Negotiation or Bloodshed? 5300 vs 50001️⃣ Price Action
Gold recently made a strong rally of more than 100 points, followed by a sharp pullback with clear profit-taking pressure.
Currently, price is fluctuating around the 516x area and showing signs of consolidation within a narrow range after the strong volatility move.
2️⃣ Market Context
The main focus at the moment is the US – Iran negotiations.
Military actions (ballistic missiles, aircraft carriers…) are being used as strategic tools to apply pressure during the negotiation process.
Just one strong headline or an escalation in tensions → gold could react very aggressively.
📌 At this stage, geopolitical news is the primary driver of price behavior.
3️⃣ Trend & Structure
Main trend: Still bullish.
Short-term: Corrective phase with potential sideways movement within a tight M15 range.
4️⃣ Key Levels
Support:
5140 – 5121 – 5100 – 5090 – 5050 – 5023 – 4980 – 4960
Resistance:
5192 – 5200 – 5250 – 5290 – 5300
5️⃣ Current Consolidation Range (M15)
Upper boundary: 5194 – 5200
Lower boundary: 5140 – 5160
📌 Price may continue consolidating within this range before a breakout.
6️⃣ Main Scenarios
🔹 If price holds above 5140 → bullish structure remains valid → targets 5250 – 5290 – 5300.
🔹 If price clearly breaks below 5140 → short-term structure weakens → potential expansion toward 5100 – 5050 – 5000.
7️⃣ Strategy
Buy at support with confirmation.
Sell at resistance with rejection signals.
Avoid trading in the middle of the range.
8️⃣ Notes
The market is currently driven by news → fast and deep volatility is possible.
Always define Entry – SL – RR clearly.
Strict risk management. Do not leave stops loose.
Avoid FOMO on headline spikes.
This is a personal view for reference only.
Wishing everyone an effective trading day.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
Theta: bounce or breakdown? key levels to watch todayTheta Token – ready for a dead‑cat or a real bounce from here? Altcoins are still sluggish as the market digests the latest macro chatter and flows back into the majors, and Theta has quietly slid back into the same demand zone that launched the last reaction move. No big fresh headlines today, so price is doing the talking.
On the 4H chart, we’re parked right in that thick orange support band around 0.18–0.19, with a chunky volume node sitting just above at 0.20–0.21. RSI is hovering in the low 30s and trying to curl up, which tells me sellers are getting tired into support rather than aggressive at the lows. I’m leaning toward a bounce long from this area toward the nearest red resistance blocks.
My base plan: ✅ accumulation in the orange zone with targets at the 0.20 POC and then 0.215–0.225 if momentum wakes up. Invalidated if we get a clean 4H close below 0.18 – in that case, I’d expect a flush toward the next low‑volume pocket and would rather step aside than knife‑catch. I might be wrong, but fading clear levels like this has never been kind to my PnL.
GNO: sleeper alert? watch key levels for the next few daysGNO. Anyone else watching this sleeper wake up again? According to industry sources, Gnosis is back in the spotlight with fresh ecosystem upgrades and more noise around payments and validators, while majors just range. The market reacted by dragging price right back into this old battlefield zone you see in orange on the 4H.
On the 4H chart, GNO is parked on a thick horizontal volume node around 118-120, a level that has flipped between support and resistance multiple times. RSI bounced from oversold and is now chopping just under 50, which looks more like a consolidation inside a trend than a final top. As long as we keep 118-120 on closing basis, I lean bullish, eyeing a move first into 124, then into that darker supply band above 130 where the last big sellers showed up.
My game plan: stalk dips into 118-120 with tight invalidation under 117, then scale out into 124 and 130+ if buyers step back in ✅. If 117 gives way with strong volume and RSI rolls under 40, I assume the level failed and let price slide toward 110 without me. I might be wrong, but this kind of balanced base right on a major volume node is exactly where I like to take my shot.
SHLD (USA) - Defense Tech Momentum PlayContinuing the theme of investing in industries vs individual socks, the Global X Defense Tech ETF has been a standout performer with a massive 200% run over the last ~2 years. Not bad for an ETF. This fund focuses on companies that are bridging the gap between traditional military hardware and new-age tech like cybersecurity and AI. In the current global climate, the defense sector has shifted from being a slow-moving utility-style play into a high-growth momentum engine.
The fundamental story is driven by a massive increase in global security spending . With the US defense budget recently crossing the $1 trillion mark and NATO members ramping up their commitments, companies like Lockheed Martin and Palantir are looking at multi-year contract backlogs.
Technically, the price action is following a very structured trend. After hitting a peak near $78, the stock pulled back 10% to find support right around the 50-day SMA. This is a classic "buy the dip" area for a trend-following setup. The RSI has reset from overbought territory down to a bit below 60 , giving it plenty of room to move higher if the buyers return. While the MACD histogram is still in the red, the bars are getting shorter and we looks like we will get a crossover back to the upside again which usually suggests that the selling pressure is starting to dry up and buyers will come back in.
Could be one to keep an eye on.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each trading day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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COMP: watching for a bounce? key levels to focus on todayCOMP. Who else is watching this DeFi OG drip straight back into the same demand zone that launched the last vertical candle? According to market chatter, DeFi names are back on the radar as traders rotate from majors into higher beta plays, and COMP is sitting right on the front row.
On the 4H chart, price is parked in the 17-18 support block, the same area that started the previous spike. RSI is hugging the 30 line, showing short-term exhaustion from sellers, while that sharp impulse up left a nice liquidity pocket above. For me that tilts the odds toward a bounce rather than an immediate breakdown, with 19.8 as the first magnet.
My base plan: bullish scalp from this zone toward 19.5-19.8, then reassess ✅ A clean 4H close below 17 would kill the long idea and open room toward 16 and maybe lower, so that is where I’d place my invalidation ⚠️ I might be wrong, but right now shorting directly into this support looks braver than buying the dip.
$MSFT: Hidden Bullish Divergence at Key $400 SupportMicrosoft is indeed in a fascinating spot.
While the price has retreated from its late-2025 highs (around $540-$550), the long-term structural integrity remains intact.
What the Chart is Telling Us:
A hidden bullish divergence occurs during a pullback in an existing uptrend.
The Higher Low: Despite the "SaaSpocalypse" volatility earlier this year and concerns over AI CapEx, NASDAQ:MSFT could potentially form a base around the $395 - $400 psychological support zone.
The "selling momentum" looks intense on the indicator, the actual price isn't falling as far as the momentum would suggest. It’s often a sign that the bears are exhausted and the primary uptrend is ready to resume.
NASDAQ:MSFT is navigating some "heavy" overhead supply.
$400 Psychological SupportThe "line in the sand" where buyers have recently stepped in.
$427 - $433 Immediate Resistance Convergence of the 20-day SMA and the 200-day SMA.
A break above here confirms the reversal.
$462Key Resistance The 50-day SMA; clearing this would likely signal a run back toward the $500 mark.
Note: Many institutional analysts (like Morgan Stanley) still hold price targets in the $600+ range for 2026, viewing this current technical "washout" as a deep-value opportunity despite the recent downtrend.
****Not financial advice****
Especially when the trend has been so strong to downside.
(Which I did suggest could happen after the double top trigger.)
Reversal trading has blown up many retail accounts.
SUN: ready for a breakout? key levels to watch this weekSUN. Tired of watching this thing crawl sideways at the bottom of the chart? While majors steal the spotlight again and DeFi names from this ecosystem pop up in market chatter, SUN is quietly sitting right on a key 4H support where sellers keep stalling out. Feels like the spot where either smart money loads up or the floor finally gives way.
On the 4H chart price is hugging the lower red zone around 0.0166-0.0169, exactly at the value area low on the volume profile. RSI is stuck just under 40, so bears still control, but momentum is clearly fading with every new low getting less follow-through. If this base holds, I lean to a squeeze toward the 0.0178 zone first, then the 0.019-0.02 liquidity pocket.
My plan: ✅ look for long entries on wicks into support with a tight invalidation under 0.0164 and take partials into 0.0178 and 0.019-0.02. ⚠️ If we get a 4H close below 0.0164, I flip bias and expect a slide to the next demand near 0.015. I might be wrong, but for now this looks more like late-stage sell exhaustion than fresh breakdown energy.
IOTA: accumulation phase or breakdown? key levels to watchIOTA. Still alive or just a museum exhibit in your watchlist? Recently the market’s been buzzing again about IOTA’s push into smart contracts and real‑world assets, but price is still camping at the lows, so risk/reward is getting interesting. While majors chop around, this kind of sleepy corner is often where the next rotation starts.
On the 4H chart, price is sitting in a fat demand zone around 0.066–0.068 with multiple wicks showing buyers defending. RSI is curling up from oversold and making a higher low, while the volume profile shows a low‑volume pocket up toward 0.07–0.072, so I’m leaning toward an upside squeeze from here. I might be wrong, but this looks more like accumulation than a breakdown.
My base case: continuation above the local range to 0.07–0.072, and if momentum holds, a test of the next red supply near 0.078. I’m interested in longs inside the green zone with tight risk below 0.066 and will start scaling out into those upside levels ✅. If we get a clean 4H close under support, the idea is dead for me and I’ll step aside, watching 0.062 as the next potential magnet.
URNJ (USA) - Junior Uranium Miners Leveraging Off The AI BoomSometimes rather than try and pick an individual company that's going to be a winner in an emerging sector or industry, it can be a good alternative strategy to "bet" on the industry itself as an overall approach. I like the idea that we need massive amounts of new energy sources to power the rapidly growing AI industry. In my mind, (modern) Nuclear probably offers the cleanest and most scalable source of new energy production to meet these needs.
URNJ which is the Sprott Junior Uranium Miners ETF has been a standout performer in the nuclear space, showing a gain of roughly 174% from its lows around early April last year. This fund focuses on the mid and small-cap players in the uranium space, which are essentially the growth engines of the sector. As a trend follower, I like seeing this kind of relative strength in a niche that is becoming critical to the global infrastructure. While the big producers get the headlines, these juniors offer a way to play the broader shift toward nuclear energy as the world realizes how much power the AI revolution actually requires.
The fundamental story here is about the collision of massive energy needs and strict environmental promises . Big tech companies like Google, Microsoft, and Amazon are under immense pressure to meet "Net Zero" targets, so they simply cannot turn to coal to power their massive AI data centers. Public sentiment is already wary of how much electricity these AI clusters consume, and adding a huge carbon footprint on top of that would be a PR disaster.
Nuclear is the only carbon-free source that provides 24/7 baseload power, and the growing interest around Small Modular Reactors - the ones that can be moved in shipping containers - is a huge part of this. I prefer the ETF approach here because junior miners are notoriously risky individually; a single permit delay can tank a stock. But by holding the basket, I’m betting on the industry trend while letting the juniors provide the "torque" or leverage to the uranium price that you don't always get with the massive, slower-moving producers. Likewise rather than investing in these small nuclear power plants in a box, I'd prefer to be putting money into the raw materials that power them .
Technically, the chart is looking like a textbook pullback in a strong uptrend. After a massive run into the start of the year, price action cooled off and drifted back to a much better value area. We’ve seen the price find support right around the 50-day SMA, and we have just closed above the 20-day which is often where buyers step back in. What I really like is the building volume we’ve seen since mid-January, and now again over the last few sessions as the price starts to curl back up. The RSI and MACD have both reset from overbought levels and are looking much more bullish now, suggesting that the recent selling pressure has finally dried up.
If you like the idea of investing in an industry powering the future, this could be one to keep an eye on.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each trading day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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FLOKI: is the dip done? key support levels to watch for a bounceFLOKI. Wondering if this memecoin dump is over or if the dog still has some barking left on the downside? After the recent hype wave, according to market chatter a lot of hot money has rotated back into majors, and FLOKI has been quietly bleeding back to its previous demand area.
On the 4H chart price is sliding into the green support zone where we last saw a strong impulse up, while RSI is already hanging near oversold. Volume profile shows a fat node just below current price, so I’m leaning toward a liquidity sweep into that zone followed by a relief bounce rather than a full trend reversal.
My game plan: ✅ watch the 2 green levels for a spike down and quick rejection, then look for longs back into the local range above. Base case is a move toward the mid‑range resistance, but if we get a clean 4H close below the lower green area, that opens the door to a deeper flush and I step aside. I might be wrong, but ignoring key support on a memecoin is how bags are born ⚠️
ASTER|USDT LONG BULL SETUP ELLIOT WAVESThe purple projection suggests a powerful third-wave extension. Immediate resistance sits at the recent high of $0.7679$. Once breached, the primary upside targets are the Fibonacci extensions at $0.8546$ and $0.9071$.
We are currently transitioning from the accumulation phase to an impulsive phase:Wave (i) Completion: The first impulsive move peaked at $0.7679$.Wave (ii) Retracement: The price is now seeking a higher low. Key support levels to watch for the start of Wave (iii) are the 0.5 ($0.5857$) and 0.618 ($0.5427$) Fibonacci retracement levels.Bullish Confirmation: As long as the price holds above the $0.4035$ floor, the macro bullish structure remains intact.
The chart shows a classic Falling Wedge breakout. The corrective phase followed a complex WXYXZ pattern, reaching a definitive bottom at $0.4035$. This terminal (Z) point was confirmed by a strong Bullish RSI Divergence, where price action made a lower low while the momentum oscillator began trending upward.
KRMN (USA) - Aerospace Momentum Testing Long-Term SupportKarman Holdings Inc is a relative newcomer but has been a standout performer over the last twelve months, with the share price climbing over 170% from its lows - and thats after a 40% recent pullback. They are a specialized player in the aerospace and defense sector, focusing on mission-critical systems for missiles, space launches, and hypersonics. When a stock moves this fast, it usually attracts a lot of momentum investors, but it also creates opportunities when things finally cool off for a bit which it has now.
Fundamentally, the business looks like it has plenty of wind in its sails. The company recently raised its revenue guidance for 2026 and completed some strategic acquisitions to expand its footprint in U.S. Navy programs. We saw a fairly sharp pullback recently, which seems to have been triggered by a mix of insider selling and the market simply catching its breath after a massive run to record highs. Given the current geopolitical environment and the ramp-up in defense spending, the long-term demand for their tech appears steady.
Looking at the technicals, the price action is currently testing an interesting area. After dropping from the $120 level, the stock has dipped just below the 100-day SMA which is often where long-term trend followers look for value. The RSI recently dipped toward oversold territory and is now starting to turn back up, while the MACD histogram shows that the aggressive selling pressure we saw last week is beginning to fade. It looks like the stock is trying to base here and hopefully begin to climb again.
Could be one to keep an eye on.
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PLEASE NOTE: Nothing I post is trading advice. All investing involves risk, and past performance doesn’t predict future results. Trends can and do end. For 2026 , my goal is to try and post one new asset each trading day. Something outside the usual gold, silver, BTC, or big tech names. I like to find stocks worldwide showing steady trends with some good gains, a recent pullback, and signs of renewed strength. I don’t necessarily hold positions in these. They are simply companies I find interesting at the time of posting. I’ll often revisit them within a week to see how they went and share any updates. If you enjoy these posts, please BOOST and FOLLOW ME to discover more under-the-radar stocks and businesses from around the world.
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BTCUSDT – Bearish Regime, No Long Until Structure RepairedPosture: Defensive / Capital Preservation
Thesis
We are not initiating a position at current levels and waiting for a signal.
The market remains in a high-trend, downside-favored regime. Price is trading below all relevant moving averages:
SMA200 ≈ 99,630
SMA50 ≈ 82,612
EMA20 ≈ 71,587
This is not noise — this is structural damage.
ADX ~58 confirms strong directional pressure. In a high-ADX environment, fading the trend is statistically low expectancy. RSI ~46 reflects weak momentum with no oversold edge. Liquidity context (ETF outflows + macro risk-off) aligns with technical breakdown.
This is a trend continuation environment, not a bottoming environment.
Structure & Order Flow
- Rejection cluster: 70–71k (EMA20 / failed reclaim zone)
- Price unable to hold above short-term dynamic resistance
- Lower highs intact
- Liquidity thinning into support
Until we see absorption and a structural reclaim, the path of least resistance remains down.
Key Levels
Resistance:
70,942 (EMA20 + recent rejection band)
82,611 (SMA50 – structural pivot)
Support:
60,000 (critical horizontal level)
Below 60k, the market opens risk toward accelerated downside continuation. Under stressed liquidity conditions, extension into low-40k region becomes technically consistent with current regime.
What Changes the Bias?
Bullish invalidation requires:
- Daily close above EMA20 (~71.5k)
- Sustained reclaim of 70–71k zone
- Expansion move toward SMA50 (~82.6k)
- Declining ADX during consolidation (trend exhaustion signal)
- Without those conditions, longs are premature.
Trade Plan
Current setup: No actionable entry.
This is a capital preservation phase.
Aggressive traders may look for short continuation on failed reclaim attempts into 70–71k, but that requires clear lower-timeframe rejection confirmation and defined risk.
No swing long until structure improves.
Risk Factors to Monitor
- ETF flow reversal
- Fed tone shift
- Sudden liquidity injection
- Order flow shift from distribution → absorption
Until those variables change, the regime remains bearish.
Conclusion:
Trend is intact to the downside. ADX confirms strength. Structure is broken. Stand aside or trade continuation — do not anticipate reversal without confirmation.
Not financial advice. Manage risk accordingly.
Tezos: bargain zone or falling knife? key levels to watch nowTezos - bargain zone or falling knife, what do you think? While majors are chopping around, Tezos keeps sliding as older PoS projects stay under pressure, according to market chatter about regulation and fading hype. Price has quietly pressed into a strong historical demand area that bulls defended before.
On the 4H chart we sit right on that support cluster around 0.37-0.38 with a fat volume node a bit higher near 0.41-0.42. RSI is below 40 but no longer printing fresh lows - early sign that sellers are tiring and a corrective pop is on the table. I lean toward a bounce long from this zone rather than chasing late shorts.
My base plan: as long as 0.37 holds, I like a rebound toward 0.42 first, then possibly 0.45 where the next supply band waits ✅. If price closes below 0.37 with momentum, that invalidates the bounce idea and opens the door to 0.34 and even lower - that would flip me to a short bias. I might be wrong, but for now I'm stalking entries near support and taking profits into the first sharp green candles.
AB: potential reversal ahead? key levels to focus onAB. Still watching this knife trying to turn into a spoon? After that brutal dump the coin has gone flat while, according to market chatter, capital keeps rotating cautiously inside crypto and low caps are left for dead. Exactly where sentiment is sleepy, the best rebounds are often born.
On the 4H chart price is sitting on a clear demand zone around 0.00235‑0.00245 with a fat volume node under it and a thin volume pocket above. RSI has recovered from oversold to around 60, so momentum is up but not overheated yet. I lean to the upside: a range breakout could quickly send price into the nearest red supply at 0.00270‑0.00280, maybe higher if buyers wake up. I might be wrong, but this looks more like accumulation than continuation of the dump.
My base plan: look for longs on pullbacks toward the green area with confirmation wicks and target 0.00270‑0.00290 where previous selling started ✅. Invalidation for me is a clean 4H close below 0.00235 - then I expect a slide toward 0.00220 and I step aside ⚠️. I’m flat for now and waiting for either a breakout above the local range high or a nice retest of support with volume.
GBPUSD A Sell Position For The Wrong ReasonsToday's trade followed some of our trading plan, but there were crucial rules that we broke and it seems that we will pay a good price for not following those rules.
We might have the general direction in our favor, but when it comes to adhering to our own trading rules, the execution was full of flaws.
Yes I will be happy to get a positive result, but a positive result with wrong implementation, in my point of view, is not trading.
I want to trade with confidence. Trading with confidence means trusting my trading plan. If I don't follow my rules, then I don't trust my plan, and therefore, I will be trading with emotions rather than rules.
Currently both open trades are going against me, but the general philosophy of the trade is still holding. The bad news is that, for the philosophy to be negated, that means that the price needs to move against me big time and it will hurt my account.
I increased my lot size because I didn't want to catch the full move. Now, I have the big size that will not allow me to wait for the trade philosophy to be negated.
I enjoy recording everything that is happening with me, because I think it is beneficial for my experience and also beneficial for anyone who is following my diary. I don't intend to become the go to trading Guru, I am one who would like to see traders taking up trading as a career, and this is exactly what I am testing, if trading is a good career choice.
The Investor
IMX: accumulation alert! key levels and targets for todayIMX - still on your watchlist or did you already bury it with the other bagholds? While majors chop, gaming and L2 names stay in the spotlight according to market chatter, and IMX keeps coming up around new game launches and ecosystem updates. Price has been smashed for weeks, so any sign of accumulation on the 4H starts to look spicy.
On the 4H chart I see a tight base between roughly 0.162-0.176 sitting right on a high-volume node from the profile. RSI cooled off from overbought but is still holding above 50 - classic rest after a first impulsive bounce. As long as that lower white support zone holds, I’m leaning to the long side, expecting a push toward 0.19-0.205 as the next liquidity pocket.
My plan: look for longs closer to the bottom of the range with invalidation under 0.16, aiming first at 0.19 and then 0.22 where the next big supply zone starts. If 0.16 breaks on strong volume, I assume the bounce is fake and a slide back to 0.15-0.145 is on the table, so I step aside. I might be wrong, but right now the risk-reward from this base looks better betting on a squeeze up than trying to short into support. ✅
AERO: is the downtrend over? key levels and targets aheadAERO. Tired of watching this one drip down the chart and wondering if the bleed is finally over? While the whole Base ecosystem is back in the headlines with growing volumes and fresh TVL inflows, AERO is quietly stabilizing after that long slide, and perp funding has cooled off according to the market. That’s usually when smart money starts positioning.
On the 4H chart we’ve got a clear downtrend, but price has printed a higher low above the 0.28 support zone and is sitting on a big volume node around 0.31. RSI is holding above 50 after an overbought spike, so momentum is cooling, not dying. If buyers defend this POC area, I’m leaning toward a push into the 0.34–0.35 supply, and if that breaks, 0.38–0.40 opens up fast ✅
My base case: look for longs on dips into 0.305–0.31 with targets at 0.34 then 0.38, invalidation on a clean 4H close below 0.29. If 0.28 cracks, I flip the script and expect trend continuation toward 0.25 with short setups only. I might be wrong, but catching bounces off strong volume levels has paid my bills more often than not 😄
USDJPY Opportunity Using Market Structure, Stochastic, And RSIDuring our trading session today we had one opportunity and it was on the USDJPY and we decided to talk about it.
Yesterday, there were no trades because of the bank holidays in multiple countries; therefore, we talked about the EURAUD which presented an interesting case of contradiction.
Today we used the USDJPY open position to check it against our Trading Philosophy and Trading Plan. We did not test it against the other parts of my pe rsonal trading platform because we still didn't talk about them.
The video shows how we were in line with all our trading philosophy guidelines, and most of our trading plan. There was one rule in our trading plan which we did not abide by which was related the to the 15 Minute time Frame Stochastic.
The rule says that a sell trade is triggered when the 15min Time Frame Stochastic is just getting below the 32 level, but today we took the trade while it was much deeper, but encouraged by the alignment of all the other indicators.
There are two concerns with this trade:
1) The Daily might be satisfied with the liquidity it grabbed and it will continue its upward trend.
2) The Daily Stochastic while it is below the 32 level but the K flipped above the D which if it continued might mean that the trend will go upward against us.
We set the Take Profit as per our trading plan rules at 30 pips, but it is in the middle of a support area at the 15Min chart.
Let us see how it goes. Stay Tuned to get the result of this trade and maybe for other opportunities.
The Investor
OP: bounce ahead or more downside? key levels to watch nowOP – tired of bleeding or loading for a bounce?
L2 headlines keep popping up again, with new ecosystem incentives and governance talk, but OP is still parked near its local lows. According to the market, interest in L2s is picking up, while OP quietly sits on a key demand zone - that combo often gives decent mean-reversion moves.
On the 4H chart price is grinding sideways above support around 0.18 with a fat volume node near 0.19 and RSI hovering in the middle after a strong oversold reset. For me that looks like a classic bear-trend pause where we can still squeeze up into the nearest supply at 0.20-0.205 before sellers reload. ✅ Base bias - short-term long for a bounce, big picture still bearish.
My plan: look for dip entries in the 0.182-0.185 zone with invalidation below the recent lows - if 0.18 breaks on a 4H close, I expect a quick slide toward 0.17-0.16 instead. If buyers finally punch through 0.205 and hold, that opens a cleaner move to 0.215-0.225 where I’d start taking profits. I might be wrong, but fading clear levels usually hurts more than missing a trade.
RBLX — Bearish Trend Continuation (Sell Setup) 20-40 daysWe are initiating a Sell on RBLX based on a bearish trend-continuation structure. The technical backdrop remains weak: price is trading decisively below both the 50- and 200-period moving averages, while ADX (~28) confirms an active directional trend rather than a range-bound environment. Momentum indicators remain subdued, with RSI in the high-30s, leaving additional downside room toward the next structural support near $60.07.
Order flow currently reads as neutral, providing no strong accumulation or distribution signal. However, the sentiment environment is a clear directional catalyst, with a strongly negative composite sentiment score driven by regulatory concerns and weaker growth and earnings commentary. This negative narrative backdrop provides a meaningful tailwind to the downside bias even without strong volume confirmation.
Execution plan
Bias: Sell / Short
Entry zone: Near current consolidation levels below moving averages
Key resistance / squeeze level: ~$74.24
Primary downside target: $60.07
Risks to monitor
Rapid sentiment reversal or positive fundamental headlines triggering short covering
Emergence of accumulation/absorption in order flow
Break and sustained hold above $74.24, which would invalidate the short-term bearish continuation thesis
Quiet/sideways market regime potentially extending the time required for the move to realize
STRK: falling knife or hidden gem? key levels to watchSTRK. Still hoping this thing suddenly moons after the airdrop hype? While the ecosystem keeps dropping “growth” headlines, the market is clearly focused on unlocks and fresh supply, and you can see it in the price action – every bounce gets sold almost instantly. According to industry sources, funds are still rotating into majors, so small caps like STRK are left to fend for themselves.
On the 4H chart we’re in a clean downtrend, and the last bounce stalled right under the main volume node around 0.050–0.052 – classic supply zone. RSI just rolled down from overbought back under 50, confirming fading momentum, so I’m leaning short, expecting continuation of the grind lower rather than a sudden reversal. I might be wrong, but right now STRK looks more like a falling knife than a hidden gem.
My base case ✅ short bias while price stays below 0.052 with targets toward 0.046 first and then 0.043 if the selloff accelerates. If buyers suddenly punch through 0.052 and hold above that on volume, the script flips and we can easily squeeze into 0.056–0.058 where the next heavy resistance sits. I’m watching for weak retests of 0.050 to build shorts, and I’ll step aside fast if that level starts acting as firm support.
PENGU: ready for a surge? key levels to watch for the days aheadPENGU – ready for round two or just a dead cat bounce? Meme coins are back on the radar as traders rotate into high-beta names again, and according to the market there’s fresh speculative flow into small-cap animals. PENGU just printed its first real impulse after a long bleed, so eyes are on whether this is the start of a trend or a one-off pump.
On the 4H chart price ripped off the lows and is now pulling back into the first demand zone around the recent breakout. RSI cooled down from overbought but stays above 50, and price is still trading over the main volume node - that keeps me leaning to the long side for now. I might be wrong, but fading this bounce here looks like trying to short a meme on day one - dangerous.
My base case: hold above 0.0061-0.0064 and we can see another leg toward 0.0085 first, then 0.0095-0.010 where the thick supply blocks sit ✅. I’m interested in longs on dips into that support with a tight invalidation just under it. If 0.0061 snaps and we start accepting below the volume shelf, I’ll drop the bullish idea and look for continuation of the bigger downtrend instead.






















