Long trade
Pair: BTCUSDC
Direction: 🟢 Buyside
Date: Tue 18th Aug 2026
Entry Time: 3:00 AM NY Time
Execution TF: 5-minute
Trade Type: Buyside POC reclaim / value-area continuation
Trade Levels
Entry: 64,134.3
Stop: 64,033.9
Risk: 0.157%
Target: 64,496.1
Projected Gain: 0.564%
RR: 3.9R
🧠 SNAP Bias
🟢 Buyside
BTC is holding above the lower developing value area after recovering from the earlier downside rotation.
The long thesis is based on price defending the 64,033–64,134 lower reference zone, reclaiming the developing POC, and accepting back above value for continuation toward the upper liquidity structure.
🧭 SNAP Map
Sell-side rotation into lower value
→ test of 64,033.9–64,134.3 support / reference zone
→ rejection from the lower area
→ reclaim above 64,134.3
→ reclaim of developing POC
→ acceptance above developing VA High
→ bullish displacement toward upper liquidity
→ 🎯 target 64,496.1
Key mapped references visible on the chart:
Developing VA Low: ~64,099
Developing POC: ~64,153
Developing VA High: ~64,193
VWAP / Mod VWAP: ~64,195
Target: 64,496.1
Invalidation: 64,033.9
Summary:
BTCUSDC buyside from 64,134.3 is a SNAP POC/value-reclaim continuation setup targeting 64,496.1, with 64,033.9 acting as the structural invalidation and a projected 3.9R payoff. 
Long
# AUD/USD | Completing the PuzzleA multi-timeframe review of AUD/USD suggests that, following a five-wave decline, the market has been developing a larger corrective structure. On the daily chart, the current structure may be forming a potential **5-3-5 Zigzag**, while the 4-hour chart is now showing the emergence of an impulsive pattern.
At this stage, it is still too early to determine the final path of the market. Therefore, two scenarios remain under observation.
### Conservative Scenario
The primary focus of the conservative scenario is the development of at least a **three-wave corrective structure**.
This correction could develop into a sideways pattern, and even after breaking the previous high, the market could turn lower once again.
Another possibility is that the current structure completes as a **Double Zigzag**, followed by another decline in the form of a Zigzag after a somewhat higher high.
The potential range for the next bearish movement is estimated in relation to the previous decline and the depth of the current pullback.
### Aggressive Scenario
The aggressive scenario becomes more relevant if price breaks above the previous high with a clear **impulsive structure**.
In that case, the current movement could develop as an **Impulse** or a series of **nested 1-2 structures**, potentially supporting further upside.
If the second wave proves to be short and sharp, it could also be interpreted as a **Sharp Zigzag**. However, the actual price action will ultimately determine which interpretation remains valid.
### What We Are Watching
At this stage, the most important part of the puzzle is not predicting a specific price, but observing how price behaves around the current area.
A break above the previous high with impulsive price action would strengthen the aggressive scenario. Conversely, failure to sustain the upside and the development of a corrective structure would keep the conservative scenario active.
The behavior of **DXY** is also important. AUD/USD has shown periods of negative correlation with the U.S. Dollar Index, so the longer DXY remains within its corrective structure, the more room it may provide for AUD/USD to continue developing higher.
Ultimately, the market does not need to prove our scenario correct. **We must adapt our scenario to the structure the market actually develops.**
In Elliott Wave Principle, every new movement reveals another piece of the puzzle.
**Price action will complete the puzzle.**
✍️ Mr. Nobody
🎧 Patterns whisper. I listen.
Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar
4 days ago
AUD/USD Daily | Inside the Wave Structure
XAU/USD 18 August 2026 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026.
Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH
Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 3,942.100.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 13 August 2026.
Since last analysis price has printed higher, printing a bullish iBOS, however, depth of pullback has been insufficient, therefore, I shall apply discretion and not classify the bullish iBOS. I have however marked this is red for illustration purposes.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range. I shall continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,449.830.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart: Long trade 📘 BTCUSDC — PAC / VOC / FIB Buyside review
Monday 17 August 2026
Entry Time: 4:55 PM NY Time
Session: NY Session PM
Direction: 🟢 Buyside
Execution TF: 5-minute
Entry: 64,242.87
Target: 65,133.73
Stop: 64,116.85
Projected Gain: +1.387%
Risk: 0.196%
Planned RR: 7.07R
Why the buyside trade idea
This setup is built around a pullback into a mapped support/value area after a strong intraday expansion, with Fibonacci structure giving a clear upside continuation path.
PAC / Price Action Channel context supports the idea that BTC remains in a bullish recovery structure after reclaiming the lower session range. Price is consolidating above the key 64,058–64,116 support region rather than collapsing back into the earlier value zone.
VOC / Volume Profile shows that the bulk of accepted value is significantly lower, around the 63,073–63,476 region. Price has already migrated above that value structure, which supports the interpretation that the market is operating in a higher-value regime. In volume-profile terminology, the POC is the price level with the greatest traded volume in the profiled range.
Fibonacci map
The Fibonacci extension structure is especially useful on this chart.
Key visible references include:
1.0: ~64,058.50
1.272: ~64,239.87
1.414: ~64,334.56
2.0: ~64,725.31
2.272: ~64,906.68
2.414: ~65,001.37
2.618: ~65,137.40
SRL / PAC / VOC sequence
MAP
Volume structure + Fibonacci extensions define the continuation route.
HOLD
BTC must defend the 64,116–64,240 lower continuation zone.
RECLAIM
Entry around 64,242.87 holds the 1.272 Fibonacci reference.
SHIFT
Acceptance above the entry confirms the earlier bullish expansion remains intact.
DISPLACE
Price clearing 64,334 → 64,725 would confirm continued upside momentum.
LIQUIDITY DRAW
The higher Fibonacci extensions provide successive buyside objectives.
PAY
Primary objective: 65,133.73, almost exactly aligned with the 2.618 extension ~65,137.40.
Final read
✅ A mapped continuation trade with the entry near the 1.272 Fib and the target almost directly on the 2.618 extension, producing 7.07R planned asymmetry.
@SNAPTradingFramework Long 
Short
ICT QUARTERLY THEORY - COMPLETE TRADING FRAMEWORKICT QUARTERLY THEORY - COMPLETE TRADING FRAMEWORK
The ICT Quarterly Theory is a powerful time-based trading framework that analyzes how price moves across fixed time periods. Market movements repeat in cyclical phases across different timeframes, such as yearly, monthly, weekly, daily, and 90-minute session quarters.
Understanding these time cycles helps traders anticipate structural sweeps, manipulation moves, and high-probability expansion phases with maximum precision.
1. TIME FRACTALS AND CYCLE DIVISIONS
Time in the market operates on fractal cycles, divided into four key quarters:
- Q1 Phase: Accumulation and initial range creation.
-
- Q2 Phase: Manipulation, Judas Swing, and liquidity sweeps.
-
- Q3 Phase: Main trend expansion and strong price movement.
-
- Q4 Phase: Trend continuation, profit taking, or reversal (X phase).
2. THE AMDX ENGINE
The market cycles through a specific sequence known as AMDX:
- Accumulation (Q1): Smart money builds orders in a tight consolidation range.
-
- Manipulation (Q2): Price fakeouts run past key highs or lows to capture liquidity and trigger stop losses.
-
- Distribution (Q3): Large institutional orders drive the price rapidly toward the real target.
-
- Reversal or Continuation (Q4): The trend either extends further or retraces back into key Fair Value Gaps.
3. THE TRUE OPEN REFERENCE
Each trading session and time quarter relies on its True Open benchmark:
- The True Open acts as the structural baseline for calculating Premium and Discount pricing.
-
- In a bullish setup, trades are ideally evaluated when price manipulates below the True Open into a discount zone.
-
- In a bearish setup, trades are evaluated when price manipulates above the True Open into a premium zone.
4. LIQUIDITY MAPPING & SWEEPS
Targeting high-probability liquidity pools is essential for timing setups:
- Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): Located above previous session highs, equal highs, or structural swing points.
-
- Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Located below previous session lows, equal lows, or structural swing points.
-
- Q2 sweeps target these liquidity pools before initiating the true Q3 expansion move.
5. ENTRY EXECUTION & CONFLUENCE
A complete quarterly trading setup relies on sequential
confirmation steps:
Step 1: Define higher timeframe quarterly bias.
Step 2: Identify Q1 accumulation range and True Open levels.
Step 3: Wait for Q2 manipulation to sweep liquidity.
Step 4: Confirm Market Structure Shift (MSS) on lower timeframes.
Step 5: Enter during strong displacement off a Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Step 6: Target opposite liquidity pools in Q3 for high reward-to-risk ratios.
6. RISK MANAGEMENT & TRADING DISCIPLINE
Long-term consistency depends entirely on execution rules and risk parameters:
- Always define invalidation levels before entering any trade.
- Maintain consistent position sizing across all market conditions.
- Focus execution primarily on Q3 expansion phases rather than chasing Q1 consolidation.
- Avoid overtrading, revenge trading, and emotional entries.
- Quality over quantity; staying flat when setups are unclear is a valid strategic decision.
DISCLAIMER:
Trading is risky. Always follow your own trading plan. This is not financial advice. 
Education
AAPL 4H — Nested Structure or Final Diagonal?🍎 AAPL 4H — Nested Structure or Final Diagonal?
In this update, the main focus is on the current price structure and what the market needs to show to confirm the wave count.
The aggressive scenario is currently focused on a nested structure across two degrees:
1-2 / 1-2
In this interpretation, the current decline could be a three-wave corrective structure. If this decline completes in three waves and price then begins to advance again, that behavior could provide important confirmation of the nested 1-2 / 1-2 structure.
At the same time, the proportion and equality between these two structures could also support the possibility of an Expanded Leading Diagonal.
So for now, there is no need to make a final choice between these possibilities. What matters most is the Price Action and the development of the lower-degree subdivisions.
If we see another decline and that decline develops as a three-wave structure, the 1-2 / 1-2 scenario gains more credibility and could set the stage for a stronger advance of Wave 3.
The conservative scenario follows a different path.
Here, we assume that price is developing an Expanded Ending Diagonal. In this case, the current decline could continue, followed by the final wave of the ending diagonal.
An interesting point is that the appearance of the structure can also depend on the type of chart being used. On the Arithmetic chart, the structure may appear as an Expanded Ending Diagonal, while on the Logarithmic chart, due to the different price scale and Fibonacci relationships, the same movement may look more like a Converging Leading Diagonal.
So for now, we have a roadmap, not a fixed prediction.
Price action, Fibonacci relationships, and the completion of lower-degree waves will tell us which path is actually developing.
For now, I am focusing on the aggressive scenario and allowing the market to reveal the structure on its own. If the structure changes, our wave count must change with it.
This is where the Wave Principle really becomes meaningful:
We don't force the market to follow our count.
We learn to read the structure the market is actually creating.
Patterns whisper… and I listen.
— Mr. Nobody
Apple Inc
yesterday
AAPL: The Final Wave III?
Long
Long 
NASDAQ: The Wave Structure Is TalkingOn the larger degree, NASDAQ is still developing within a large impulsive structure, and what matters most right now is the Third Wave still unfolding. It has not yet reached a point where we can reasonably declare it complete simply based on wave proportions.
The daily chart tells a similar story on a lower degree. After Wave II, the market has continued developing impulsive structures, and more recently we can see several nested 1–2 structures. If this count remains valid, these nested structures could be preparing the market for a stronger Third Wave at lower degrees.
The channels and horizontal levels on the chart are not there simply as targets. They are structural decision points. The market needs to show whether it can respect the base channel, break previous highs, and continue developing impulsively while maintaining proper wave proportions.
Now comes the more interesting part.
When we look across the broader equity market, DAX, S&P 500, Apple, and Tesla are also showing structures that, according to their individual counts, can be interpreted as nested structures or diagonals.
This does not mean they have a 100% correlation or that their wave counts must be identical. Different markets can develop at different degrees and on different timelines. But when several major markets begin showing similar structural characteristics, they are worth watching as an important intermarket structural clue.
And this leads to one important question:
Is the diagonal Leading or Ending?
If the structure ultimately confirms a Leading Diagonal, it could become part of a larger impulsive advance, potentially followed by a stronger Third Wave.
But if the structure develops the characteristics of an Ending Diagonal, the story changes. The market could still make new highs, while simultaneously approaching the final stages of a larger structure.
So a new high alone is not enough to conclude that the market has entered a powerful Third Wave.
Structure matters more than price.
As long as NASDAQ maintains its channel and impulsive structure, and these nested 1–2 sequences develop into stronger Third Waves, the continuation scenario remains favored.
But if increasing overlap, corrective price action, and diagonal characteristics begin to appear, the conservative scenario deserves more weight.
So the roadmap is simple:
We follow the structure—not the prediction.
NASDAQ, DAX, S&P 500, Apple, and Tesla do not have to move in exactly the same way. But if their structures begin confirming the same larger idea, they may become different pieces of the same puzzle.
Ultimately, the market itself will decide whether we are witnessing a powerful Third Wave or the final stages of a diagonal structure.
— Mehdi Abbasi | Mr. Nobody EWP
US 100 Cash CFD
yesterday
NASDAQ: The Third Wave Isn’t Done
Long
Short
XAU/USD 17 August 2027 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Bias and analysis to remain the same as analysis dated 30 June 2026.
Price did not print bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation. Price instead printed a new low followed by a bullish CHoCH
Price is currently trading within and established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade up to either premium of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal low, currently priced at 3,942.100.
Note:
Gold remains volatile as tensions between the US, Israel, and Iran keep safe‑haven demand elevated.
Markets are reacting quickly to every headline, while uncertainty around the Fed’s easing path and shifting U.S. policy under President Trump, especially tariffs continues to fuel choppy price action.
For newer traders, the key is simple, stay flexible and manage risk carefully, as fast spikes and sudden reversals are a normal part of the current XAU/USD environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias to remain the same as analysis dated 13 August 2026.
Since last analysis price has printed higher, printing a bullish iBOS, however, depth of pullback has been insufficient, therefore, I shall apply discretion and not classify the bullish iBOS. I have however marked this is red for illustration purposes.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range. I shall continue to monitor price with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 4,449.830.
Note:
Gold remains highly reactive on M15 as geopolitical risk continues to drive quick, headline‑led moves.
The tension between the US, Israel, and Iran is keeping safe‑haven demand elevated, with markets still sensitive to any sign of escalation.
At the same time, shifting US tariff policy under President Trump is adding extra uncertainty, fuelling sharp intraday swings and increasing the likelihood of sudden sentiment flips. Liquidity pockets and whipsaws remain common, making disciplined risk management essential.
Gold’s geopolitical premium is still firmly in place, and until tensions ease, short‑term volatility is likely to stay front‑loaded.
M15 Chart: NVDA 1D: Pause before the next chipOn the daily chart NVIDIA has shifted from a strong impulsive advance into a consolidation phase. After printing new local highs, price formed a contracting structure, broke higher, and returned for a retest of the breakout area. Selling pressure remains limited, with no follow-through to the downside, suggesting a pause within trend rather than a reversal.
Structurally, price action reflects consolidation inside a broader uptrend. The 185–190 area remains the key holding zone, where price stabilized after the retest and continues to trade above the 100-day moving average. Higher lows are preserved, keeping the higher timeframe structure intact. MACD holds above the zero line, while ADX continues to decline, confirming compression rather than directional expansion.
The primary reaction level sits near 212, marking the upper boundary of the current consolidation. Acceptance above this level would allow for continuation toward the 230–232 area, aligning with the upper expansion of the range. A failure to hold the 185-190 zone would shift price into a wider neutral structure without confirmation of trend continuation.
Fundamentally, NVIDIA remains strong. Q3 2025 EPS came in at 1.30 USD, with Q4 2025 EPS estimated at 1.52 USD ahead of the February 26, 2026 earnings release. Revenue reached 57.01B USD in Q3, with expectations of 65.56B USD for Q4. Cash flows remain robust, with operating cash flow at 83.16B USD and free cash flow at 77.32B USD. Compute and Networking continues to be the dominant revenue driver.
As long as structure holds, the market remains in digestion mode following the prior impulse.
Price action leads before fundamentals follow.
Long
