Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current XAUUSD setup.
Market Analysis
Gold previously traded inside a sideways range after forming a strong bullish impulse that pushed price into the major resistance zone near the 5,100 level. This consolidation reflected temporary balance between buyers and sellers following the impulsive move rather than an immediate reversal. After testing resistance, price experienced a sharp bearish reaction, breaking back below the resistance zone and initiating a corrective decline. This drop shifted short-term control toward sellers and led to a deeper retracement into the broader support structure below. From this support zone, buyers stepped in again, producing a recovery move and allowing price to re-establish itself above the key support region around 4,950. Since then, XAUUSD has been forming a sequence of higher lows while respecting the rising trend line, suggesting that demand is gradually strengthening.
Currently, price is trading just above support and beneath the horizontal resistance at 5,100, where the market is compressing between rising trend support and overhead supply. This type of structure often precedes a directional breakout as liquidity builds on both sides.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario favors bullish continuation as long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,950 support zone and continues to respect the rising trend line. The recent pullbacks appear corrective rather than impulsive, indicating that buyers remain active within the structure. If price maintains acceptance above support and momentum increases, gold could attempt another push toward the 5,100 resistance level (TP1), where sellers may react again. A clean breakout and sustained acceptance above this resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the path for further upside expansion.
However, if price loses the support zone and breaks below the rising trend line, this would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal a deeper corrective move. Until such confirmation appears, structure and price behavior suggest that buyers are attempting to regain control.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Market Analysis
Gold previously traded inside a sideways range after forming a strong bullish impulse that pushed price into the major resistance zone near the 5,100 level. This consolidation reflected temporary balance between buyers and sellers following the impulsive move rather than an immediate reversal. After testing resistance, price experienced a sharp bearish reaction, breaking back below the resistance zone and initiating a corrective decline. This drop shifted short-term control toward sellers and led to a deeper retracement into the broader support structure below. From this support zone, buyers stepped in again, producing a recovery move and allowing price to re-establish itself above the key support region around 4,950. Since then, XAUUSD has been forming a sequence of higher lows while respecting the rising trend line, suggesting that demand is gradually strengthening.
Currently, price is trading just above support and beneath the horizontal resistance at 5,100, where the market is compressing between rising trend support and overhead supply. This type of structure often precedes a directional breakout as liquidity builds on both sides.
My Scenario & Strategy
My primary scenario favors bullish continuation as long as XAUUSD holds above the 4,950 support zone and continues to respect the rising trend line. The recent pullbacks appear corrective rather than impulsive, indicating that buyers remain active within the structure. If price maintains acceptance above support and momentum increases, gold could attempt another push toward the 5,100 resistance level (TP1), where sellers may react again. A clean breakout and sustained acceptance above this resistance would confirm bullish continuation and open the path for further upside expansion.
However, if price loses the support zone and breaks below the rising trend line, this would invalidate the bullish scenario and signal a deeper corrective move. Until such confirmation appears, structure and price behavior suggest that buyers are attempting to regain control.
That’s the setup I’m tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
Transaction en cours
Gold is slowly showing signs of recovery. The support zone is holding, so let's hope it stays that way.Trade fermée: cible de profit atteinte
Today we see that the price of gold has reached the level we set as a target in our analysis.
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🚀If you want became part of my trading team & start making big profits welcome to my paid VIP signals group, write me✏️ t.me/ratner_1
❤️Welcome to my telegram channel👉🏼 t.me/ratner_trading
❤️Welcome to my telegram channel👉🏼 t.me/ratner_trading
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.