USD DATA: BREAKDOWN CONTINUATION OR REVERSAL FROM THE NEWS?

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Gold remains under strong bearish pressure after the sharp impulsive selloff and continuation breakdown from the H2 structure.
The current rebound is still considered a corrective recovery while price trades below the short-term descending resistance.

Tonight’s session could become highly volatile with major USD news including Core PCE and Prelim GDP data.
If USD strengthens after the release, gold could continue the bearish expansion toward lower support targets.
However, weaker USD data may trigger a short squeeze recovery before sellers regain control.

The primary scenario remains waiting for a pullback into resistance to look for sell continuation.
The alternative scenario is a stronger bullish recovery if price breaks above the current descending resistance structure.

Sell Recovery Zone
4,430 – 4,445

Target 1
4,352

Target 2
4,303

Alternative Scenario
Bullish breakout above descending resistance

Breakout Confirmation
Above 4,445

Recovery Targets
4,480 – 4,500

Invalidation
Above higher timeframe resistance

BIAS:
Bearish structure remains dominant unless gold breaks above short-term descending resistance 📉

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