XAUUSD — Sell Below EMA Trend From Liquidity Resistance
Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains under pressure as the market continues to watch USD strength, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. data. The current structure still favours sellers while price trades below the main EMA resistance.
For now, any recovery should be treated as a technical pullback unless gold can reclaim the key resistance zone with strong confirmation.
Technical Analysis
On the 1H chart, XAUUSD is still trading below EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200. This shows that the short-term trend remains bearish, with the EMA structure acting as dynamic resistance above price.
Price is also moving inside a descending channel. After the previous bullish reaction from the lower area, gold is now slowing below the EMA zone again, which means sellers may still control the structure.
The key sell area is around 4,249 - 4,283. This zone is important because it combines the previous key support zone, liquidity resistance, and the upper reaction area below EMA pressure. If price retests this area and rejects, the bearish continuation setup becomes cleaner.
Below current price, the next liquidity zone is around 4,055 - 4,065. If sellers break this area, the next downside target may extend toward 4,024 and then 3,953.
Important Key Levels
Current price area: 4,178
Main sell zone: 4,249 - 4,283
Key support turned resistance: 4,249 - 4,283
EMA resistance area: 4,205 - 4,300
Nearest liquidity target: 4,055 - 4,065
Key downside level: 4,024
Extended bearish target: 3,953
Invalidation area: above 4,300
Trading Scenario
Main Sell Scenario
Entry: 4,249 - 4,283
Stop Loss: 4,300
Take Profit 1: 4,055
Take Profit 2: 4,024
Take Profit 3: 3,953
Sell Condition
The preferred setup is to wait for gold to retest the 4,249 - 4,283 resistance zone. This is the main liquidity sell area on the chart and also aligns with the broken support structure.
A sell setup becomes more valid if price forms bearish rejection from this zone, such as a long upper wick, bearish engulfing candle, failed breakout, or lower high below the EMA structure.
If price rejects from the sell zone and breaks below 4,159 - 4,150, the bearish continuation view becomes stronger. The next downside focus would be 4,055 - 4,065, followed by 4,024 and 3,953.
Entry Conditions
Wait for price to retest 4,249 - 4,283.
Look for bearish rejection before entering sell.
Do not sell directly at the lows without a pullback.
If price breaks and holds above 4,300, the sell setup is invalid.
Overall, the main view remains bearish while XAUUSD trades below the EMA structure and inside the descending channel. The preferred plan is to wait for price to retest the 4,249 - 4,283 liquidity resistance zone, then look for sell confirmation toward 4,055, 4,024, and 3,953.
Do you share the same bearish view on gold, or are you waiting for a cleaner retest of the sell zone first?
Short
GBPUSD — Buy Zone Retest Before Continuation Higher
Fundamental Analysis
GBPUSD is trading in a short-term recovery structure as traders continue to watch U.S. dollar momentum, U.K. data, and central bank expectations.
After the previous bearish phase, price is now showing signs of a bullish reaction from the lower structure. If buyers can defend the retest zone, GBPUSD may continue its recovery toward the next resistance levels.
Technical Analysis
On the 1H chart, GBPUSD has broken out from the short-term descending structure and is now trading above the EMA cluster. EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200 are starting to act more like support instead of resistance.
The key area on the chart is the buy zone around 1.3378 - 1.3385. This zone was previously a resistance area and may now become support if price retests it successfully.
Current price is around 1.3402, slightly above the buy zone. A controlled pullback into 1.3378 - 1.3385 followed by bullish rejection would create a cleaner buy setup.
The first upside resistance is around 1.3433. If buyers break this level, the next major target is the strong resistance zone around 1.3483 - 1.3485.
Important Key Levels
Current price area: 1.3402
Buy zone retest: 1.3378 - 1.3385
Short-term invalidation: below 1.3364
Nearest resistance: 1.3433
Strong resistance: 1.3483 - 1.3485
EMA support area: 1.3385 - 1.3400
Trading Scenario
Main Buy Scenario
Entry: 1.3378 - 1.3385
Stop Loss: 1.3364
Take Profit 1: 1.3433
Take Profit 2: 1.3483
Take Profit 3: 1.3485
Buy Condition
The preferred setup is to wait for GBPUSD to retest the 1.3378 - 1.3385 buy zone. This area is important because it aligns with the breakout retest structure and the EMA support zone.
A buy setup becomes more valid if price forms bullish rejection from this zone, such as a long lower wick, bullish engulfing candle, higher low formation, or a clean reclaim back above 1.3400.
If price holds above the buy zone and breaks 1.3433, the recovery scenario may extend toward the strong resistance zone at 1.3483 - 1.3485.
Alternative Sell Scenario
Entry: 1.3433 - 1.3483
Stop Loss: 1.3500
Take Profit 1: 1.3400
Take Profit 2: 1.3385
Take Profit 3: 1.3364
Sell Condition
This is not the main view. A sell setup should only be considered if GBPUSD reaches resistance and shows strong bearish rejection.
If price fails to break above 1.3433 or rejects from 1.3483 - 1.3485, sellers may create a short-term pullback back toward the buy zone.
Entry Conditions
Wait for price to retest 1.3378 - 1.3385.
Look for bullish confirmation before entering buy.
A hold above 1.3400 strengthens the recovery view.
If price breaks below 1.3364, the buy setup is invalid.
Watch for reaction at 1.3433 and 1.3483 - 1.3485.
Overall, the main view is that GBPUSD may continue higher if the 1.3378 - 1.3385 buy zone holds. A confirmed reaction from this area may support a move toward 1.3433 first, then 1.3483 - 1.3485.
Do you share the same bullish view on GBPUSD, or are you waiting for a cleaner retest of the buy zone first?
XAUUSD — Doji Reversal From Psychological Buy Zone
Fundamental Analysis
Gold remains sensitive after a strong bearish move into lower liquidity. The market is still watching USD strength, Treasury yields, and upcoming U.S. data, which may create volatility around the current support zone.
For now, the broader pressure is still bearish, but the reaction from the psychological buying zone shows that a short-term recovery may develop if buyers confirm control.
Technical Analysis
On the 6H chart, XAUUSD is still moving inside a descending channel, with EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200 above price. This means the main trend has not fully turned bullish yet.
However, price has reached the 4,090 - 4,110 psychological buying zone and formed a doji-style reversal candle. This shows seller hesitation and may support a corrective bounce.
If buyers defend this zone, gold may recover toward 4,200 first, then 4,270 - 4,320, where the accumulation zone and descending trendline are located. This area will be important for the next reaction.
Important Key Levels
Current price area: 4,107
Psychological buying zone: 4,090 - 4,110
Doji reversal area: 4,090 - 4,110
Invalidation below: 4,047
Nearest recovery level: 4,200 - 4,220
Accumulation zone: 4,270 - 4,320
Trendline reaction zone: 4,270 - 4,320
EMA reaction area: 4,323 - 4,450
Higher EMA resistance: 4,566
Trading Scenario
Main Buy Scenario
Entry: 4,090 - 4,110
Stop Loss: 4,047
Take Profit 1: 4,200
Take Profit 2: 4,270
Take Profit 3: 4,320
Buy Condition
The preferred setup is to wait for gold to hold the 4,090 - 4,110 psychological buying zone. The doji candle near this area is an early sign that bearish momentum may be slowing down.
A buy setup becomes more valid if price confirms the doji reversal with bullish follow-through, such as a strong bullish candle close, higher low formation, or a reclaim above 4,120 - 4,140.
If this confirmation appears, the recovery move may target 4,200 first, then 4,270 - 4,320.
Alternative Sell Scenario
Entry: 4,270 - 4,320
Stop Loss: 4,360
Take Profit 1: 4,200
Take Profit 2: 4,110
Take Profit 3: 4,047
Sell Condition
This is not the main immediate view, but it should be monitored. If gold recovers into the accumulation zone and fails to break above the descending trendline, sellers may react again.
A sell setup becomes more valid if price forms bearish rejection from 4,270 - 4,320, such as a long upper wick, bearish engulfing candle, failed breakout, or lower high below the EMA structure.
Entry Conditions
Wait for bullish confirmation after the doji candle.
A reclaim above 4,120 - 4,140 would strengthen the buy setup.
If price breaks below 4,047, the recovery setup is invalid.
Watch for rejection if price reaches 4,270 - 4,320.
Always manage risk because gold can sweep liquidity before reversing.
Overall, the current view is that gold may attempt a corrective recovery after forming a doji reversal candle near the psychological buying zone. If buyers defend 4,090 - 4,110, XAUUSD may recover toward 4,200 first, then 4,270 - 4,320 where the accumulation zone and trendline reaction area are located.
Do you share the same view that gold may recover from this psychological buying zone, or are you waiting for stronger confirmation above 4,140?
Long 
XAUUSD: ABC Recovery Needs Confirmation Above 4119
Gold is trying to recover after completing a sharp bearish wave sequence into the lower liquidity area. From Kelly’s view, the current structure is developing as an ABC corrective recovery, but the market still needs confirmation before the upside scenario becomes stronger.
The key point is clear: gold can continue the rebound if price confirms above 4119, but the recovery weakens if price breaks below 4053.
⟡ Market structure
Price has reacted from the recent low after a strong impulsive decline, suggesting that sellers may be losing short-term momentum. The current recovery is now moving from the buy liquidity zone around 4084, while price is trying to build a higher-low structure.
However, gold is still trading below the Fibonacci resistance area around 4140–4150. This means the rebound is active, but not fully confirmed yet.
The zone around 4119 is important because it acts as the first confirmation area for the recovery structure. A candle close above this level would support the idea that buyers are gaining control.
➤ Key levels
◌ 4084: buy zone liquidity and current support area
◌ 4119: bullish confirmation level
◌ 4140–4150: Fibonacci resistance zone
◌ 4206: main ABC recovery target
◌ 4053: bearish confirmation level
◌ Below 4053: area where the recovery setup loses quality
⌁ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be forming an ABC corrective structure after completing the previous bearish wave 5.
The current movement can be read as wave A recovery from the low, followed by a possible wave B pullback into the buy liquidity zone. If buyers defend the support area and price confirms above 4119, wave C may start and push gold towards the 4140–4150 resistance first, then 4206 if momentum expands.
If price breaks below 4053, the ABC structure weakens. That would suggest the correction has failed, and sellers may regain control.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for bullish confirmation above 4119 before expecting continuation.
Entry zone: after a confirmation candle above 4119
Stop loss: below 4084 or below the confirmed higher low
Take profit 1: 4140–4150
Take profit 2: 4206
Take profit 3: 4298 if the recovery expands strongly
Alternative scenario: if gold closes below 4053 with clear momentum, the bullish ABC setup becomes invalid, and the market may continue the bearish structure lower.
⌁ Kelly’s view
For Kelly, this is a conditional ABC recovery setup. The bounce from the liquidity zone is meaningful, but price still needs to prove strength above 4119.
As long as gold holds above 4084 and confirms above 4119, the recovery path remains open towards 4206.
Gold is building a corrective rebound.
But the real confirmation comes only above 4119, while a break below 4053 would shift the structure back to bearish.
Share your view below. Long 
XAUUSD – Gold Remains Under Pressure After Liquidity Break
Gold is still trading inside a bearish structure after the strong breakdown from the previous consolidation area. The current H4 chart shows that sellers are maintaining control below the descending trendline, while price is reacting near the short-term liquidity area around 4,021 – 4,092.
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Gold remains highly sensitive to the U.S. dollar, Treasury yields and upcoming U.S. inflation-related data. When the market keeps pricing in a cautious Federal Reserve outlook, gold can stay under pressure, especially after a strong bearish technical move.
At the moment, the fundamental background does not strongly support aggressive buying. Unless there is a clear shift in risk sentiment or weaker U.S. data, the upside recovery may still be limited and sellers may continue to defend the higher supply zones.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – SMC + FIBONACCI
From an SMC perspective, gold has already broken below several short-term structures and created bearish displacement on the H4 chart. The previous CHoCH areas have failed to support price, showing that the market has shifted into a lower-high and lower-low structure.
The descending trendline is still pressing from above, while price is trading below the SMA 200, confirming that the broader momentum remains weak. The current Doji candle near the liquidity zone shows hesitation, but not yet a strong bullish reversal.
The nearest upper reaction area is the liquidity zone around 4,161 – 4,182, which also aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. If price pulls back into this area and fails to break higher, it may become a clean sell continuation zone.
Above that, the FVG area around 4,286 – 4,294 remains a stronger supply zone. As long as gold stays below this region, the bearish scenario remains the main view.
On the downside, the market is likely watching the day low around 4,024 and the lower liquidity zone near 4,021. If this zone breaks clearly, price may continue expanding toward the Fibonacci extension target around 3,833 – 3,817.
KEY PRICE ZONES TO WATCH
Current price area: 4,082
Nearest support / liquidity: 4,024 – 4,021
Short-term pullback zone: 4,161 – 4,182
Sell reaction zone: 4,161 – 4,182
Major FVG / supply zone: 4,286 – 4,294
Buyside liquidity: 4,363
Main bearish target: 3,833 – 3,817
Invalidation area: Above 4,294
TRADING SCENARIOS
Sell Scenario – Priority View
If gold recovers into the 4,161 – 4,182 zone and shows rejection, I will watch for a bearish continuation setup.
Sell Zone: 4,161 – 4,182
Entry Condition: Wait for bearish rejection, failed breakout, lower-timeframe CHoCH, or strong bearish displacement from the liquidity zone.
Stop Loss: Above 4,182 or above the nearest swing high.
Take Profit:
TP1: 4,024 – 4,021
TP2: 3,833
TP3: 3,817 if bearish momentum expands.
Alternative Sell Scenario
If gold breaks directly below 4,021 with strong momentum, sellers may continue to control the market.
Sell Condition: Wait for a clean H4 break below 4,021, then watch for a retest and rejection from the broken support.
Target: 3,833 – 3,817
Buy Scenario – Only Short-Term Reaction
A buy setup is not the main view today. However, if gold sweeps the 4,021 liquidity area and quickly recovers back above 4,024, a short-term corrective bounce may appear.
Buy Zone: 4,024 – 4,021
Entry Condition: Only consider buying if there is a clear liquidity sweep, bullish rejection candle, and lower-timeframe bullish CHoCH.
Take Profit: 4,161 – 4,182
Invalidation: If price breaks and holds below 4,021, the buy idea is invalid.
MY VIEW ON GOLD
My main view for gold today is still bearish. The chart shows clear selling pressure, price remains below the descending trendline, and the major FVG zones above have not been filled yet.
I prefer looking for sell setups after pullbacks rather than buying too early. The 4,161 – 4,182 zone is the key area for sellers to defend. If gold fails there, the next downside target may be the 3,833 – 3,817 Fibonacci extension zone.
Overall, gold is still weak unless buyers can reclaim the higher FVG zone around 4,286 – 4,294.
Do you think gold will retest 4,161 – 4,182 before continuing lower, or will sellers break 4,021 directly today? Short 
EURUSD - Consolidation before downward distributionFX:EURUSD maintains its medium-term bearish trend and may continue to decline against the backdrop of a strong DXY
The pair remains in consolidation within the 1.1500–1.1560 range as the market awaits the outcome of the ECB meeting, including the rate decision and Christine Lagarde's press conference. Any signals from the ECB may have only a short-term impact given the strength of the U.S. Dollar Index, which continues to benefit from an unstable geopolitical environment.
On the daily chart, EURUSD remains in a downtrend after breaking and closing below the 200-day moving average in May. Price is currently consolidating within the narrow 1.1530–1.1572 range, building a base for the next move following the ECB meeting
Resistance levels: 1.1575, 1.1584, 1.1661
Support levels: 1.1527, 1.1506, 1.1450
Within the prevailing downtrend, the currency pair may continue moving lower. A breakout from consolidation and a close below 1.1527 could trigger a further decline toward 1.1450.
Best regards,
R. Linda BITCOIN - Correction before the decline. Bearish trend BINANCE:BTCUSD.P remains in a bearish trend on both the local and global timeframes. Following the sharp sell-off and the formation of a new low, the market has entered a corrective phase, which may not last long
Bitcoin remains trapped in a deeply bearish structure after failing to establish acceptance above the 64,500 resistance zone and being rejected from that area on Tuesday. On both the daily and weekly timeframes, the market is returning to retest key technical levels. Technically, there is still no sign of strong institutional buying activity, and during this countertrend correction the market may form another short squeeze before continuing lower. From a medium-term perspective, Bitcoin may extend its decline toward major historical support levels at 53,500–49,000.
Resistance levels: 62350, 64250
Support levels: 60700, 59700
Bitcoin's global bearish structure remains intact. The market is testing the key 60K support zone, but the reaction remains relatively weak. As a result, the probability of a continuation lower is increasing. The next major downside target is 53K.
Technically, the market has left significant liquidity above the key daily level, as well as a liquidity pool above 64,250. A short squeeze into these areas could trigger a move lower toward the key zones of interest
Best regards, R. Linda 
Short
Short 
XAUUSD: ABC Recovery Depends on CPI Confirmation
Gold is trading near the lower buy zone after completing a strong bearish wave 5 move into the 4,180 area. From Kelly’s view, the chart is trying to build an intraday recovery structure, but today’s CPI release can decide whether the ABC rebound has enough strength to continue.
The main idea is simple: gold may start an ABC recovery from the buy zone, but confirmation matters more than guessing before the data.
⟡ Market structure
The broader short-term structure is still bearish after price broke sharply below previous support and completed a wave 5 decline. However, the reaction around 4,180 shows that sellers may be losing momentum near the lower exhaustion zone.
Gold is now attempting to stabilise above the buy zone. If buyers can hold this area and push price back above 4,209–4,237, the market may begin forming an ABC correction towards the stronger resistance area.
The key zone above is 4,237, where the broken trendline and support area may act as the first recovery checkpoint.
➤ Key levels
◌ 4,180: wave 5 completion area and buy zone
◌ 4,209: current reaction level
◌ 4,237: sell trendline and support retest
◌ 4,313: strong support turned recovery resistance
◌ 4,350–4,360: fake breakout / higher resistance zone
⌁ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to have completed a bearish 5-wave sequence into the lower buy zone. If this count is correct, the next move may develop as an ABC corrective recovery.
A wave could push price back towards 4,237.
B wave may create a pullback after the first recovery.
C wave could extend towards 4,313 if buyers remain active.
If price fails to hold 4,180 and breaks lower with strength, the wave 5 completion idea loses quality and the market may need a new base before any recovery can develop.
▸ CPI focus
Today’s CPI data is important because it can directly affect the US Dollar and Treasury yields.
If CPI comes in hotter than expected, USD strength may return and gold could struggle to hold the recovery structure.
If CPI comes in softer, gold may receive short-term support and the ABC recovery scenario could gain more quality.
For Kelly, the chart structure gives the map, but CPI can provide the momentum.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for price to hold the 4,180 buy zone and confirm recovery above 4,209–4,237.
Entry zone: after bullish confirmation above 4,209–4,237
Stop loss: below 4,180 or below the confirmed reaction low
Take profit 1: 4,237
Take profit 2: 4,313
Take profit 3: 4,350–4,360 if CPI supports the rebound
Alternative scenario: if gold breaks below 4,180 with strong bearish pressure, the ABC recovery setup weakens and the market may continue searching for a lower base.
⌁ Kelly’s view
For Kelly, this is a buy-after-confirmation setup, not a blind buy from the low. The wave 5 decline may be close to completion, but CPI can create sharp volatility, so confirmation is essential.
If gold holds the buy zone and reclaims 4,237, the ABC recovery can begin with better structure.
Gold is trying to recover from wave 5 exhaustion.
But today, CPI will decide whether buyers can turn that reaction into a real corrective rebound.
Share your view below. Long 
XAUUSD — Bearish Trend ContinuesXAUUSD — Bearish Trend Continues, Sell Setup Remains Priority
Gold is trading around $4,214 after a strong bearish displacement and multiple MSS confirmations to the downside. Price is still moving inside a clear descending channel, so the main intraday bias remains bearish.
From an SMC perspective, gold has broken below previous structure and is now reacting around short-term liquidity near $4,190–$4,210. This reaction can create a minor pullback, but as long as price stays below the sell zone around $4,260–$4,275, the bearish structure remains valid.
The key idea for today is not to chase the low. The better Prime Gold setup is to wait for price to pull back into liquidity or the OB sell zone, then look for bearish confirmation before entering.
Sell setup 1
Condition:
Gold pulls back into the short-term liquidity zone around $4,220–$4,235 and shows rejection with lower-timeframe MSS / CHOCH.
Entry: $4,229–$4,233
SL: above $4,250
TP1: $4,190
TP2: $4,160
TP3: $4,110
Sell setup 2
Condition:
Gold makes a deeper pullback into the main OB sell zone around $4,260–$4,275 and rejects strongly.
Entry: $4,260–$4,275
SL: above $4,295
TP1: $4,220
TP2: $4,180
TP3: $4,110
Buy setup
Condition:
A buy setup is only considered if gold sweeps the lower channel liquidity around $4,100–$4,110 and prints a clear bullish MSS / CHOCH. This is only a reaction setup, not the main trend.
Entry: $4,100–$4,110 after sweep confirmation
SL: below $4,080
TP1: $4,160
TP2: $4,190
TP3: $4,220
Key levels
Current price area: $4,214
Short-term sell reaction: $4,220–$4,235
Main OB sell zone: $4,260–$4,275
FVG resistance: $4,300–$4,325
Buy-side liquidity: $4,363
Downside target: $4,160, then $4,110
Bearish invalidation: clean 1H close above $4,295
My current view is bearish intraday while gold stays below $4,260–$4,275. The priority is to sell pullbacks into liquidity or OB zones, not to chase price after a strong drop.
No confirmation, no trade.
Short 
GOLD - A countertrend correction before a decline ICMARKETS:XAUUSD is in a corrective phase after printing a new low at 4268. Both the local and global bearish trends remain intact; however, the geopolitical backdrop continues to be unstable
Gold is undergoing a fundamental and technical shift to the downside, driven by several factors acting simultaneously: a sharp increase in expectations for further Fed rate hikes (now above 70% by December), a break and close below the 200-day moving average for the first time since October 2023, a stronger U.S. dollar above the psychological 100.0 level, and rising Treasury yields toward the 4.55–4.57% range
Technically, the market remains under pressure, and short positions continue to be the preferred strategy. A short squeeze into a liquidity zone could trigger another sharp decline toward support and lower target levels. However, a sudden positive shift in the fundamental backdrop could invalidate the local bearish structure
Resistance levels: 4353, 4368, 4400
Support levels: 4311–4300, 4268
The U.S. dollar is consolidating after a strong rally but shows no signs of weakness. This technical factor continues to weigh on an already bearish gold market.
From a technical perspective, gold may perform a retest of resistance as part of a liquidity-hunting move. A short squeeze into the 4380–4400 area could trigger a decline toward the key zones of interest at 4300–4250
Best regards, R. Linda Short 
GOLD 1HR: Hunting the 4171 Floor for an Intraday Reversal Play1. Structural History (The Bearish Sequence)
The chart clearly labels the institutional order flow leading to this deep discount area:
Current High & ChoCh: In early June, a swift ChoCh (Change of Character) occurred right after sweeping the Current High, shifting the intraday momentum completely to the bears.
Successive BoS: Price printed clear BoS (Break of Structure) levels through late May and early June, confirming a relentless, algorithmic sell-off that completely ignored historical retail supports.
2. The Current Liquidity Floor
The Descending Trendline Floor: The steep, downward-sloping trendline acting as an old macro support floor is finally being met at the very bottom.
Current State: The live price is sitting at 4,192.45 (with 22 minutes and 45 seconds remaining on the hourly candle). It is actively probing the 4,171.12 support floor, which is the immediate target for a short-term sell-side liquidity sweep.
3. The Reversal & Mitigation Pathway
The black directional forecast arrows layout a classic Stop Hunt & Rebalance play over the next few sessions:
The Final Sweep (The Fakeout): Price is projected to bounce slightly off the trendline, trap early buyers, and then violently poke downward below 4,171.12 to cleanly flush out sell-stops and engineer panic selling.
The Liquidity Grab: This quick sweep will tap into a newly formed SELLING 1HR OB (Order Block), where institutional buying algorithms will likely trigger a sharp short-covering rally.
The Aggressive Intraday Target: Once the weak hands are shaken out, a fast, vertical correction is projected to expand straight up to fill the overhead 1HR FVG (Fair Value Gap) imbalance box located right around the 4,300 psychological resistance handle. Long 
Gold Market Overview – June 9, 2026Gold Market Analysis
Trendline
* The short-term bullish trendline has been decisively broken by a strong bearish candle.
* A close below both the trendline and the previous consolidation zone confirms a short-term bearish market structure.
* Current bias: Sell the rally (look for selling opportunities on pullbacks into resistance).
Resistance Levels
🔵 Resistance 1: 4,340 – 4,352
* Price is currently retesting this area.
* Former support has turned into new resistance.
* Bearish rejection candles or reversal signals here would increase the probability of further downside.
🔵 Resistance 2: 4,425 – 4,430
* A stronger resistance zone.
* Aligns with the previous consolidation area and the prior structural breakdown level.
* Only a confirmed H1/H4 close above this zone would suggest a potential bullish reversal.
Support Levels
🟢 Near-Term Support: 4,275 – 4,286
* Current swing-low area.
* If support holds, price may rebound toward 4,352 or even 4,430.
🟢 If 4,275 Breaks
* The bearish structure remains intact.
* Downside targets may extend toward lower support zones.
Preferred Scenario
1. Price rallies into the 4,340 – 4,352 resistance zone.
2. Encounters bearish rejection.
3. Declines toward 4,285.
4. A break below 4,285 confirms further bearish continuation.
⸻
Trading Plan
🟢 BUY GOLD
Entry: 4,285 – 4,283
Stop Loss: 4,273
Take Profit: +200 / +500 / +1000 pips
🔴 SELL GOLD
Entry: 4,394 – 4,396
Stop Loss: 4,402
Take Profit: +200 / +500 / +1000 pips Short 
Its time for reverse in BTCUSDTHello Traders!
Here are next few steps in BTC.
Now we can see there is a breakout of trendline in BTC but this time we will see some bullish move in BTC and expecting reversal from this position. This breakout will work as a reversal
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In some trades, you may notice a relatively larger stop loss or a risk-to-reward ratio that may appear unusual at first glance. However, every trade is taken with proper planning and calculated analysis, not random entries.
Before entering any position, we perform detailed calculations and market evaluation. Based on this analysis, we carefully determine our stop loss and target levels.
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Feel free to share your thoughts, leave a comment, or contact me. Long 
Long
S&P 500 (SPX) in High Alert: LTA Broken as Sellers Target Major ### ⚠️ S&P 500 Technical Assessment (Ref: SPX_2026-06-09_09-05-39.png)
The S&P 500 Index ( SP:SPX - SPCFD) has entered a critical phase of structural vulnerability on the Daily (1D) chart. After a powerful and sustained expansion, a major trend invalidation is flashing, signaling that institutional distribution might be taking control.
### Core Technical Breakdowns:
* **The LTA Invalidation:** The defining Ascending Trendline (LTA) that guided the entire multi-month rally has been decisively broken to the downside.
* **The June 5th Impulsive Markdown:** The daily candle printed on June 5th was highly aggressive, showcasing dominant institutional selling pressure that completely shifted the short-term market character.
* **Current Intraday Indecision:** Following that aggressive expansion, price action is currently stabilizing in a minor consolidation block around **7,405.72**. This brief pause represents typical post-drop indecision as order flow resets.
### The Bearish Continuation Trigger:
We are closely monitoring the price behavior over the next 24 to 48 hours. The market is facing a critical crossroads:
1. **The Intermediate Support Wall:** There is a minor horizontal support layer marked by the solid red line sitting at the **7,342.44** handle.
2. **The Bearish Breakthrough Scenario:** If sellers gather enough momentum to break below this consolidation floor today or tomorrow, the structural pressure will highly likely flush right through the 7,342 support zone.
3. **The Macro Target Magnet:** A clean breakdown out of this tight local structure will unlock a deeper correction vector, pointing directly to our primary downside objective: the rising **72-period Exponential Moving Average (red line currently climbing near 7,163.19)**.
### Strategic Takeaway:
The bias has shifted to a defensive, risk-off model. Any short-term relief bounces back toward the broken LTA should face immediate overhead supply. We remain highly alert, waiting for a daily candle confirmation below the immediate range to initiate short-term bearish targets down to the EMA 72 baseline.
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📊 **ChartPro Data** | By Rogerio Zaglia
*Macro Equity Index Research, Trend Architecture & Volatility Vector Analysis.*
⚠️ **Disclaimer:** For educational and informational purposes only. This technical chart study represents a personal trading model and does not constitute financial or investment advice. XAUUSD — Gold Rebounds From Channel LowGold Rebounds From Channel Low, Waiting For Bullish Confirmation
Gold is trading around $4,301 after dropping into the lower trendline of the descending channel. Price did break down aggressively, but the reaction at the channel low shows that sellers have not confirmed a clean continuation yet.
From an SMC perspective, gold has reached a major liquidity area near $4,280–$4,310. This is the zone where price can create a short-term corrective rebound before deciding the next larger move. The current structure is still inside a bearish channel, but the downside move is losing clarity because price reacted immediately after tapping the lower boundary.
The main intraday view is a possible bullish correction from the lower channel. However, buying is only valid if price shows rejection and confirms a lower-timeframe MSS / CHOCH above the reaction zone.
Buy setup
Condition:
Gold must hold above $4,280–$4,310 and show bullish rejection from the channel low. Entry is only valid after 1H confirmation or a clear break back above short-term structure.
Entry: $4,295–$4,310
SL: below $4,270
TP1: $4,365
TP2: $4,395–$4,410
TP3: $4,460–$4,475
Sell setup
Condition:
A sell setup is only valid if gold fails to reclaim $4,365–$4,400 and rejects from the FVG or OB zone with bearish MSS / CHOCH.
Entry 1: $4,390–$4,410 after rejection
SL: above $4,430
TP1: $4,330
TP2: $4,300
TP3: $4,270
Entry 2: $4,460–$4,475 after OB rejection
SL: above $4,500
TP1: $4,410
TP2: $4,365
TP3: $4,300
Key levels
Current reaction zone: $4,280–$4,310
First recovery target: $4,365
FVG zone: $4,390–$4,410
Main OB resistance: $4,460–$4,475
Bullish invalidation: clean 1H close below $4,270
Bearish invalidation: clean break and hold above $4,500
My current view for the day is that gold may rebound from the lower trendline of the channel first. The drop was strong, but the market has not confirmed a clean bearish continuation after tapping the channel low. The better Prime Gold plan is to wait for rejection, structure confirmation, and then trade from the major liquidity zone.
No confirmation, no trade. Long 
ETHUSDT - A countertrend correction before a decline Following a sharp decline, BINANCE:ETHUSDT is transitioning into a corrective phase, during which the market may enter a liquidity-hunting stage before another leg lower
The current rebound appears corrective in nature within a broader bearish trend. A breakout above 1,800 with strong momentum could improve the short-term outlook, but a recovery above $2,000 is required to shift the global trend. A loss of the 1,600–1,550 support zone would open the way toward 1,500 and then the key 1,400 area, where the monthly trendline is located.
The fundamental backdrop remains weak, and the market has shown only a muted reaction to the CLARITY Act headlines
Resistance levels: 1,712–1,721, 1,812
Support levels: 1,600, 1,550
A short squeeze could trigger a decline toward 1,600, while a close below 1,600 would open the potential for further downside toward 1,550–1,500. Long positions against the trend should be approached with caution
Best regards, R. Linda 
Short
XAUUSD: Wave 5 Decline Approaches the Trendline Buy Zone
Gold is still trading inside a descending channel, and the current structure shows price continuing lower within wave 5. From Kelly’s view, sellers are still controlling the short-term movement, but the market is now moving closer to a potential exhaustion area near the lower trendline.
The key idea is simple: gold may still complete one more downside leg first, but the better opportunity may come after wave 5 finishes near the trendline support.
⟡ Market structure
Price remains below the descending channel resistance and has rejected from the short-term sell zone around 4,300–4,320. This keeps the immediate structure bearish and supports the idea that wave 5 is still in progress.
The chart also shows a lower trendline buy area around 4,220–4,240. If price continues falling into this zone and starts to slow down, that area may become important for a possible corrective rebound.
For now, gold is still weak, but the lower channel zone is where sellers may begin to lose momentum.
➤ Key levels
◌ 4,300–4,320: short-term sell zone
◌ 4,340–4,350: stronger resistance and wave A sell zone
◌ 4,220–4,240: trendline buy zone and wave 5 completion area
◌ 4,423: higher recovery target if rebound develops
◌ Below 4,220: area where the buy setup weakens
⌁ Elliott Wave view
From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to be developing the final part of a bearish 5-wave move inside the descending channel.
The current decline can still be counted as wave 5, and the projected ending area is near the lower trendline around 4,220–4,240. If price reaches this zone and prints a clear reversal candle, it may suggest that wave 5 is complete.
After that, the market may attempt an A-B-C corrective recovery, with the first important upside reference near 4,300–4,350 and a wider recovery possibility towards 4,423.
▸ Trading scenario
Preferred scenario: wait for price to complete wave 5 near the lower trendline, then observe for bullish confirmation.
Entry zone: 4,220–4,240 if a clear reversal candle appears
Stop loss: below 4,210 or below the confirmed reaction low
Take profit 1: 4,300
Take profit 2: 4,340–4,350
Take profit 3: 4,423 if the recovery expands
Alternative scenario: if gold breaks below 4,220 with strong momentum and fails to react, the wave 5 completion setup loses quality and the market may continue lower before forming a new base.
⌁ Kelly’s view
For Kelly, this is not a place to chase the downside aggressively. The trend is still bearish, but price is moving closer to the lower trendline where wave 5 may complete.
The cleaner plan is to wait for price to reach the 4,220–4,240 zone, then watch whether buyers create a valid reversal candle.
Gold is still falling inside wave 5.
But if the lower trendline holds, the next meaningful move may be a corrective rebound.
Share your view below. Short 
EURUSD- Corrective Recovery Toward OB Liquidity Zones
Fundamental Analysis
EURUSD is trading in a sensitive short-term macro environment as traders continue to watch U.S. dollar momentum, Fed expectations, and upcoming economic data from both the U.S. and Eurozone.
After a sharp bearish move, the pair is now trading near a lower demand area where short-term buyers may try to defend price. However, this does not mean the broader market has fully reversed. For now, the current setup is better viewed as a corrective recovery toward liquidity and OB zones above, unless price confirms a stronger bullish structure.
Technical Analysis
On the 1H chart, EURUSD has made a strong bearish displacement below the previous strong support liquidity area around 1.1578 - 1.1589. This breakdown confirms that sellers were in control during the last move.
However, price is now reacting around the lower buy zone near 1.1512 - 1.1526. This area is important because it sits near the recent low and may act as a short-term demand zone for a corrective bounce.
The first liquidity level to watch is around 1.1539. If price can reclaim this level, the recovery may extend toward the lower FVG zone around 1.1557 - 1.1568. Above that, the next important area is the broken support liquidity zone around 1.1578 - 1.1589, which may now act as a reaction level.
The main upside reaction zone is around 1.1601 - 1.1611, where the chart shows an OB area. If buyers continue to hold control, EURUSD may push higher toward the upper OB/FVG zone around 1.1630 - 1.1645.
Important Key Levels
Current price area: 1.1525
Buy zone: 1.1512 - 1.1526
Invalidation below: 1.1505
Liquidity trigger: 1.1539
Lower FVG zone: 1.1557 - 1.1568
Broken support liquidity: 1.1578 - 1.1589
Main OB reaction zone: 1.1601 - 1.1611
Upper FVG / OB zone: 1.1630 - 1.1645
Trading Scenario
Main Buy Scenario
Entry: 1.1512 - 1.1526
Stop Loss: 1.1505
Take Profit 1: 1.1539
Take Profit 2: 1.1557 - 1.1568
Take Profit 3: 1.1601 - 1.1611
Take Profit 4: 1.1630 - 1.1645
Buy Condition
The preferred setup is to wait for EURUSD to hold the 1.1512 - 1.1526 buy zone. A buy idea becomes more valid if price forms bullish rejection, a long lower wick, bullish engulfing candle, or a clean reclaim above 1.1539.
If price breaks and holds above 1.1539, the first recovery target is the FVG around 1.1557 - 1.1568. A stronger corrective move may then aim for the broken support liquidity area around 1.1578 - 1.1589 and the OB zone near 1.1601 - 1.1611.
This is a corrective buy setup, not a full long-term bullish reversal yet. The market still needs to reclaim the OB and FVG zones above before buyers can confirm stronger control.
Alternative Sell Scenario
Entry: 1.1601 - 1.1611
Stop Loss: 1.1648
Take Profit 1: 1.1578
Take Profit 2: 1.1539
Take Profit 3: 1.1512
Sell Condition
If EURUSD recovers into the 1.1601 - 1.1611 OB zone and shows bearish rejection, sellers may try to defend this area. A failed breakout, long upper wick, bearish engulfing candle, or rejection below the upper FVG zone would make this sell scenario more valid.
If price reaches 1.1630 - 1.1645 and fails to hold above it, this upper zone may also become a stronger rejection area for sellers.
Entry Conditions
Do not buy only because price is inside the buy zone.
Wait for bullish confirmation around 1.1512 - 1.1526.
A reclaim above 1.1539 would strengthen the corrective recovery view.
The main upside targets are the FVG and OB zones at 1.1557, 1.1601, and 1.1630.
If price breaks and holds below 1.1505, the buy setup should be invalidated.
Risk management is important because EURUSD can sweep liquidity before choosing direction.
Overall, the current view is that EURUSD may create a corrective recovery from the lower buy zone toward the FVG and OB liquidity zones above. As long as 1.1505 holds, buyers may attempt to rebalance price toward 1.1557 - 1.1568, then 1.1601 - 1.1611.
Do you share the same view that EURUSD may recover into the OB zones first, or are you waiting for stronger confirmation above 1.1539? XAUUSD - Liquidity Hunt Before Bearish ContinuationCorrective Recovery Toward FVG Liquidity Before Potential Late-Week Drop
Fundamental Analysis
Gold is trading in a sensitive short-term structure after a sharp bearish move into the lower part of the descending channel. The market is still reacting to U.S. dollar movement, Treasury yields, and expectations around upcoming U.S. economic data.
Although the broader short-term pressure remains bearish, gold may not continue lower in a straight line. After a strong downside move, price often needs to retrace into liquidity and imbalance zones before sellers can regain control. For now, the chart suggests that a corrective recovery into the FVG areas may appear first before the market decides whether to continue the deeper bearish move later in the week.
Technical Analysis
On the 1H chart, XAUUSD remains below the EMA 34, EMA 89, and EMA 200, which means the main short-term trend is still under bearish pressure. The EMA structure is still above price and may act as dynamic resistance during any recovery attempt.
Price has already broken the previous key support around 4,370 - 4,380. After this breakdown, gold moved lower into the 4,287 - 4,265 demand/liquidity area, where the chart now shows a possible reaction zone.
The current price is around 4,306, trading close to the lower channel area. This is not an ideal area to chase new shorts because price has already moved deeply into discount. A corrective pullback may develop first, especially if buyers defend the 4,287 zone.
Above that, the larger liquidity and reaction zone sits around 4,423 - 4,440. This is an important area because it combines broken structure, previous support-turned-resistance, and potential liquidity resting above recent highs. If price rallies into this area and fails to hold, sellers may use it as a stronger rejection zone for a potential late-week decline.
The broader descending channel still controls the structure. A recovery into the upper liquidity zones would not confirm a full bullish reversal unless price breaks and holds above the EMA structure and the channel resistance.
Important Key Levels
Current price area: 4,306
Lower liquidity / demand zone: 4,287 - 4,265
Buy reaction zone: 4,287 - 4,290
Continued buying trigger: 4,347
Broken key support: 4,370 - 4,380
FVG recovery zone: 4,392 - 4,405
Major liquidity reaction zone: 4,423 - 4,440
EMA resistance area: 4,423 - 4,463
Upper invalidation for bearish continuation: above 4,463
Lower bearish target if support fails: 4,265 and below
Trading Scenario
Main Corrective Buy Scenario
Entry: 4,287 - 4,290
Stop Loss: 4,255
Take Profit 1: 4,347
Take Profit 2: 4,392
Take Profit 3: 4,423 - 4,440
Buy Condition
The preferred early scenario is to wait for price to retest the 4,287 - 4,290 liquidity zone. A buy setup only becomes valid if gold shows clear rejection from this area, such as a long lower wick, bullish engulfing candle, bullish displacement, or a reclaim back above 4,306.
If price then breaks and holds above 4,347, the corrective recovery scenario becomes stronger. The next target would be the FVG area around 4,392 - 4,405, followed by the larger liquidity zone around 4,423 - 4,440.
This buy idea is only a corrective recovery setup, not a full bullish reversal yet. The broader trend remains under pressure while price stays below the EMA structure and descending channel resistance.
Late-Week Sell Scenario
Entry: 4,392 - 4,405
Stop Loss: 4,463
Take Profit 1: 4,347
Take Profit 2: 4,287
Take Profit 3: 4,265
Alternative Sell Zone
Entry: 4,423 - 4,440
Stop Loss: 4,463
Take Profit 1: 4,392
Take Profit 2: 4,347
Take Profit 3: 4,287 - 4,265
Sell Condition
The preferred bearish continuation setup is to wait for gold to retrace into the FVG or liquidity zone above, then watch for rejection. The 4,392 - 4,405 area is the first FVG reaction zone, while 4,423 - 4,440 is the stronger liquidity and broken-structure zone.
A sell setup becomes more valid if price reaches these zones and forms bearish rejection, failed breakout, long upper wick, bearish engulfing candle, or a lower high below the EMA resistance.
If sellers regain control from the FVG area and price breaks back below 4,347, the market may begin another bearish leg toward 4,287 - 4,265.
Invalidation Scenario
If gold breaks and holds above 4,463, the bearish continuation setup should be reassessed. A clean hold above this area would show that buyers are stronger than expected and that the market may attempt a deeper recovery toward the upper side of the channel.
If gold breaks below 4,255 without any strong reaction from the lower liquidity zone, the corrective buy scenario is invalid and price may continue searching for lower liquidity.
Entry Conditions
Do not chase buys after a strong candle without a retest.
Do not chase sells near the lower channel after price has already dropped deeply.
The cleaner buy setup is a reaction from 4,287 - 4,290 followed by a reclaim above 4,347.
The cleaner sell setup is a pullback into 4,392 - 4,405 or 4,423 - 4,440 followed by bearish rejection.
If price holds above 4,463, the late-week bearish continuation idea becomes weaker.
Risk management is essential because gold can sweep both sides of liquidity before choosing the next direction.
Overall, the current view is that gold may react higher first to rebalance FVG and collect liquidity around 4,392 - 4,405 or 4,423 - 4,440. If these zones reject price, XAUUSD may then resume the bearish move later in the week toward 4,347, 4,287, and possibly 4,265.
Do you share the same view that gold may recover into FVG liquidity first before another bearish move, or are you waiting for a cleaner rejection from the upper zone?
Long 
