lows.
Price should break above the nearest resistance with strength.
Avoid buying if price breaks and holds below 4,170.
Alternative Scenario: Buy From Deeper Liquidity Zone
Entry: 4,070 - 4,120 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 4,022
Take Profit 1: 4,210
Take Profit 2: 4,340 - 4,350
Take Profit 3: 4,426
Buy Conditions
Price needs to pull back into the 4,070 - 4,120 liquidity zone and show a strong bullish reaction. A bullish CHOCH on H1 or lower timeframe would make the setup cleaner. If price breaks below 4,022, this buy scenario is no longer valid.
Sell Scenario
Entry: Below 4,022 after confirmed breakdown and retest
Stop Loss: Above 4,070
Take Profit 1: 3,980
Take Profit 2: 3,940
Take Profit 3: 3,900
Sell Conditions
A sell setup becomes valid only if price loses the weekly low at 4,022 and fails to reclaim it. This would confirm that the recovery structure has failed and sellers are regaining control.
Overall View
Gold is showing a strong short-term recovery from the weekly low, but next week still needs confirmation. The 4,200 - 4,210 area is the first key buy zone. If buyers defend it, gold may continue toward 4,340 - 4,350, then 4,426 and 4,479.
The deeper buy zone remains 4,070 - 4,120. As long as price stays above 4,022, the recovery scenario is still valid. If 4,022 breaks, the bullish view becomes invalid and downside pressure may return.
Do you think gold will continue the recovery toward 4,479 next week, or will sellers push price back below the weekly low?
Fundamental Analysis
Gold ended the week with a strong recovery attempt after the sharp sell-off into the weekly low area. The market is still sensitive to USD strength, inflation expectations, and cautious risk sentiment, so the recovery has not fully confirmed a major bullish reversal yet.
For next week, the key point is whether buyers can defend the current recovery structure. If price continues to hold above the short-term buy zone, gold may extend higher toward the next liquidity and resistance areas. If the lower support fails, sellers may return quickly.
Weekly Trend Summary
During the past week, gold first continued the bearish movement after the previous BOS structure. Price dropped aggressively from the upper range and reached the weekly low near 4,022.
After sweeping the low, buyers stepped in and created a strong recovery move. This shows that demand appeared from the lower liquidity area, but the overall H1 structure still needs more confirmation before turning fully bullish.
The current rebound is important because price is now holding around the 4,210 area, which is acting as the short-term key level for the next move.
Technical Analysis
On the H1 timeframe, gold is recovering from the weekly low after a strong bearish leg. The current buy zone around 4,210 is holding the short-term structure together.
If buyers continue to defend this zone, the next upside target is the FVG area around 4,340 - 4,350. A clean break above this area could open the way toward the golden low zone near 4,426, then the sellside liquidity area around 4,479.
The lower support area to watch is the buy zone FVG and liquidity around 4,070 - 4,120. If price pulls back into this zone and buyers defend it, the bullish recovery scenario remains valid.
However, if price loses the weekly low near 4,022, the recovery structure becomes invalid and gold may return to the bearish trend.
Key Price Zones
Current price: 4,218
Short-term buy zone: 4,200 - 4,210
Buy zone FVG and liquidity: 4,070 - 4,120
Weekly low: 4,022
FVG resistance zone: 4,340 - 4,350
Golden low zone this week: 4,426
Sellside liquidity: 4,479
Strong high supply zone: 4,560 - 4,590
Bullish invalidation: Below 4,022
Trading Plan
Primary Scenario: Buy From Current Structure
Entry: 4,200 - 4,210 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 4,170
Take Profit 1: 4,340 - 4,350
Take Profit 2: 4,426
Take Profit 3: 4,479
Entry Conditions
Price holds above the 4,200 - 4,210 buy zone.
Buyers show clear rejection from this area.
H1 structure continues forming higher lows.
Price should break above the nearest resistance with strength.
Avoid buying if price breaks and holds below 4,170.
Alternative Scenario: Buy From Deeper Liquidity Zone
Entry: 4,070 - 4,120 after bullish confirmation
Stop Loss: Below 4,022
Take Profit 1: 4,210
Take Profit 2: 4,340 - 4,350
Take Profit 3: 4,426
Buy Conditions
Price needs to pull back into the 4,070 - 4,120 liquidity zone and show a strong bullish reaction. A bullish CHOCH on H1 or lower timeframe would make the setup cleaner. If price breaks below 4,022, this buy scenario is no longer valid.
Sell Scenario
Entry: Below 4,022 after confirmed breakdown and retest
Stop Loss: Above 4,070
Take Profit 1: 3,980
Take Profit 2: 3,940
Take Profit 3: 3,900
Sell Conditions
A sell setup becomes valid only if price loses the weekly low at 4,022 and fails to reclaim it. This would confirm that the recovery structure has failed and sellers are regaining control.
Overall View
Gold is showing a strong short-term recovery from the weekly low, but next week still needs confirmation. The 4,200 - 4,210 area is the first key buy zone. If buyers defend it, gold may continue toward 4,340 - 4,350, then 4,426 and 4,479.
The deeper buy zone remains 4,070 - 4,120. As long as price stays above 4,022, the recovery scenario is still valid. If 4,022 breaks, the bullish view becomes invalid and downside pressure may return.
Do you think gold will continue the recovery toward 4,479 next week, or will sellers push price back below the weekly low?
📌 Owen Steele · XAUUSD · SMC · Order Blocks · Liquidity
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💬 Deeper analysis & real-time updates
🔔 Boost if this helped · t.me/+up9c00DV6so3NWQ9
🕐Weekly outlook every Monday t.me/+X3kNEpwkIcE1ZDY1
💬 Deeper analysis & real-time updates
🔔 Boost if this helped · t.me/+up9c00DV6so3NWQ9
Publications connexes
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
📌 Owen Steele · XAUUSD · SMC · Order Blocks · Liquidity
🕐Weekly outlook every Monday t.me/+X3kNEpwkIcE1ZDY1
💬 Deeper analysis & real-time updates
🔔 Boost if this helped · t.me/+up9c00DV6so3NWQ9
🕐Weekly outlook every Monday t.me/+X3kNEpwkIcE1ZDY1
💬 Deeper analysis & real-time updates
🔔 Boost if this helped · t.me/+up9c00DV6so3NWQ9
Publications connexes
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.