Let's address the elephant in the room. Gold printed its all-time high of 5,602 back on January 29, 2026, and now we're grinding around 4,009. That's a brutal drawdown, and everyone screaming "buy the dip" for the last six months has been getting steamrolled. So ask yourself honestly: is this still a bull market, or are we just in denial?
The macro isn't helping the bulls either. Crude oil ripped over 10% last week as renewed US-Iran clashes stoked supply concerns, reviving inflation fears and lifting expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer. Higher for longer is poison for gold. That's exactly why gold just closed out its biggest weekly decline in over a month, and why rallies are likely to stay capped within this corrective phase, with the channel top near 4,082 acting as the first real hurdle.
Now look at my chart. The news and the structure are telling the same story. H1 printed ChoCH after ChoCH, then a clean BOS below 3,975. Sellers own this. The bounce off 3,959.8 is not strength, it's fuel. I want price to pull back into the Golden Fibo Zone at 4,045 to 4,065, sweep the buy side liquidity stacked between 4,026.9 and 4,081.5, trap the breakout buyers, and then roll over toward 3,959.8 where the 1.618 extension sits on top of the old liquidity low.
Invalidation is simple: a decisive H1 close above the 4,104 gap kills the sell idea and I step aside. Until that happens, every rally into premium is a gift, not a reversal. Monday liquidity is thin, so expect at least one fake sweep before the real move shows its hand.
So tell me: are you still holding longs from the highs, or are you finally joining the sellers?
The macro isn't helping the bulls either. Crude oil ripped over 10% last week as renewed US-Iran clashes stoked supply concerns, reviving inflation fears and lifting expectations that the Fed will keep rates higher for longer. Higher for longer is poison for gold. That's exactly why gold just closed out its biggest weekly decline in over a month, and why rallies are likely to stay capped within this corrective phase, with the channel top near 4,082 acting as the first real hurdle.
Now look at my chart. The news and the structure are telling the same story. H1 printed ChoCH after ChoCH, then a clean BOS below 3,975. Sellers own this. The bounce off 3,959.8 is not strength, it's fuel. I want price to pull back into the Golden Fibo Zone at 4,045 to 4,065, sweep the buy side liquidity stacked between 4,026.9 and 4,081.5, trap the breakout buyers, and then roll over toward 3,959.8 where the 1.618 extension sits on top of the old liquidity low.
Invalidation is simple: a decisive H1 close above the 4,104 gap kills the sell idea and I step aside. Until that happens, every rally into premium is a gift, not a reversal. Monday liquidity is thin, so expect at least one fake sweep before the real move shows its hand.
So tell me: are you still holding longs from the highs, or are you finally joining the sellers?
Transaction en cours
TRADE ACTIVE +310PIPS
LET'S WAIT FOR THE FINAL RESULT
Note
SELL ZONE ACTIVE +420PIPS
TOTAL +690PIPS
Trade fermée: cible de profit atteinte
FULL TP +680PIPS FOR BOTH LONG AND SHORT ZONE
Note
+370PIPS FOR THIS SELL ZONE
UPDATE 21/07
⚜️ Daily 4 - 6 Swing SIGNALS
⚜️ Daily 9 - 15 Scalping SIGNALS
⚜️ SMC - ICT | Document and Real Trade Logic
⚜️ Forex & Crypto & Gold | SIGNALS
Join here: t.me/+7toh_D6B6ew5MWQ1
⚜️ Daily 9 - 15 Scalping SIGNALS
⚜️ SMC - ICT | Document and Real Trade Logic
⚜️ Forex & Crypto & Gold | SIGNALS
Join here: t.me/+7toh_D6B6ew5MWQ1
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.
⚜️ Daily 4 - 6 Swing SIGNALS
⚜️ Daily 9 - 15 Scalping SIGNALS
⚜️ SMC - ICT | Document and Real Trade Logic
⚜️ Forex & Crypto & Gold | SIGNALS
Join here: t.me/+7toh_D6B6ew5MWQ1
⚜️ Daily 9 - 15 Scalping SIGNALS
⚜️ SMC - ICT | Document and Real Trade Logic
⚜️ Forex & Crypto & Gold | SIGNALS
Join here: t.me/+7toh_D6B6ew5MWQ1
Clause de non-responsabilité
Les informations et publications ne sont pas destinées à être, et ne constituent pas, des conseils ou recommandations financiers, d'investissement, de trading ou autres fournis ou approuvés par TradingView. Pour en savoir plus, consultez les Conditions d'utilisation.